China Will Continue To Fashion Products Such As "Manufacturing Power" Status.
< p > China < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > manufacturing industry < /a >, under "a poor two white", "stagger" started, after rapid development, it has achieved many success.
Today, China, labelled "big manufacturing power", is experiencing a heated debate about "the status of a big manufacturing nation is about to disappear".
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< p > in recent years, especially after 2008, manufacturing enterprises are in a dilemma: there are pressures from rising labor costs, rising raw material prices, and loss of tax advantages. The competitiveness of developed countries is relatively down due to the rise of re industrialization and emerging economies, and the impact of the financial crisis.
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< p > "more than half of the owners may not be able to survive, and in the next 3 to 5 years, mass failures or production cuts will continue."
People in the industry even sigh this way.
However, according to our reporter, China's "manufacturing power" status will not disappear in the near future.
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< p > first, despite the controversy over whether China's "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > Lewis turning point "/a" is coming, China's demographic dividend has not completely subsided.
"Understanding demographic dividend requires two aspects: demography and economics."
Chen Jiapeng, director of the scientific research division of the China population and Development Research Center, explained to the China economic news reporter that there are two conditions for the demographic dividend. First, the labor force accounts for a relatively high proportion of the new born population in a certain period of time when the new born population grows into the labor force; two, this happens in the economic take-off stage of a country, coupled with appropriate economic policies.
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Lv Shijie, director of the China Enterprise Development Research Center, told the "China made news" reporter that the demographic dividend can not be viewed from the quantity alone, but is the unified calculation of the comprehensive labor force level, the number of labor force and the value created by the labor force. P
The past demographic dividend can not be compared with today's situation. The demographic dividend of the modern type has changed dramatically, and the new demographic dividend structure has been gradually formed.
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< p > the labor market needs to be evaluated around the needs of the cities. With the acceleration of urbanization, the labor force will choose more jobs in cities, and the phenomenon of high-quality talents will expand in small and medium-sized cities. The actual labor force will increase, and the proportion of specialized labor in the labor force structure will increase, so the demographic dividend will not disappear in the short term, Lv Shijie said.
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< p > Chen Jiapeng thinks that from the index of "labor dependency ratio", the population bonus reached the maximum value in China last year and last year. Now the demographic dividend level is gradually decreasing, but it does not mean that it has been out of the demographic dividend stage.
It is estimated that the demographic dividend will only gradually disappear in 2028.
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< p > demographic dividend has played an important role in China's economic take-off stage. Since the demographic dividend has not disappeared, the status quo of China's "manufacturing power" will continue to be maintained, industry experts said.
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"P >" not only that, "China's foreign trade will maintain a relatively stable trend in the future," Xiao Yaofei, a professor of economics at the Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, told the Chinese News reporter that the growth rate of the foreign trade of 5%~10% should not be a problem. Although the traditional labor force is declining, China's foreign trade is still very competitive in the electronic and mechanical aspects.
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In terms of foreign trade, China's "manufacturing power" status can not be shaken in the short term, because China's industrial added value is already the number one in the world. Although the development momentum of the service industry is strong, the growth rate of the manufacturing industry is relatively slow, but compared with other countries, the scale of manufacturing industry in China is still large, and the quality and overall level of manufacturing products are also improving, Xiao Xiao Fei added.
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< p > not the manufacturing industry has solved the employment problem, but a large number of labor force has made China's manufacturing industry.
Lv Shijie believes that the manufacturing industry itself needs to have the function of hematopoiesis, and can not be led by the labor market. It needs to do well in personnel training and talent reserve work in advance, which is related to the sustainable development of an enterprise.
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< p > in addition, the education system < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > reform < /a > cannot be cut across the board. If we properly pfer the talents to the manufacturing industry by professionals in a unified way, it will be an immediate measure.
In the atmosphere of market economy, it is possible to adjust the manufacturing labor market by the state, Lv Shijie thought.
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< p > "in the future, we must rely on the upgrading of industries and the improvement of the quality of workers. We can no longer rely on the amount of labour invested in the present to increase output."
Chen Jiapeng stressed that in the next decade, when the demographic dividend has completely disappeared, it will mainly rely on improving labour productivity to further improve the manufacturing output value.
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