Another Look At The Difficulty Of Employment &Nbsp; From The Employment Survey In Ninghai To See The Plight Of Smes.

In the off-season talent market, the representatives of the recruitment workers were dozed off.

Xinhua News Agency reporter Han Chuanhao photo

This is a global problem.

The data of the sixth national census released by the National Bureau of statistics reveal the trend of population structure: the severity of aging and the shortage of reserve labor are much more serious than forecast.

According to Ba Shu song, deputy director of the Finance Research Institute of the State Council Development Research Center, the published data confirm that China has crossed the "Lewis turning point" and that the demographic dividend window period is about to close.

So, in the face of this situation, realistic

recruit and use

The performance is not obvious during the year, and most of the enterprises can be controlled by the flexibility of the business.

"Labor shortage?

There are none in our factory.

When I heard that reporters wanted to interview the employment problem, the heads of several enterprises immediately lost interest.

No. 123 Taoyuan middle road is the talent market of Ninghai county.

Every Thursday, dozens of enterprises will be deployed to hire workers.

The day when reporters arrived in Ninghai, it happened to be Thursday.

At 10 o'clock, in the talent market, there were only two or three people who were hiring, finding jobs, and wandering outside the field.

"Brilliant lighting: 15 assemblers (men and women are not restricted), oxygen chemical 3."

"Zhi Qing industry: 10 CNC lathe workers, 5 instrumented lathe workers."

Most of the business stalls have been evacuated, leaving only panels showing signs of recruitment information.

"Now is the off-season, there are not many people looking for jobs, it is difficult for enterprises to find the right people."

Chen, who is still sticking to it, chatted with reporters. "Most of the people who are looking for jobs now have jobs. They just turn around here to see if there is anything better."

"At the end of last year, when orders were warmed up, there was tension in employment.

However, in the first half of this year, the overall employment gap was not large.

In the office of the two floor of the talent market, Yu Changbiao, deputy director of the Ninghai employment and unemployment insurance management service center, said, he took out the questionnaire of enterprise employment demand.

The employment demand of 101 key enterprises in Ninghai is listed in the table.

According to the summary of the latest issue, there are about 1540 people in the gap, and the gap in April is 1603. The biggest gap is the 1220 operators.

"With the total number of workers in more than 40000 counties, the number of workers in recent months has been relatively stable, and the employment gap has narrowed slightly."

"There is indeed a situation where employees choose enterprises, but the turnover of personnel is very normal."

Yu Li Qian, President of Ningbo prusse Travel Products Co., Ltd.

According to the situation of entrepreneurs he has grasped, there is absolutely no degree of "labor shortage".

"There is tension in employment, but enterprises can solve it through flexibility."

Zheng Shubin, head of the economic operation Department of Ninghai Economic Development Bureau, holds that many enterprises in Ninghai have solved the employment problem by choosing high value-added orders and replacing manual labor with machinery.

For example, Ninghai's largest stationery enterprise, stationery, instead of stamping die with progressive die, the main parts of stapler are stamped at one time, and the production efficiency is increased by 50%.

"Originally three people manage a device, now one person manages three devices."

This is very common in the stationery industry in Ninghai.

The enthusiasm for technological pformation of enterprises is high. From 1 to June this year, the county invested 1 billion 580 million yuan in technical pformation, an increase of 46.9% over the same period last year.

Temporary low wages

For entrepreneurs, the headache is not the rise in wages, but the superposition of comprehensive factors such as raw materials, exchange rates and electricity consumption.

The wage increase of manufacturing workers is an indisputable fact.

In the first quarter of this year, 13 provinces raised the minimum wage standard, an average increase of 20.6%.

Since July 1st, the minimum wage standards have been raised in Anhui, Hebei and Liaoning provinces.

"Although it is not difficult to recruit workers, it is sure that no one can be recruited according to the minimum wage."

Miss Yang, a stationery enterprise in Ninghai, told reporters.

And Yu Li Qian said that the current treatment of enterprises is: just recruited no technology general, 80 yuan a day, pack to eat.

"As long as he is familiar with his job for 3 to 6 months, his monthly income will reach more than 3000 yuan."

"Prusse" is a production of leisure tent based enterprises, the most used is still a certain number of skilled sewing workers, sewing workers daily wages of 150 yuan / day, monthly income stabilized at three thousand or four thousand yuan.

"Every year from November to May of second is the peak season for tent production.

In the past few months, time to catch up with the list, the best sewing workers earned more than 8000 yuan.

In addition to wages, spacious dining halls, personal environment, basic entertainment facilities, these are increasingly becoming the "standard" of many Ninghai factories.

In the Oriental Sun rise new energy Limited by Share Ltd, employees can listen to music while eating.

The company has two staff canteens, free of charge for early, middle, supper and night snack.

Ningbo Zhi Qing Industrial Co., Ltd. specially built a basketball court, reading room and table tennis room for its employees, with a total investment of more than 50 thousand yuan.

But for businesses, this is not all.

"Like our traditional manufacturing enterprises, the labor cost generally accounts for 10% to 15%, with a high 20% to 30%, while the cost of raw materials accounts for 60% to 80%."

Yu Li Qian said that the cost of chemical fiber products currently used by tent manufacturers increased by 20% to 40%.

Exchange rate changes, rising financial costs and tight electricity are another "secret pain".

In a densely populated industrial cluster in Ninghai, from 1 to May, the county regulated the growth of enterprise interest expense by 20.6%, and the cost of financing rose significantly. The peak electricity consumption gap was 20 thousand kilowatts.

