Has The World Shoe Market Gone Bankrupt In Dongguan?

Editor's note, which originated in the financial crisis on the other side of the ocean, has not stopped to spread to the world.

The disaster caused by the virtual economy is also attacking the real economy step by step.

As a world-famous manufacturing base, Dongguan has become the eye of public opinion for a time.

The "collapse tide", "unemployment tide" and pessimistic news always seem to be related to Dongguan.

Is it true or alarmist?

Our reporter went deep into the field and visited many places, only to tell you a real Dongguan.

GDP increased by 119.8 times, the per capita disposable income of urban residents increased by 84 times, and the per capita net income of farmers increased by 76.9 times.

In the past 30 years, Dongguan has made legendary stories from "three to one supplement" and processing trade, and has jumped from a backward and barren agricultural county to a world-famous manufacturing base.

But the financial crisis that originated in Wall Street began to spread to the real economy. Dongguan was the first to bear the brunt.

In 2008, Dongguan's economy encountered unprecedented challenges.

At the end of the year, reporters came to Dongguan again. In the five star hotels, there were fewer and fewer businessmen.

But in sharp contrast, there are still many enterprises in the industrial area, machines are running fast, workers are busy working, trucks pulling raw materials and products are coming in and out of the gate.

They persisted in the economic cold winter and persisted in their quest for new life, like the green grass and the Bauhinia standing on the side of Dongguan Avenue against the cold wind.

"The current situation is extremely grim, and it will be more difficult next year. But with the profound foundation laid down by the 30 years of reform and opening up, Dongguan is confident that it will survive this crisis. Moreover, Dongguan must take the crisis as a good opportunity for industrial pformation and upgrading, rather slow down and adjust its structure."

Liu Zhigeng, Secretary of the Dongguan Municipal Committee, said this with a firm expression on his face.

The "collapse tide" has been magnified.

In recent 10 years, there are about 800 enterprises in Dongguan bankrupt each year, which has increased this year.

At the same time, from 1 to October, 14889 newly registered enterprises, "Wei Xu shoes factory" wage distribution ended at 5 p.m. today.

After 5 p.m., the Wei Xu shoe factory will be cleared for storage. All employees are required to carry all their belongings away from the factory.

At the closed factory gate of a closed Wei Xu shoe factory, a notice and a seal of the Changan court of the Dongguan court drew passers-by to stop and watch.

Wei Xu shoe factory is one of the bankrupt enterprises in Dongguan this year.

According to the figures provided by Dongguan, from 1 to November, 786 enterprises in the city were closed down and pferred, and nearly 900 enterprises were expected to close in the whole year, accounting for 6% of the total number of local enterprises.

"The spread of the international financial crisis is a great challenge for Dongguan, which has high dependence on foreign trade."

Lai Shujia, Deputy Commissioner of customs and Excise Department of Whampoa, said that the statistics of Dongguan Association of foreign invested enterprises showed that the customer orders in the fourth quarter of this year decreased by about 15% - 20%.

"But this is just a lack of business and not a rumor of" collapse. "

Jiang Ling, vice mayor of Dongguan, said that over the past 10 years, there were about 800 enterprises that failed normally or unusually in Dongguan in recent years, accounting for about 4% of the total number of local enterprises.

GDP is expected to achieve a 14% growth in Dongguan this year, and this growth rate is actually not low.

"The key is that in the context of the financial crisis, business failures have been amplified by some rumors."

Jiang Ling believes that some reports are not comprehensive enough.

"In fact, in the context of the financial crisis, enterprises that accelerate the closure are basically small, low grade and weak competitive enterprises.

The failure of these enterprises has not had a great impact on the industry as a whole, and the industry in Dongguan has not been injured in general.

According to statistics, in the closed enterprises, 70% of investment is below 1 million dollars, and 90% is below 300 people.

It is noteworthy that, according to statistics from the industry and Commerce Department, during the collapse of a large number of enterprises, there were 14889 new registered enterprises in Dongguan from 1 to October, and many enterprises increased their capital output. As reporters heard locally, "ups and downs are normal."

In the same period, Dongguan also introduced about 2000000000 US dollars of foreign capital.

