New Bull Market Needs New Thinking

Through the two sessions, we found that the top executives not only paid unprecedented attention to the stock market, but also had new ideas and new ideas.

In the past, the era of seeing the stock market as a casino was gone forever.

The new bull market needs new thinking, and investors must also change the concept of bull market.

For example, why did the US stock market keep going? The US stock market has been in the bull market cycle since the financial crisis since 2009.

From 2009 to 2013, American investors were concerned about the anticipation of several rounds of quantitative easing policy, the trend of the US stock market for several years. In the second half of 2014, the recovery of the US economy was obvious, but quantitative easing was not eager to be launched. It was waiting for the enterprises to really start to make profits, and the employment tended to be stable.

So far, the bull market in the US stock market has not shown any signs of ending. On the contrary, the three major indexes in the US have also reached a record high.

Just imagine that if the US investors are in reverse operation and when the economy is bad, they will see that the stock market has no basic support. When the economy improves, it will see that the easing policy is withdrawing, so there will be no bull market.

U.S.A

Another characteristic is not eager for success. The bull market in the US stock market is slow and long, and the increase is not big every year.

Whether it was the bull market in the 10 Century of 90s or the recent 5 consecutive rise, it was all slow, and the annual increase was not more than 20%.

Dow rose 26.5% in 2013 and 7.5% in 2014.

Looking back at A shares

From the opening of new year in 2015 to yesterday, the gem indicated that the 43 trading day rose 564.07 points, or up to 40.58%.

The 43 trading day rose more than the US stock market gained in recent two years.

However, for a long time to watch the trend of the US and China stock market, we will find that the US shares' weekly gains are not even as good as that of the A shares. The US stock market's gains in January are even worse.

One week's increase is not as good as that of A shares.

The bull market cycle of US stock is long, some for more than ten years, and A shares are short bear long and can't laugh till the end.

From the comparison of plate index, although the three indexes of American stock have different performances, the bull bear cycle operation is in sync.

But in recent years, there has been a so-called structural bull market in A shares, which is beneficial to the efficiency of the interest groups and to the healthy development of A shares.

Motherboard is still the main battlefield of bull market.

The 3478 point is the August 4, 2009 high point in recent years, and this position has a profound impact on the market.

In other words, only when the market effectively breaks through the 3478 high points can we formally establish a new bull market.

In addition, for blue chip stocks as the representative of the main board market, investors should no longer have "elephant dance", "pigs can fly" expectations, slow cow is the inevitable choice for the market.

At the national strategic level, management does not want the stock market to see a trend of rapid rise or fall.

Only by maintaining the market structure of the stock market can we create a favorable market environment for the future registration system.