Situation Analysis Of Tianjin'S Cotton Industry In 2013
< p > < strong > 1 and 2012, Tianjin < a href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > cotton > /a > industrial characteristics < /strong > /p >
< p > 1, cotton planting decreased, yield per unit area and total output decreased significantly.
In 2012, cotton planting in Tianjin was 855 thousand and 700 mu, 5% less than last year.
Due to heavy rainfall, the yield per unit area decreased by 25.3% over the previous year.
The total output of cotton is 51 thousand tons, 29.5% less than that of last year.
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< p > 2, the market runs smoothly, and the price rises slightly.
The state's temporary purchasing and storage policy has been able to curb the sharp fluctuations in cotton prices, protect the interests of cotton farmers and support the smooth operation of the cotton market.
In 2012, the average price of seed cotton purchase increased slightly in our city.
The 3 level average price 4.21/ Jin, increased 0.02 yuan / Jin compared with last year; the 4 level average price 4.15 yuan / Jin, increased 0.13 yuan / Jin compared with last year.
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< p > 3, sales mainly depend on storage, and cotton trade is depressed.
The market of the real estate cotton in our city is the main channel to the state.
By the end of this year's Spring Festival, 56 thousand tons of warehouses had been sold in Tianjin, accounting for 0.9% of total imports and exports.
State purchasing and storage led the domestic cotton market, and the function of market allocation of resources failed.
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< p > 4, the price difference between home and abroad is widening, and imported cotton yarn is favored.
As the international market continues to slump, the international cotton prices continue to fall, and the price of domestic and foreign cotton is widening. < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/" target= "_blank" > textile > /a > the cost of goods is rising, and the international competitiveness is decreasing.
Textile enterprises are keen to import raw cotton and cotton yarns to reduce costs.
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< p > < strong > two and 2013, the trend of cotton industry in Tianjin is less than /strong > /p >
< p > cotton grower's planting intention survey this year shows that cotton planting area in our city is expected to be reduced by more than 10% in 2013.
The main reasons are: first, serious disaster reduction.
In 2012, July and August, rainstorm and waterlogging, 20% crop failure, cotton production reduction and cotton farmers' income dropped significantly; two, cotton grade and length decreased.
In 2012, the city's public inspection showed that four flowers accounted for 80.4%, while three flowers only accounted for 15.8%.
The state agreed to collect and store five grade cotton in the heavily affected area of Jinghai, because the length was below 527, and no paction was made.
The three is the rising cost of cotton planting.
The rental farmers showed that the cost of cotton planting in 2012 was 1320 yuan / mu, an increase of 20% over the previous year.
Among them, the rent is 670 yuan, the agricultural cost is 450 yuan, and the artificial (excluding picking) is 200 yuan, an increase of 13.9%, 21% and 42.8% respectively over the previous year.
Some cotton farmers are ready to grow crops.
Four, this year's national temporary purchase and storage policy has not yet been announced, and some cotton farmers are still hesitant.
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< p > cotton price inversion is still serious this year, and the textile industry will still be under pressure.
Last year, the total export volume of textiles in China increased by only 3.3% over the same period last year.
And this year, the industry's economic growth will not significantly improve, will slow down and stabilize the trend.
Although the state has a quota system for imported cotton, it is trapped in the pressure of national cotton storage, and the quota of imported cotton will be smaller and smaller.
Cotton prices are still high this year, and many cotton textile enterprises will increase the use of chemical fiber raw materials and reduce the proportion of cotton.
However, our country is still a big country of cotton consumption. Maintaining the stability of cotton production is extremely important for ensuring the effective supply of this staple agricultural product.
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< p > < strong > three, and developing countermeasures for stabilizing the market of cotton production < /strong > < /p >
< p > 1, increase cotton production links subsidies, improve seed cotton comparative benefits.
Because of the high risk and high cost of planting cotton, the comparative benefit has decreased, which seriously affects the enthusiasm of farmers to grow cotton.
Therefore, the government should expand the scope of financial subsidies, raise the subsidy standard, increase the income of cotton farmers, and then stabilize the area of cotton seed and cotton production.
Because the policy of temporary storage and purchase is too many, the state's disguised subsidies have been pmitted through the intermediate links to the cotton farmers' hands, so it is better to take direct subsidies like grain.
Cotton direct subsidy should be linked to grade, directly subsidize cotton farmers, promote grading sale, and achieve high quality and high price.
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< p > 2, continue to implement the policy of temporary collection and storage, and effectively protect the interests of farmers.
In the long run, the government should introduce a policy of minimum protective price for cotton, and gradually stabilize the supply and market prices of cotton by means of market regulation.
From the current perspective, to stabilize the temporary storage and purchase policy and price is appropriate, if the policy of temporary collection and storage is not introduced, the area will further decline.
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< p > 3, strictly control < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_s.asp" > Import < /a >, speed up digestion and backlog of raw cotton.
We must strictly control the scale of imported cotton quotas, adopt a method of proportionate backlog of cotton reserves, issue or increase quotas, and sell the reserve cotton according to the futures market price, and the difference will be made up by the state to speed up the dumping and storage of digestion and gradually achieve a virtuous cycle.
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< p > 4, innovating service organization operation mode and developing modern cotton planting industry.
To make the cotton industry bigger and stronger, we must change the backward state of cotton production.
Through the cultivation and development of cotton logistics intermediary organizations, we should promote the operation mode of service organizations such as "company + cotton industry cooperatives + farmers".
Encourage cotton farmers to voluntarily participate in the circulation of land and other means of circulation, and gradually promote the scale, mechanization and technology of cotton planting, improve cotton yield and quality, promote cotton farmers' steady income increase, realize cotton industrialization and reduce market risks.
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