China'S Textile Yarn And Fabric Enterprises Have Been Struggling Over The Winter.
The fourth quarter of 2012 did not completely extend the three quarter's upward trend, even though most of the industry's hopes for the end of the year were relatively moderate in P.
The price of most products is on a downward trend. The whole a href= "http://www.91se91.com/" target= "_blank" > textile < /a > industry boom is still low.
The cost of raw materials, labor and financing is high. Textile is less than a href= "http://www.91se91.com/" target= "_blank" > clothing < /a > export orders are limited, while the external economic recovery is slow, and the overcapacity of textile industry is prominent.
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< p > some enterprises are forced by the pressure of capital and inventory, and the phenomenon of low price dumping and self pricing is increasing. Once the capital chain is broken, the closure of enterprises will inevitably happen.
The Spring Festival holiday is approaching, and the factory starts to reduce gradually. It is reported that the business holiday plan is generally ahead of schedule.
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Under the leadership of the cotton purchasing and storage policy, the price of cotton is relatively stable, and the market of cotton yarn and polyester cotton yarn has been adjusted very little. The viscose staple fiber has hit the low point of the year, while the P cotton yarn has been relatively convergent and the profit level has risen.
Overall, the cost remains relatively high, and terminal demand is still weak. The pressure of business operation is highlighted. The winter of 2012 is indeed a bit cold for the textile industry.
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The price characteristics of textile yarn and fabric of < p > fourth quarter are: most of them are falling, sporadic and small.
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< p > in the fourth quarter of 2012, the price of 328 grade lint rose 526 yuan / ton, or 2.81%; polyester staple fiber rose 200 yuan / ton, or 1.81%; all cotton yarn went down 100 yuan / ton, or 0.37%; polyester cotton yarn dropped 50 yuan / ton, or 0.25%; pure polyester yarn increased by 200 yuan / ton, or 1.35%; viscose staple fiber decreased by 200 yuan / ton, or decreased;
The price of all cotton and polyester cotton cloth was basically flat with the beginning of the season, while cotton cloth fell 0.08 yuan / meter, or 1.55%.
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The profit characteristics of textile yarn of < p > fourth quarter are: the profit of cotton yarn is reduced, and the performance of substitute yarn is acceptable.
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< p > from the profit of the four kinds of yarn, the loss of cotton yarn in the fourth quarter is increasing gradually, and the polyester cotton yarn is once again on the verge of loss, but the human cotton yarn is turned into a deficit.
Among them, the cotton yarn profit margin decreased by 220 yuan / ton, down 420 yuan / ton compared with the same period; the polyester cotton yarn profit margin decreased by 200 yuan / ton, down 410 yuan / ton compared with the same period last year; the cotton yarn ratio increased by 330 yuan / ton, an increase of 830 yuan / ton compared with the same period last year.
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The export characteristics of textile yarn and fabric of < p > fourth quarter are: a slight increase compared with the same period last year, the ring ratio is first reduced and then increased.
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The market price of textile yarn and fabric in the fourth quarter of P decreased, but product exports showed a slow rebound trend.
According to the data released by the General Administration of customs, China's textile and apparel exports totaled 254 billion 921 million US dollars in 1~12 months in 2012, an increase of 2.84% over the same period last year. The growth rate was 0.08 percentage points higher than that of 1~11 2.08% in the current year, but the growth rate of 20.04% in 2011 was significantly reduced by 17.20 percentage points.
Among them, the export of textiles was US $95 billion 776 million, an increase of 1.18% over the previous year, and exports of clothing and accessories reached US $159 billion 145 million, up 3.87% over the same period last year.
In 2011, China's textile and clothing exports grew by 22.88% and 18.35% respectively.
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< p > from the link data, the export of textiles and garments in December was US $24 billion 100 million, a 14.91% increase over November.
Among them, exports of textiles amounted to 8 billion 572 million US dollars, an increase of 5.68% over the same period, and exports of garments and accessories reached US $15 billion 529 million, a significant increase of 20.73% over the annulus.
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In the fourth quarter, with the slow recovery of the economy, the export of textile and clothing has changed from negative to positive. In December, textile and garment exports rebounded significantly after the fall of November.
However, whether or not it will continue will become the decisive factor for the market to finally become warmer.
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< p > {page_break} < /p >
< p > < strong > peak valley difference < /strong > /p >
< p > year-on-year continued to show a narrowing trend < /p >
< p > the difference between viscose and related products is slightly larger than < /p >.
< p > the difference between peak and valley prices of major textiles in the four quarter of 2012 is smaller than that in the fourth quarter of 2011.
