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    Wang Liang: US Dollar Is High And Non US Qi Is Defeated.

    2015/3/10 17:09:00 22

    Wang LiangUS DollarExchange Rate

    According to the data released by the Federal Reserve, the employment market index (LMCI) in February was 4, which was revised from 4.9 to 4.8 last month. This is the LMCI index slipping down for second consecutive months, but it has not caused pressure on the US dollar. The US dollar index has hit 11 and a half years high 98.10. Before the Federal Reserve Chairman Fisher said that the Federal Reserve should not delay the rate hike process. Meanwhile, the US stock market closed up the Jones index closed up 0.78%, reported 17995.59 points, the NASDAQ [micro-blog] index closed up 0.31%, and reported 4942.44 points, and the S & P 500 index closed up at the end of Dallas.

    On Monday, the European Central Bank (ECB) began to buy bonds under the public sector purchase plan, and the yields of German, French, Italian, Western and other countries declined. This is the case in.

    The euro fell to more than 11 years low, while the euro area Stoxx 600 index rose to a new high in 2007. In an interview with Benoit Coeure, member of the Executive Committee of the European Central Bank (ECB), the European Central Bank (ECB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are preparing a series of reform measures to make a positive and effective review of the Cole aid plan review, but there is little time left for Greece.

    The European Commission Chairman Juncker (Jean-Claude Juncker) expressed his concern at an interview with the German media last weekend. Not all EU leaders recognized how serious Greece is now to Greek citizens and European citizens. We must ensure that the situation in Greece will not deteriorate because once Greece returns to Europe, the nightmare will come true, which will cause "irrevocable reputation loss" to the euro area.

    Berenberg, senior economist at the German investment bank Schulz: the most likely outcome of the negotiations on Greece is Greek compromise, which has seriously damaged trust with partners in the euro zone.

    Eurozone

    It is the only source of short-term financing at present. The outcome of negotiations between the two sides is most likely that Wa Lou Fa Keith, the finance minister, gave up some of the more radical positions to obtain the financing that Greece needed badly. This possibility is 50%. On the contrary, Greece's strong position has led to a 25% chance of returning to Europe.

    The European Central Bank's debt purchase plan was launched on Monday, most of the euro area.

    National debt

    Yields fell, but the purchase of debt did not cause certain support to the price. The euro has been under pressure this week against the US dollar. The hourly chart shows that prices are blocked near 1.0900. MACD rebounded to a "dead crossing" near the 0 axis, indicating that the price will continue to fall after the end of the price adjustment, and the operation will be mainly short, with the target below 1.0700 and 1.

    In the hourly chart, when the pound rose against the US dollar on Monday, there was resistance near the high 1.5137, which was suppressed at the upper 55 average. At the same time, MACD rebounded to the 0 axis and showed a downward trend, indicating that the price remained unchanged after the correction. The current operation is mainly done, with the target below 1.5020.

      

    US dollar to Japanese Yen

    All the way up, four hours on the map showing a multiple alignment, and MACD after last week bottomed up to the 0 axis continued to rise, K line is also strong uplink, above the target attention 120, 120.30, but the short line rushed to 120 near the alert price correction at the high level down, if fall after the fall can do more dips.

    On Monday, the Aussie rebounded against the US dollar at the high 0.7700 level, and the price rose to 0.7740 near the 30 minute chart. At the same time, MACD also rebounded to the 0 axis. It showed that the revised market ended, the price continued the current decline, and the operation was based on short selling. The current price was concerned about the support near 0.7630, and it could be short after the rebound.

    Canada's new housing starts in February increased less than expected, only 156 thousand households (expected 176 thousand) were recorded. The US dollar was strong, and the US dollar rose to 1.2647 near the Canadian dollar, but with a smaller margin, the intra day prices would fall, and the support for the 1.2600 near the bottom would be much more, with a stop loss of 1.2575.

    Driven by the strong US dollar, this week rose to a new high in the past two months. The Swiss central bank's negative interest rate policy still supports the exchange rate. At present, there is a stop signal near the price of 0.9925, indicating that the short term has come down, and it can do more near 0.9875 and stop 0.9860.


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