The Price Of Low Count Yarn And Low Matching Yarn Decreased Continuously.

As of 27 days, the price of 10 spinning and 21 pieces of air spinning in Binzhou, Shandong was 14800 yuan / ton and 16500 yuan / ton respectively, compared with last Friday (January 23rd), which dropped 100 yuan / ton; the price of 21, 32 and 40 sticks were 20200 yuan / ton, 22000 yuan / ton and 22000 yuan / ton respectively, all of which were down by yuan yuan / ton compared with that of the first day. Market analysis shows that there are three reasons for the decline in prices of medium and low yarn prices:

First, upstream raw material Price decline, dragging down low allocation Cotton yarn price 。 27, the the Yellow River River Basin real estate 4128 grade cotton price 12500 yuan / ton line, 2227 level 12300 yuan / ton, in actual transaction process, the cotton ginning plant and cotton merchant generally give 100-150 yuan / ton room for profit. And some Xinjiang machine picked cotton prices at 13000-13200 yuan / ton, compared with 23 days down 100 yuan / ton.

Second, medium and low count yarn entered the annual off-season. From the point of view of the season, it has entered "49". After the Spring Festival, it is "79, eight or nine". clothing Stock preparation. Recently, medium and high count yarn is popular while low count yarn is unsalable.

Third, the impact of the outer yarn is larger. It is understood that at present, China's main port external yarn inventory is 50 thousand tons, including 21 branches of India and Pakistan, 32 prices at 18900 yuan / ton, 20700 yuan / ton line, 1000 yuan lower than domestic yarn price, and downstream textile enterprises are still keen on imported yarn.

At present, the "good days" of Chinese textile enterprises have not yet arrived, and the trend of 2015 is still suppressed by many aspects. It is said that textile enterprises will enter another "cold winter" from a "cold winter" and accelerate the reshuffle in the industry.

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What is the effect after the implementation of the target price? From the perspective of market operation, the goal of subsidy does not affect the market price basically, and the final effect of stabilizing cotton production remains to be seen. From a recent survey of cotton farmers' cotton planting intentions in 2015, the trend of a sharp decline in the area is basically determined. The area of the Yangtze River cotton and the Yellow River cotton area is reduced by more than 40%, and Xinjiang's reduction is more than 10%. Even so, next year's policy adjustment (target price reduction) should also be a big probability event. In the next two or three years, the trend of the decline of cotton area may not be fundamentally reversed.

The change of cotton production will inevitably affect the cotton seed market. There are three visible impacts. One is that the market demand for cotton seeds in the mainland cotton area has been greatly reduced. The two is that some enterprises have lost confidence in the market and sold at low prices. Three is the delay of cotton farmers' seed buying time. Do these three points indicate that the "cold winter" of the cotton seed market has arrived?

I believe that the reduction of cotton planting area and regional changes will continue to affect the cotton seed industry. The cotton seed industry will face severe situation in the next few years, and cotton seed enterprises must prepare well for the winter. At the same time, under the circumstances that the development environment of the industry is difficult to change, the operators of cotton seeds must change their contingency and seek opportunities in danger. From the promotion of insect resistant cotton to self breeding, the development of Guoxin seed industry, which has been focusing on cotton seed management for 30 years, has been developing continuously. It is a basic experience to seize the opportunities brought by changes in the situation.

Facing the adjustment and influence of this round of policy, Guoxin seed industry will make strategic adjustment from three aspects. First of all, we must firmly strengthen our confidence in the cotton market in the mainland. Although the cotton area in the mainland has been greatly reduced, there should be an area of more than 15 million mu, and the demand for cotton seeds of about 10000 tons will win the trust of cotton growers as long as the varieties are good and the service keeps pace with them. The current market is so cold, but in some areas of the Yangtze River cotton region, Guoxin H318 cotton seeds are still selling well or even out of stock. The reason is that good varieties are fundamental. In the future, efforts should be made to increase breeding and increase market share by market competitive varieties. The second is to vigorously develop the Xinjiang market.

Over the past two years, Guoxin has invested billions of dollars in Xinjiang, including the construction of the Jian Liang cotton processing plant, the increase of its own breeding farm area, and the cooperation in the development of scientific research units. It has the basic conditions for making a difference, and the state has mainly supported the development of Xinjiang cotton growing area. I believe that Guo Xin can contribute more to Xinjiang's cotton production in the future. Third, we should actively and steadily expand the scope of operation. We should fully explore Guoxin's market network and brand value in the cotton market in the mainland, and market oriented, actively carry out the business of maize seeds in the mainland. In addition, Guoxin hopes to do something to improve the competitiveness of China's cotton growing industry in the international market. Through cooperation with China Agricultural University, Guoxin carried out experiments on machine picked cotton in the mainland, and achieved initial results. Combined with mechanization and simplified cultivation techniques, the cost of cotton planting was significantly reduced, and the basic income of cotton farmers was guaranteed.