The Development Trend Of "Fine Industry" In The United States Will Affect China
With the US occupation Wall Street There are more and more cities responding to activities. From Wall Street, New York and Boston to the west, Losangeles and San Diego have begun to occupy. In the US capital, there has also been "occupation". Washington During the demonstration, on the 8 day, thousands of demonstrators shouted slogans such as "occupy Wall Street and occupy K Street" to protest against the impact of big enterprises on American politics and the launch of the US government. Afghanistan The war with Iraq requires the US government to invest more resources in people's livelihood.
The extent to which the occupation of Wall Street will eventually develop, though not yet known, is likely to have a great impact on the social, political and economic development of the United States. Politicians have begun to take advantage of this movement. President Obama said the people were angry because the Wall Street did not follow the rules. Vice President Biden even compared the protest action with the Tea Party, a conservative political movement that has stirred up American politics in the past two years. Biden said: "the core of this protest is that the compromise is broken. The American people think that the system is unfair or not equal.
There is reason to believe that this protest and the response of the Obama administration are related to the current stagnation of the US economy. As the leader of a large trade union, Team Master, said, "the demand for this movement is very clear. It is about taking the us from the CEO and millionaires in Wall Street. It is about creating enough job opportunities; it is about the business community in the United States who can treat their employees honestly and fairly, and can make a fair contribution to the society to stimulate the economy." Therefore, how to promote the recovery of the US economy and restore the vitality of the US economy will also be faced by American politicians and general elections. Challenge 。
According to the research team of Ampang, this campaign will have an impact on the industrial policy of the United States. After the financial crisis, the United States put forward its own long-term economic development strategy. The strategy can be divided into two aspects: one is "re industrialization" and the other is the development of "new energy". "Re industrialization" is the main strategic direction for the Obama administration to promote industrial development. The strategy advocates strengthening the emphasis on domestic industry, especially the development of manufacturing industry. By promoting the rapid growth of manufacturing industry, the United States can return to the real economy and shift to the "export driven" mode of economic development.
Although the US's goal of reversing the economic model may be difficult to achieve in the short term, the change of manufacturing industry in the US "Reindustrialization" can not be underestimated. The Anbang research team recently analyzed the possibility of redeveloping the "fine industry" in the United States. The so-called "fine industry" refers to those production activities and production systems with high value industrial products with continuous innovation design and absolute high quality control. For example, Swiss watch manufacturing is fine industry, and there are many similar products. cover Washing machines, cell phones, super sports cars, yachts, aircraft manufacturing and many other industries. The concept corresponding to "fine industry" is mass production activities of cheap consumer goods, such as China's Shanzhai products.
We judge that the movement of occupy Wall Street and the efforts of "re industrialization" in the United States will prompt a large number of industrial production to flow back to the United States. The Americans will begin to turn to the use of China made "Shanzhai" industrial products and turn to the use of their own fine industrial products, and have such an industrial production team, which will help arrange a huge and stable employment team to create such an industrial product. Chen Gong, chief researcher of ampong, also warned that if this trend continues, it will pose a threat to China's "Shanzhai" featured manufacturing industry.
We note that evidence is beginning to support this judgement. The latest research results of the Boston consulting group show that with the increasing cost advantage of "made in the United States", the United States will add 2 million -300 jobs in the next five years. "About 10 years ago, we began outsourcing products such as equipment, computers and so on, which accounted for a considerable proportion of the manufacturing industry in the United States," said Harold Sirkin, the principal investigator of the report. Now, this is changing because China is rapidly raising wages, and the US labor productivity is 4 times that of China. Sirkin said that certain commodities made in the US could be more economic, and this "critical point" has begun to appear. The study found that manufacturing industries most likely to return to the US include spanport, electronic equipment and equipment, furniture, plastic and rubber products, machinery, metal products and computers. These categories account for nearly 70% of the US's imports from China, which cost US consumers about 2 trillion dollars a year.
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