However, the trend of market price decline has not changed, and the pressure of business operation has not been reduced. In addition, the atmosphere of the paction has been relatively mild, and the textile industry is still in the doldrums.
The larger the difference between peak price and valley price, the greater the fluctuation of product market and the worse the stability, the greater the risk to producers and dealers.
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< p > note: < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > cotton > /a > 328 grade average price; polyester short for 1.4D * 38mm average price; sticky short for 1.5D * 38mm average price; pure cotton yarn is average price of C32S combed cotton yarn; polyester cotton yarn is average price for T65/C35; average cotton yarn is average; cotton cloth is equal to 68 x 6863 * grey cloth average price; polyester cotton cloth is href=, 110 * 7663 "grey cloth average price.
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< p > 2011~2012 years, the price difference of main textile products is less than /p.
< p > < strong > price comparison < /strong > < /p >
< p > fluctuation of price difference tends to be gentle < /p >.
< p > cotton market stalemate wait-and-see < /p >
< p > [cotton yarn review] < /p >
< p > [decline]: < /p >
< p > October 8, 2012 to November 9th < /p >.
< p > December 11, 2012 to December 31st < /p >.
< p > 2012 National Day holiday returned, the raw materials viscose staple fiber market low price rumors continue to increase, Fujian Changle and Jiangsu Peixian area single viscose trading price fell to 14000~14100 yuan / ton, coupled with the cotton cloth unsalable situation is still obvious, the price is slightly down, the cost and demand are all weak, the cotton yarn market price downward.
The manufacturer adjusts the start-up load appropriately under the pressure of goods, and the overall market turnover is insipid.
Although the price of viscose staple has stabilized and the price of cotton yarn has been fluctuating in a narrow range, the stalemate of yarn market has been maintained for quite a long time.
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< p > by the end of 2012, the price of viscose staple fiber kept decreasing under inventory pressure, and the market price was once lowered to 13500 yuan / ton.
Under this influence, the price of human cotton yarn has dropped.
However, the decline of yarn price is less than that of raw materials, so the profit margins of cotton yarn enterprises are slightly enlarged.
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< p > rising trend: November 10, 2012 to December 10th < /p >
< p > in early November 2012, viscose staple fiber broke the stalemate and went against the trend. Although the price of viscose unilaterally did not bring the price of moving cotton yarn rapidly rising, the situation of strong stability in yarn market was opened.
People's cotton yarns are relatively cautious, and there is a contradiction between the rise of the yarn price and the rise of yarn prices.
During this period, the situation of pre Christmas hoarding in foreign countries appeared, and the export market of human cotton yarn was stable, which contributed to the proper rise of yarn prices.
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< p > < strong > [polyester cotton yarn review] < /strong > < /p >
< p > oscillation: October 8, 2012 to December 13th < /p >
Under the support of P storage policy, the cotton market is stable and strong. The polyester cotton yarn market is dominated by small amplitude oscillation, and the actual paction price is messy.
At the end of 2012, the volume and turnover of the 112nd Canton Fair were not satisfactory, of which the total number of purchasers was 10.26% lower than that of the previous session. The turnover was 9.3% lower than that of the previous session, and the turnover for the European Union, the United States and Japan decreased by 10.5%, 9.4% and 36.6% respectively.
The terminal demand is weak, and the polyester cotton yarn market is hard to improve in real terms.
Manufacturers adjust production rhythm, control inventory mainly, the market as a whole, the atmosphere of negotiation is moderate, the actual market is light.
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< p > adjustment: December 14, 2012 to December 31st < /p >
< p > the mainstream price of polyester cotton yarn market has not changed a lot in this stage. On the one hand, cotton and polyester staple fibers remain stable and strong, and the cost pressure of polyester cotton yarn increases.
On the other hand, the downstream demand has been reduced or not increased. The price of polyester cotton yarns has been adjusted slowly along with the raw materials.
Some high-end products increased slightly with the increase of PET staple, but there are still some manufacturers under the pressure of inventory, flexible shipping and withdrawal of funds.
Downstream demand is not improving, and pressure on the polyester cotton yarn market is constantly being put in place.
Under the circumstances that businesses are unable to lock in profits, the overall market starts to decline.
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< p > < strong > [cotton yarn review] < /strong > /p >
< p > oscillation: October 8, 2012 to December 10th < /p >
< p > under the background of State purchasing and storage policy regulation, the cotton market has risen sharply, but the decline is limited. The key to the development of the cotton yarn business is the downstream market.
