Is The Unemployment Situation In Textile And Clothing Industry As Legendary?

　　 The five truth reveals the unemployment situation in the textile and garment industry: "it looks miserable."

Since the beginning of this year, the downward pressure on China's economy has increased, employment risks have increased, and some industries have been closed down, strikes, layoffs, wage cuts and so on. Some people on the Internet have been playing down the current employment situation and exaggerating individual phenomena as "the worst in history." Bankruptcy Strike for pay. Is it so tragic?

Take the textile and garment industry as an example, in 2012, China's textile and garment industry ushered in the second round of "cold winter" after the financial crisis, which has not been thawed for several years. The phenomenon of some enterprises failing to pay wages this year is the "headline party", which has attracted the attention of the "170 million Party of the working population, the collapse of the textile and garment industry, and tens of millions of people will go home early for the new year".

However, the author is concerned about China. Textile and clothing For a long time, it is considered that the bankruptcy and unemployment problem of the industry is only "very miserable". Actually, it is not so miserable, and the reason for the problem is not very simple.

Therefore, the author discovered the truth hidden behind the "tragic" appearance by investigating the competent authorities, trade associations and related enterprises. It was considered that the data of the 170 million textile and garment industry of the working population are now closed down, and millions of people will come home early for the new year.

　　 Truth one: how many people are there in the textile and garment industry?

First of all, 170 million overestimates the actual employment of the textile and garment industry. This figure is not practical at first. According to the National Bureau of statistics, only 20 million of China's textile and garment industry is employed. Secondly, it is logically unworkable. The work of textile and garment industry practitioners includes garment manufacturing, wholesale and retail sectors. The employment rate of manufacturing, wholesale and retail businesses in China is only 196 million 770 thousand, of which 61 million 488 thousand of those employed in urban units are 135 million 282 thousand of those employed by private enterprises and self-employed ones. In this paper, the statistical caliber of the employment population of textile and garment industry can not reach 170 million even if all the upstream and downstream industries are included. Because 170 million accounts for 86% of the total number of manufacturing, wholesale and retail employment, which means that the majority of China's manufacturing, wholesale and retail sectors are Textile and garment industry This is obviously impossible.

　　 Truth two: are workers unemployed because of layoffs and closures?

In fact, there are a large number of voluntary unemployment and structural unemployment in the textile and garment industry. From the point of departure, many people actually voluntarily lose their jobs and turn to other industries. A lot of workers, especially workers under 40 years old, are unwilling to engage in textile and garment industry. Many textile and garment enterprises are facing the problem of "recruitment difficulty".

　　 Truth three: is business failure caused by 4 trillion yuan investment in 2009?

The government should take active measures to help enterprises tide over difficulties, but they should not be responsible for and pay for business failures. First, the investment of 4 trillion yuan in 2009 did not flow to the general processing industry. Orders for textile and garment industry began to increase significantly in the second half of 2009, not because of 4 trillion yuan investment. The two is the large number of private enterprises in the textile and garment industry. Whether enlarging the scale is the decision of the enterprise itself, and how the market situation should be judged by the enterprise itself. The government's commitment to credit funds is not in place. It is only an external reason. It is only a direct cause for banks to extract loans and pressure loans to exacerbate capital chain breakage. The failure of corporate decisions and poor financial management are internal reasons.

　　 Truth four: can the prosperity of the textile and garment industry only be maintained at low cost?

All costs, including labor costs, raw material costs, equipment acquisition and operating costs, are, of course, the cause of serious losses in some enterprises. However, the prosperity of industrial enterprises can not be maintained at low cost, because low cost is bound to be short-lived, and price war is doomed to be unsustainable. First, textile. clothing Production environment pollution is heavy, young people generally do not want to enter, labor costs rise from several hundred yuan to three thousand or four thousand yuan, and there is rigidity. Therefore, enterprises will face "recruitment difficulties" and "recruitment expensive" problems for a long time. Two, in a free competitive market, under the pressure of cost increase, enterprises are either upgrading or being eliminated. Only by optimizing the industrial structure and improving the concentration and productivity level of the industry can China's textile and garment industry regenerate and create the Chinese "Chanel" and "Louis Vuitton" to overcome foreign products.

　　 Truth five: China's textile and garment industry is showing signs of improvement this year.

With the collapse of the textile and garment industry of 170 million of the working population, tens of millions of people will come home early to celebrate the new year. The article argues that China's textile and garment industry has long been "defeated". The author finds that after China's textile and garment industry has gone through a long period of low trough, the signs of thaw and warming are gradually appearing this year. Take the Shanghai and Shenzhen two textile and garment industry listed companies as an example, more and more listed companies began to turn losses into profits and gradually achieve different amplitude of performance growth. As of October 7th, 48 listed companies in the textile and garment industry released three quarterly earnings forecasts in 2015, of which 60% over the first three quarters of the year are expected to rise, and 9 companies' net profit growth is expected to exceed 100% (100%) over the same period. After more than three years of adjustment, the domestic clothing market has gradually recovered, and the textile and garment industry has gradually recovered and the upward trend has been established. Look at employment again, because many mainland enterprises in order to save the cost of transport of cotton, have to go to the factory, it is expected that the textile and garment industry this year, the new employment of 67 thousand people.

From the above analysis, it can be seen that judging from the news of the collapse of individual large enterprises and some small and medium-sized enterprises, it is wrong to judge the collapse and unemployment of our textile and garment industry.