In the Zhangmutou town, which had solved the problem of Jun Jun's failure in arrears, the famous thousand thousand noodle noodle was invested for 20 million dollars in the first place. Jimei Cosmetics Co., Ltd. invested HK $50 million in the first half of this year by adding HK $30 million, which was used to research and develop domestic products.

Xu Hongfei, deputy mayor of Zhangmutou town, told reporters that the town's utilization of foreign capital has reached US $52 million this year.

An enlarged "unemployment tide" - the number of migrant workers returning home early this year has indeed increased, but there is still considerable demand for labour in the region.

In November, a total of 1998 enterprises were recruited into the labour market, providing 16 thousand and 300 posts with reduced export orders, and some enterprises closing or reducing production. The most direct impact is employment.

Some enterprises encourage employees to take vacations, reduce overtime, reduce their costs through these slimming plans, and employees of other enterprises see a big reduction in income and simply quit their jobs and return home early.

At 8 o'clock in the morning on December 15th, a lot of people waiting for surrender were surrounded at the entrance of the Social Security Bureau of Dongcheng in Dongguan.

The wester brothers from Liuzhou, Guangxi, told reporters that they worked for more than 3 years at the victory electronics factory in Dongcheng District, and the highest salary was 1700 yuan / month. But in November, they only worked for half a month, with a salary of more than 600 yuan.

"Under such circumstances, we can only resign to go home, and how much social security can be refunded, so that we can come back next year."

According to the data released by the Dongguan Social Security Bureau, the total number of retreats in Dongguan in the first 10 months of this year has been 631 thousand, and the number of reagents is still rising from the end of October.

"The high tide of retirement is usually one month before the Spring Festival, and this year it is nearly two months earlier."

According to the current situation, Dongguan's Social Security Bureau has taken the majority of those who left home.

"In the first month before the Spring Festival this year, the number of employees returning home early did increase a lot, but it was not called a" homecoming tide ".

Dongguan municipal authorities believe that although many enterprises are closed, a considerable number of employees are digesting locally.

"According to the monitoring, although the demand for labor in the market has weakened, enterprises still have considerable demand for labor, especially in newly invested or capital increasing enterprises, and often a business is closed, and many workers are immediately recruited by other enterprises."

The labor market monitoring results of Dongguan labor department on Changan, Houjie, Fenggang, Tangxia and other towns showed that four towns were recruited more than 6900 enterprises in 9, 10 and 10 months, providing recruitment posts for 47 thousand. In November, the key monitoring scope was extended to 7 towns.

"This winter is not too cold" - the situation is very serious next year, but the fundamentals of social economy have not changed.

The central and local government's support policy has also strengthened the confidence of entrepreneurs in the "winter". Lai Shujia told reporters that since December, Dongguan's imports have decreased by 32% compared with the same period last year. For the two countries, Dongguan, which is big and big outside, indicates that there will be a relatively large negative growth in exports in February next year.

"Next year is an exceptionally severe year. It is the most serious since reform and opening up."

This is a common view of the government and the business community.

Recently, Dongguan conducted a questionnaire survey of 9000 enterprises, including 300 enterprises with the highest volume of exports. Most of the enterprises said they were not optimistic.

However, it is generally accepted that the situation is expected to improve in the next few months and in the second half of next year.

A lot of enterprises who are determined to stay in Dongguan have expressed their confidence to reporters. First, the advantage of capital. After so many years of rapid development, Dongguan has accumulated strong economic strength. Taking financial institutions as an example, Dongguan's banking industry has more than 400 billion yuan deposits, and loans only 200 billion yuan, and loan to deposit ratio is very low. Secondly, the industry supporting advantages, a company, its supporting raw materials, generally within 1 hours or half an hour logistics circle, such low logistics costs are incomparable to other regions; again, the product advantage, Dongguan's production is mainly daily necessities and other basic needs of products, rather than high-end consumer goods, market demand is more rigid.

Therefore, although the financial crisis has not yet seen the global impact, the impact of Dongguan can be foreseen.

Let the entrepreneurs strengthen their confidence and the positive support of the government.