However, due to demand containment, cotton yarn price fluctuation range is limited, and actual turnover is very few.
Textile and clothing terminal consumer demand is weak, entered the October downstream cloth factory procurement is extremely cautious, cotton yarn turnover rhythm obviously slowed down.
Under pressure, enterprises should give more profits to the goods and return the working capital. The operators are worried about the market prospect, and businesses are actively taking the initiative to adjust their strategies.
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< p > {page_break} < /p >
< p > downtrend: December 11, 2012 to December 31st < /p >
< p > in mid December, the cotton yarn market showed a downward trend, and the quantity of cotton yarn was reduced. The mainstream quotation of the market declined by 100~200 yuan / ton, and the individual enterprises declined by 300~500 yuan / ton.
Cotton yarn downstream cloth factory shut down more, to cotton yarn purchase quantity reduction, cotton yarn go goods deadlock, order loss.
In order to alleviate the pressure, the enterprises make more profits, but on the market, the circulation of cotton resources can be reduced, the price of raw materials is rising, the price of cotton yarn is decreasing, and the loss of cotton mill is increasing, so the cotton yarn market is in a stalemate.
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< p > < strong > peak value < /strong > < /p >
< p > cotton is only slightly upwards < /p >.
< p > year-on-year decline in the whole range is obviously < /p >.
< p > in the four quarter of 2012 and the three quarter of 2012, the peak prices of main textile products were slightly upward except for cotton cloth, while cotton yarn and polyester cotton yarn remained stable, while the rest of the products showed a downward trend.
Especially with the fourth quarter of 2011 year-on-year decline, and the decline is more obvious.
Experienced a slow rebound in the three quarter, the four quarter of 2012, the main textile product prices showed a downward trend, although all kinds of products in early 2013 were slightly warmer, but the overall relatively weak pattern did not change.
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In the three quarter of 2012, the peak price of cotton fabric increased by 0.46%, and cotton yarn and polyester cotton yarn remained stable. The peak value of cotton, polyester staple, viscose staple fiber, human cotton yarn, pure polyester yarn, polyester cotton cloth and cotton cloth decreased by 1.47%, 1.1%, 6.41%, 5.64%, 0.66%, 2.67% and 2.65%, respectively. The peak value of cotton yarn and polyester cotton yarn increased by 0.46%.
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< p > the four quarter of 2012 and the fourth quarter of 2011, the peak prices of major textile products continued downward.
Raw materials: cotton, polyester staple and viscose staple fiber prices were 3.73%, 13.84% and 25.88% lower than that in the fourth quarter of 2011, respectively. Yarn: pure cotton yarn, polyester cotton yarn, human cotton yarn and pure polyester yarn prices decreased by 5.67%, 12.1%, 23.33% and 13.79%, respectively, compared with the fourth quarter of 2011, and fabric prices: cotton, polyester cotton and cotton fabric prices fell by 5.42%, 11.65% and 13.17% respectively, compared with the fourth quarter of 2011.
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< p > < strong > profit comparison < /strong > < /p >
< p > cotton spinning yarn profit less than /p >
< p > the opportunity to replace products is less than /p.
< p > [cotton] spreads interval 1000 yuan / ton < /p >
< p > high point profit 240 yuan / ton < /p >
In the fourth quarter of 2012, the profits of cotton yarn manufacturers continued to decline, down 220 yuan / ton compared with the three quarter. P
Cotton purchase and storage began in September 11th, and the spot price of cotton rose steadily in support of the 20400 yuan / ton storage price.
Cotton price difference at home and abroad at 4000~5000 yuan / ton, cotton yarn cost is relatively high.
The demand for the terminal textile industry is still weak, and the import of low price cotton yarn continues to impact on the domestic market, and the price of pure cotton yarn is difficult to raise effectively.
The cost and demand go against each other, making the profit of pure cotton yarn continuously extruding, and the amount of loss is obviously enlarged.
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< p > < strong > polyester / cotton > the price difference interval is 560 yuan / ton < /strong > < /p >.
< p > strong > high point profit 480 yuan / ton < /strong > < /p >
In the fourth quarter of 2012, the profits of polyester cotton yarn business shrank and slipped below the cost line. The fourth quarter profit level was reduced by 200 yuan / ton compared with the three quarter.
Under the influence of cotton purchasing and storage, price fluctuation is limited, so the price of polyester cotton yarn has changed little in the fourth quarter.
By the end of the year, PET staple was again showing a "tail" market. In December, the price of polyester staple fiber increased by 700~800 yuan / ton, and the price of polyester cotton yarn almost stood still.
