Focus: Anecdotal Rumours That Garment Export Tax Rebate Rate Is Reduced By 5%
China's textile and garment export enterprises may face themselves.
financial crisis
The first export tax rebate rate has been lowered since then.
The bank's interest rate increase and exchange rate changes, coupled with the reduction of the tax rebate rate, pointed out that the export enterprises will have an adjustment in the export structure.
Export of textiles and garments
Tax rebate rate
Rumors of widespread downgrades have spread in the market. It is reported that after the "two sessions" in 2011, the state will reduce export tax rebates for "high pollution, high energy consumption and resource" industries.
Among them, most export enterprises are upset that the export tax rebate rate of textile and garment will be reduced from 16% to 11%.
For export enterprises, the most sensitive one is the tax rebate rate. "Down to one or two points can accept and reduce five points. How many enterprises should be dropped?" Lv Xiaoxiao, general manager of Ningbo Luyuan Garments Co., Ltd. pointed out that although the rumor has not been confirmed from official channels, these foreign trade enterprises have begun to worry about the impact of this policy.
Reporters and the Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of industry and Commerce confirmed the rumor, but the deadline for the deadline was that the relevant ministries and commissions did not give any reliable information on the reduction of the export rebate rate of clothing exports.
Tax rebate cake has been used, and pure foreign trade enterprises will be hit by the first round.
"If the news is confirmed, it should be a pure foreign trade company," Chen Guoping, general manager of Ningbo Banna knitting and Garments Co., Ltd., told reporters. "The profit margins of pure foreign trade enterprises are concentrated on the tax rebate. Many times, they are making orders with small profits, which is for small profits but quick turnover."
One industry insider told reporters that "most of the foreign trade enterprises are living on the basis of tax rebates, and the books are all losses, and they are sold to foreign products at a loss price. The profit is 15% of the tax rebate."
It points out that such a loss is mostly to maintain market size and not to make money or expand.
"The first three months are the impact on pure foreign trade companies," Chen Guoping pointed out. Now that the orders of the basic production enterprises have been under three months, "three months later, they will start to affect the production enterprises. After three months to six months, the foreign trade companies will start to lower prices when talking about the next order with the production enterprises, so as to raise the cost of the factory. In this way, besides closing off a batch of foreign trade companies, they will also turn off a number of factories."
By contrast, the advantage of Industrial and Trading Company with its own factory is relatively obvious. Chen Guoping said, "the reduction of these profits can be amortized to internal friction."
In addition, Industrial and Trading Company quoted tax rebates and profits separately.
This piece of cake for tax rebate will not be used for the time being. "The tax rebate will not be considered in the nuclear price. It will be determined purely as a net profit."
The industry pointed out that "if the tax rebate is reduced and profits will decline again, many enterprises will begin to consider reducing the tax revenue from Hongkong."
Controversy: advantages and disadvantages of tax rebate reduction
As the news has been uploaded in the market, although it has not yet been confirmed, there has been psychological anticipation. Chen Guoping pointed out that "as Industrial and Trading Company, it will be pressure for us to reduce 5 points, but it is still acceptable."
It is not totally unacceptable, but it needs a process. Lv Xiaoxiao pointed out that "the drawdown of tax rebate needs a process. When it comes out suddenly, the first profit is affected by our enterprises, and many of our orders have gone down."
Lv Xiaoxiao pointed out that the final result is to increase the price to the retailers, but it needs a buffer period.
The first textile network pointed out that the relevant ministries and commissions will reduce the rebate rate of garment export in April 1st, but this news has been strongly opposed by the Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of industry and commerce.
Wang Qian, chief analyst of China's first textile network, also pointed out that in view of the fact that the current textile export faces greater cost pressures, the possibility of a sharp reduction in the short term is less likely.
According to Wang Qianjin, the global economy is still in the process of recovery, but this recovery does not have a solid foundation. It is a fragile state.
The unemployment rate in the United States is still around 9%, and the European debt crisis continues to drag on the European economy, coupled with the continuing turmoil in the international situation, the impact of the oil crisis on the global recovery, and the crisis triggered by the Japanese earthquake. All these risks are threatening the global economic recovery, making China's export prospects uncertain this year.
In terms of trade, Global trade in goods exports increased by 14.5% in 2010 (13% in 2009), the highest growth rate since the WTO began in 1950.
Global trade growth is expected to slow to 6.5% this year.
Reconsidering the acceleration of the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate, the aggravation of trade frictions, the domestic raw materials and labor force
Rising cost
Too fast and other factors will affect exports.
As profit margins continue to shrink, Chen Guoping pointed out that bank interest rate hikes, exchange rate changes and tax rebate reduction are the three major macroeconomic challenges facing export enterprises.
Wang Qianjin believes that in China's huge foreign trade base, the expansion of the original market space is also facing the "ceiling" problem.
It is estimated that the growth rate of textile exports will be reduced to around 10%-15% in 2011, and the increase will be the main driver of export growth.
On the one hand, global demand for centralized replenishment has come to an end. In 2011, it will not have the low base effect peculiar to last year. Two, the cost of textile export products will be forced to lift 10%-15% on the cost. The price competition process is very difficult, and some low price orders will turn to low cost areas.
Li Xuerong, a senior researcher at CIC, has suggested that the policy of lowering the export rebate rate is to change the trade mode and improve the competitiveness of products. Is there still a need to enjoy the export tax rebate for products with low added value? If there is no policy, the process of pformation and upgrading will be prolonged. Li Xuerong pointed out that "now the market situation has already had the basic conditions of the pformation period, and it will not be redundant because of the introduction of policies, the severe blow to SMEs, or the impact on the whole industry."
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