Ministry Of Commerce Experts: January Foreign Trade Seasonal Fluctuations Are Hard To Say Optimistic.

Li Jian, director of the Institute of foreign trade research of the Ministry of Commerce, told the great wisdom news agency on Friday that the export of container cargo in January continued to be off-season, and shipments were down compared with the same period last year. However, due to the low base of foreign trade data in January last year, the import and export data may fluctuate considerably in January this year.

Li Jian analysis shows that the whole external demand market is still weak, and the developed economies such as Europe and Japan are in a slump and demand is low. Related data show that in January, container cargo exports continued to be off-season, with shipments in the ring and year-on-year decline, and external demand remained unchanged. From the point of view of imports, commodity prices continue to linger, and the import data in short time can hardly be improved. Exchange rate fluctuations in Europe and other regions also add more uncertainties to China's imports and exports.

In addition, China was released in December last year. foreign trade The export lead index was 40.1, down 0.7 in the annulus ratio, the lowest since December 2013. Li Jian This means that this year's foreign trade in January is facing greater downward pressure.

But Li Jian said that foreign trade data fluctuated more seasonally before and after the Spring Festival. Most foreign trade enterprises tend to complete the shipment before the Spring Festival, which will be held in January of this year. Export data Some influence. Last spring festival in January, the base of the month is not high, which may lead to an increase in the growth rate of foreign trade in January this year.

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