Downstream enterprises have a strong attitude towards the price rise of polyester cotton yarn, and in the buyer's market, orders are missing and price pressures are widespread. Polyester cotton profits have been seriously squeezed.
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< p > < strong > the price difference interval is 660 yuan / ton < /strong > < /p >.
< p > high point profit 520 yuan / ton < /p >
< p > in the four quarter of 2012, the cotton yarn manufacturers lost their profits and the average profit increased by 330 yuan / ton compared with the three quarter.
In December, the profit of cotton yarn was obviously enlarged. The main reason is that the price of raw viscose staple fiber has been low in the year, and the price of cotton yarn has been maintained at a relatively reasonable position under the support of the market demand shift of some pure cotton yarn.
Yarn enterprises maintain more stable production and marketing status, profit space has been enlarged.
Compared with other kinds of yarn, the substitution effect of human cotton yarn on cotton yarn is more prominent. Therefore, some enterprises have been heard to turn some yarn production capacity to cotton wool.
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< p > < strong > trade comparison < /strong > < /p >
< p > pure cotton yarn imports less than /p.
< p > the export performance of chemical fiber yarn is steady < /p >.
< p > [cotton] import growth slowed down < /p >.
< p > exports fell slightly below /p.
< p > 2012, the total imports of cotton yarn amounted to about 1 million 358 thousand and 900 tons in 1~11 months, an increase of 69.62% over the same period last year.
In October, the total import of cotton yarn increased by 39.66% compared to the same period last year, and the ratio decreased by 8.11%.
In November, the number of imports increased by 66.45%, an increase of 15.29% over the same period.
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< p > 2012, the total export volume of cotton yarn was about 393 thousand tons in 1~11, an increase of 10.67% over the same period last year.
In October, the total export volume of cotton yarn increased by 54.01% compared to the same period last year, and the ratio decreased by 3.95%.
In November, the number of exports increased by 55.25% over the same period last year, a decrease of 0.07%.
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< p > < strong > polyester / cotton imports fell slightly compared to the same period < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > export market, price change < /strong > /p >
< p > 1~11 months in 2012, the import of polyester and cotton yarn increased by 6.34% compared to the same period last year, and the import average price decreased by 1.71% compared with the same period last year.
In October 2012, the import volume of polyester cotton yarn decreased by 13.94% compared with the same period last year, the annulus ratio increased by 16.9%, the import average price decreased by 1.3% compared with the same period last year, and the annulus ratio increased by 6.99%.
In November, the number of imports increased by 10.03% over the same period last year, an increase of 1.43% in the annulus ratio, a decrease of 17.1% in the same period compared with the same period last year, and a decrease of 3.67% in the annulus.
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< p > 1~11 months in 2012, the export volume of polyester cotton yarn increased by 27.51% compared to the same period last year, and the export average price decreased by 12.79% compared with the same period last year.
In October, the export volume of polyester cotton yarn increased by 55.11% compared with the same period last year, while the export price decreased by 18.07%, and the export average price decreased by 9.44% compared with the same period last year, and the annulus ratio increased by 4.99%.
In November, the number of imports increased by 85.62% over the same period last year, an increase of 25.69% in the ring ratio, a decrease of 16.02% in the same period compared with the same period last year, and a decrease of 0.31% in the annulus.
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< p > < strong > [cotton] import price dropped slowly < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > increase in export volume < < /strong > < /p >
< p > 1~11 in 2012, the import of viscose staple yarn yarn imports decreased by 5.15% compared with the same period last year, and the import average price decreased by 7.07% compared with the same period last year.
In October, the imports of pure viscose staple yarns increased by 29.96% compared to the same period last year, and the annulus ratio increased by 32.96%. The import average price decreased by 11.91% compared with the same period last year, and the annulus ratio increased by 2.04%.
In November, the number of imports increased by 26.24% over the same period last year, a decrease of 13.08% compared with the annex, and the average import price increased by 15.47% over the same period last year, and the annulus ratio increased by 3.40%.
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< p > 2012, the export volume of viscose staple yarn in 2012 increased by 53% compared with the same period last year. < href= href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_s.asp > export > /a > average price decreased by 19.54% compared with the same period last year.
In October, the export volume of pure viscose staple fiber yarn increased by 143% compared with the same period last year, while the average export price decreased by 11.38%. The export average price decreased by 20.1% compared with the same period last year, and the ratio decreased by 4.61%.
In November, the number of exports increased by 149%, an increase of 26.26% over the same period, and the export average price decreased by 16.68% compared to the same period last year, and the annulus ratio decreased by 0.97%.
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