Earlier, Leng Xiaoming, who felt the cold current, foresaw and made quick preparations, said that since the end of September, Dongguan has done a lot of work, organizing cadres to enter the enterprise propaganda, strengthening communication and boosting confidence. In order to ease the financing difficulties of enterprises, it has leveraged 25 billion yuan loans with 1 billion yuan risk compensation, about 11000000000 yuan has been released in 10, 11 and two months, two times reduced three kinds of expenses, and reduced the burden of 1 billion yuan for enterprises. In the next two years, Dongguan has also planned five categories of projects, with an investment amounting to 140 billion yuan, creating more business opportunities for enterprises. The investment in Dongguan has been increased by 10 yuan.

In the past two months, the central government's policy of increasing the export tax rebate rate of some products has begun to appear, and it has also made entrepreneurs confident in "winter".

Of course, confidence also comes from the rapid development of Dongguan's domestic market.

According to statistics, from 1 to October this year, local foreign-funded enterprises sold as high as 140 billion yuan, an increase of 23.9% over the same period last year.

The financial crisis has taught us a lesson, not only to ensure growth, but also to adjust our structure.

Under the crisis, it is easier for government and enterprises to reach a consensus when promoting industrial restructuring.

The financial crisis has brought economic difficulties to Dongguan, coinciding with its critical period of promoting industrial pformation and upgrading.

In recent years, Dongguan has begun to promote industrial pformation and upgrading under the strategic deployment of Guangdong. Liu Zhigeng put forward four "tolerance": first, we must endure the temporary labor pains; two, we must endure the slowdown of the temporary speed; three, we must bear the temporary income reduction; four, we must endure the criticism of the society.

Now, the global financial tsunami is coming. Many people worry that under the great pressure of economic recession, Dongguan can still "endure" and insist on promoting industrial pformation and upgrading.

According to expert analysis, it is easier for government and enterprises to reach a consensus when promoting industrial structure adjustment under the crisis.

Before the environment was good, enterprises did not have the power to adjust the industry; the crisis gave many enterprises an intuitive lesson: why is it so affected?

Because your industrial structure is single and extroverted dependence is too high; the export market is too limited to be confined to Europe and America; because you have no independent brand technology, and are in the low end of the industrial chain for a long time.

Under the crisis, market forces have also promoted the reshuffle of industries and industries, and the survival of the fittest has greatly accelerated the pace of industrial upgrading and adjustment.

In the past, the government did not do well in government administrative means. Now the market has done so that a large number of enterprises and industries with lower levels have been eliminated, and other quality enterprises have gained more room for development.

For example, there were many shoe factories in Dongguan before, and the market competition became intense. With orders from Americans, a pair of shoes could be pressed from 12 US dollars to 10 US dollars to 9 US dollars, which led to vicious competition among enterprises and profits were all taken away by others.

Now, a number of inferior enterprises have gone bankrupt, and their production resources have been concentrated on some high quality enterprises, and they have more bargaining power.

Coupled with the crisis, the global oil and precious metals and other raw material prices sharply reduced, for the survival of quality enterprises is a series of positive.

The different fortunes of different enterprises in the financial crisis have further strengthened Dongguan's determination to promote the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure.

A few days ago, a report issued by the Policy Research Office of the Guangdong provincial Party Committee on the pformation and upgrading of processing trade enterprises in Dongguan showed that some processing trade enterprises, based on their own realities, focused on technological pformation, RE development and brand development, and took the lead in achieving a higher level of leapfrogging.

"We must focus on today and tomorrow."

For Dongguan, the most critical thing now is how to make use of this crisis to successfully adjust and optimize the industrial structure.

Many business leaders agree: "if we have successfully passed the crisis and saved a number of enterprises, after the crisis, the industrial structure has not changed and competitiveness has not been improved. If there is another crisis, Dongguan will still be unable to avoid it sooner or later.

It is a great challenge for Dongguan to maintain growth and lose the opportunity to adjust the structure. "

In fact, Dongguan is doing the same.

Leng Xiaoming said, the above 1 billion yuan risk compensation financing policy is not "GSP", the 3105 high-quality enterprises listed by the government in the first phase become the "favorite" of banks.

At present, Dongguan is still looking for a number of enterprises to provide further support policies in such aspects as talent introduction, taxation, land use and electricity consumption.

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