Cotton Price Forecast In Jizhou And Cangzhou Of Hebei In September 14, 2012

　　 September 14, 2012: Jizhou, Hebei cotton Price forecasting

The quality of seed cotton harvested by cotton growers in Jizhou area of Hebei is very low, and it can hardly reach 4 grade. This will make the more than 20 new 400 type cotton processing enterprises difficult to work in the new year.

It is reported that the current quality of seed cotton is low, due to the heavy rain falling 50-80 millimeters in the city after September 5th, and serious water in some cotton fields. Due to the intensity of rainfall in a short period of time, the saturation of soil water and the drop of temperature, it has cracked the bell, but has not been able to pick it before. It has almost become rain and rust cotton and stiff cotton. On the 10 day, the city again welcomed the small to moderate rain weather, which made the current quality of seed cotton "house leakage leaked to even rainy days", and the quality and output situation were even worse. Cotton farmers have no choice but to pick up seed cotton and cotton bolls that are not completely cracked and boll out. Only after drying can cotton growers start to peel peach. This can partially reduce the loss of mildew, but the maturity of cotton is not high, the moisture content is too large, the spinnability of fiber is poor, the usable value of cottonseed is low, and the quality of seed cotton is very difficult to reach the level of 4.

2011/12 cotton year, because of the gloomy business of textile enterprises and low competitiveness of cotton prices, more than 90% of the cotton in the city has been handed over to the national reserve, and cotton processing enterprises have made good profits. Since entering the new cotton year, the difficulty of textile enterprises has not been reduced, so the main sales channel of the city's cotton is still National Reserve, and it is difficult to enter the spot sale market. According to the current state 2012/13 temporary storage and purchase plan, the quality of single cotton can not be lower than grade 4, and there is no regulation that grade 5 cotton can participate in the storage. In this way, the storage and storage of the 400 type of cotton ginning enterprises in the city is more difficult. In order to reduce the risk of storage and storage, although the state has officially launched the new cotton storage and storage level, up to now, there is not a cotton ginning enterprise in the city.

　　 September 14, 2012: cotton prices in Cangzhou, Hebei

Recently, about 40% of the cotton fields in Hebei, Cangzhou, Wuqiao, Dongguang, Xianxian County, Hejian, Cangxian, Haixing, Huanghua and other cotton fields were withered and yellow. The heavy rainfall in July and August this year has left all of the cotton producing counties in eastern Cangzhou completely destroyed, and other cotton producing counties have lost half of them. In September, it is still wet and rainy. Unginned cotton Boll opening is also a great disadvantage for Bell and peach.

At present, local cotton farmers pick up 70-120 Jin / mu of seed cotton, of which about 50% are stiff and black cotton under 5 grade, and the other seed cotton ranks at 5-4.5 level, which can reach 4 or more. According to the local cotton picking situation and recent weather, it is estimated that the quantity and quality of seed cotton are not optimistic this year, which may create a new low in recent years. With the development of State purchasing and storage, the 400 enterprises started to scale. Up to now, there were 70-80 enterprises in the cotton producing counties of Cangzhou, 400 in last year's scale, about 60% last year, and 200 in 200 enterprises, less than 30% last year.

From cotton enterprises scale situation, we can see that enterprises are not optimistic about the new year's cotton market. The massive scale of business has not changed the market's status quo. Most enterprises are left in the cold. There are two reasons for this: first, seed cotton prices are not recognized by cotton farmers, and they are reluctant to sell. On the same day, the weak grade 3 was 4.10 yuan / jin (38% of lint, 17% below moisture regain), 4 level 3.90 yuan / jin (lint 37%, moisture regain 17% below), 4 4 3.80 yuan / jin (ibid.). The price expectation of cotton growers is above 4.50 yuan / Jin. Two is the seed cotton reduction, the quality is bad, the cotton farmer hand sells the standard not many. On the same day, cottonseed price was 1.28 yuan / kg (10% of oil content), and cotton seeds were in short supply due to less start-up of cotton enterprises. Lint price To maintain stability, on the same day, the 3 level quoted price of 19000 yuan / ton (pick up, gross weight, with the same ticket), weak 3 level 18500 yuan / ton, 4 level 18000 yuan / ton, 5 16300 yuan / ton.