Transfer phantom

In the Midwest or Southeast Asia, the problem of pfer is not only cost, but also environment, industry matching, pportation and so on.

From Japan, the four Asian dragons, to Southeast Asia and China, labor-intensive manufacturing industry follows the law of "wild goose shift".

For some large enterprises, the pfer of labor costs has been delayed, but the pfer is more like a "mirage" for small and medium-sized enterprises.

"Transfer?

Where is a slogan that is so simple?

Yu Li Qian, who graduated from university in 80s of last century and started business in 1992, has been planning many times in his mind, but the conclusion is: wait a minute.

"Transfer, the main consideration is labor costs, but to buy land, build factories, industrial chain matching, other costs plus, it is not the case."

Said Yu Li Qian.

The pfer of domestic enterprises mainly considers market coverage and peripheral radiation. For example, many of them go to Wuhan, taking into account the wide range of radiation to the central and western regions.

The pfer of foreign trade enterprises should consider factors such as port, traffic cost, merchants and so on.

"I have run the business in Ningbo, and the foreign trade merchants have come to see the goods in the factory, so that they can go back and forth on the same day."

"If the enterprise is in the interior, it will take a turn for Shanghai," he said.

Do not belittle this day for two days, some merchants just give up the order because of this.

Time cost.

Now it is not more than three hours from sea Ning to Ningbo port, and time is controllable.

If we turn to the central and western regions, we will add eight or nine hours of inland pportation costs.

"The labor cost saved may be depleted in these places."

Laos, Kampuchea, Vietnam, can these low-cost countries go?

Yu Li told reporters that the monthly salary of Bangladesh workers is only $50, but there is a problem of matching the industrial chain. Many raw materials and accessories should be shipped from here, while shipping time is 20 days plus customs clearance for 1 weeks.

Wang Zhihao, a Chinese economist at Standard Chartered Bank, believes that labor costs are only one of the factors that decide where to set up production bases. Besides, infrastructure, regulation, taxation, labor market flexibility, and integrity of upstream and downstream industrial chains are all very important.

"Transformation and upgrading, in our company's view, the most realistic is to do fine and strong in this field."

In the view of Yu Li Qian, the manufacturing advantages of the southeastern coast are more reflected in the comprehensive factors such as port convenience, industrial chain matching and efficiency.

In the past, the seasonality of foreign trade orders decided that the workforce was very unstable.

But now, some smart companies will consider the combination of internal and external trade, or the industry's "mix up" to iron out the seasonality of employment.

The peak season of tent production is from November to May of second every year. "Prusse" extends the automobile products, boat products, pet products and other industries according to its own equipment and employment conditions. In this way, there will be no light and high season in a year, and workers will also have jobs.

Opportunity to promote consumption growth

Shen Ming Gao

Recently, the demand for wage growth has aroused great concern among investors.

China will enter a period of wage inflation.

The negative impact of wage increases on industrial competitiveness and inflation will be partly offset by other favorable aspects.

Producers will be more committed to improving productivity with the help of domestic consumption and credit expansion.

Policy reform will also try to eliminate the crowding out effect caused by wage inflation.

If China can handle wage inflation well, it will be an opportunity to pform China from the world's processing center to the world's consumer market.

The "Lewis turning point" in the agricultural sector has arrived in 2003.

Since 2003, agricultural wages in China have risen markedly.

The Chinese government abolished the agricultural tax in 2006 and subsidized agricultural production in order to curb the rise in agricultural wages and to push up the prices of agricultural products.

The demand for wage growth in the manufacturing sector means that China has entered the second "Lewis turning point".

Since 2004, the average wage growth rate and the wage growth rate of manufacturing industry have been 16.2% and 14.6%, respectively, which are less than 17.7% of the per capita GDP growth rate.

The recent rising demand for wages is a reflection of the long-term inhibition of China's wage growth.

Before the Asian financial crisis, the proportion of non-agricultural wages in nominal GDP rose slowly.

In particular, the wage growth rate of unskilled labour is much lower than that of nominal GDP.

The reduction in the proportion of labor income in the whole economy has dragged down the contribution rate of China's consumption to GDP.

Mainland China may enter a period of relatively fast wage growth, especially in the unskilled labour market.

Assuming that labor costs in China can reach 40% of the US level as in Korea, then the cost of labor in China must grow at an annual rate of 16%.

We expect that wages in the unskilled labour market will double in the next five years.

Wage growth in skilled labour market should be synchronized with nominal GDP12% growth.

Higher labor income will increase consumption.

In South Korea, the share of private consumption in GDP dropped to 49.1% in 1988 and increased to 55% in 2000.

This shows that the export oriented growth model tends to distort domestic wages at the early stage of development, and then rebalance the growth of domestic and foreign demand under the pressure of wage increases.

Consumption in mainland China will also perform well in the next ten years.

Private consumption accounts for about 35% of GDP in China.

The pace of its rise depends on wage growth and policy reforms that the government supports domestic consumption.

Private consumption in China is likely to increase by 5% to 10% in the next ten years, reaching 40% to 45% in 2020.

Increasing labor income is conducive to all sectors of consumption, especially electronic and economic cars and services, including tourism and education.

The improvement of labor productivity is the key to the success of the company's wage growth environment.

We believe that there will be considerable progress in the following areas.

First of all, companies will tend to purchase technology and equipment to improve automation.

Second, companies that invest heavily in research and development need to improve their competitive edge.

Thirdly, with the increase of wages, the company tends to employ skilled labor and increase the demand for education and vocational training.