Sun Ruizhe: The Basic Operation Situation Of The Textile Industry In 2018 And The Key Aspects In 2019.

According to the world clothing shoes and hats net, recently, China

Sun Ruizhe, President of the Federation of industries, gave an authoritative interpretation of the spirit of the central economic work conference and looked forward to the industry work in 2019.

2018 the central economic work conference clearly pointed out that China's development is still in the long-term and will be in an important period of strategic opportunities. We must be good at turning crises into opportunities and turning the crisis into safety, closely confront the new connotation of important strategic opportunities, accelerate the optimization and upgrading of the economic structure, enhance the ability of scientific and technological innovation, deepen reform and opening up, accelerate the green development, participate in the pformation of the global economic governance system, and change the pressure to accelerate the development of the high quality economy.

2019 is the 70th anniversary year of the founding of new China. It is the key year to win the first hundred years' goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way.

In 2019, after the baptism of forty years of reform and opening up, China's textile industry also ushered in an important period of strategic opportunity, and the key year for a big industry to become stronger.

"When you ride, you can't lose."

Danger and machine co-exist, overcome danger is machine, lose machine is danger.

The globalization background of production globalization, trade globalization, financial globalization and investment globalization not only brings pboundary flow of goods capital, but also brings conflict and integration of culture, life style, values and ideology.

On the one hand, speeding up the optimization and upgrading of the economic structure, enhancing the ability of scientific and technological innovation, deepening reform and opening up, strengthening the construction of ecological civilization, and participating in the global economic governance system will create the best development opportunities for our textile industry to grow from strength to strength.

On the other hand, the pressure of high cost has not been alleviated, and the price of domestic electricity and labor is still too high. Financing difficulties and financing problems have not been effectively solved for a long time.

Competition is becoming more and more intense. These objective problems will add multiple uncertainties to the development of China's textile industry.

1. The basic operation situation of the textile industry in 2018

Looking back on this year, the results of structural reforms in the supply side of textile industry in China have gradually shown that the supply structure has been adjusted and optimized, and the profit growth has been improved more obviously. The adaptability and flexibility of industries to demand changes have been continuously improved, and the domestic and foreign market has been stable.

However, the external environment facing the whole industry is changing obviously. China's economy is shifting from high speed growth stage to high quality development stage. Some macroeconomic indicators are slowing down, and domestic demand growth is slowing down.

At the same time, the damage of the global free trade system, the deterioration of the trade environment, the decline of consumer confidence and the increase of international investment risks are also the risks and pressures faced by China's textile industry.

The whole industry needs to accelerate the development of high quality and continue to enhance its ability to resist risks.

1, maintain a smooth running tone.

1) the domestic and foreign sales market has performed well.

China's textiles since 2018

The growth rate of domestic retail sales is obviously better than that of the previous two years, and the industry has achieved certain results in enhancing effective supply.

According to the National Bureau of statistics, in 2018 1~11, the total retail sales of clothing shoes and hats and needle textiles were 12198 billion yuan, an increase of 8.1% over the same period last year, an increase of 0.5 percentage points over the same period last year. Online retail continued to maintain rapid growth. In the month of 1~11, the retail sales of apparel products nationwide increased by 21.2% over the same period last year, and the growth rate was 3.2 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year.

Textile and clothing products still show more stable competitiveness in the international market.

In 2018, the industry export market continued to recover.

According to the customs express data, in 2018 1~11, China's textile and clothing exports totaled 253 billion 958 million US dollars, up 4.4% over the same period last year, and the growth rate was 2.8 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year.

Among them, the export of textiles was US $109 billion 302 million, an increase of 9.3% over the same period last year, the growth rate was 5.3 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year. Clothing exports 144 billion 656 million US dollars, an increase of 0.9% over the same period last year, and the growth rate is higher than the 1 percentage points over the same period last year.

2) industry investment is slowing down steadily.

In 2018, the overall investment structure of China's textile industry has been adjusted, and the growth rate of investment has slowed down steadily.

According to the data of the National Bureau of statistics, the total investment in fixed assets of textile industry increased by 5.4% in the month of 2018 1~11, representing a decrease of 0.9 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

In terms of industry, the textile industry grew by 4.9% compared with the same period last year, and the chemical fiber industry increased by 34.9% over the same period. It maintained a high growth rate for 8 consecutive months, while the clothing industry investment decreased by 1.9% compared to the same period last year.

Some industrial agglomeration provinces are affected by factors such as rising manufacturing costs and strict environmental supervision.

Industries such as Guangdong, Zhejiang, Shandong and other traditional textile provinces have declined.

Affected by the adjustment of industrial policies and other factors, the growth rate of Xinjiang textile industry investment has also dropped rapidly.

3) efficiency growth is picking up gradually.

Affected by the good market performance and relatively stable investment, the textile industry's efficiency growth has gradually picked up.

In 2018 1~10 months, textile enterprises above Designated Size realized the main business income of 4 trillion and 682 billion 680 million yuan, an increase of 4.1% over the same period last year, and the growth rate was 0.02 percentage points faster than that in the first half of this year. The total profit was 222 billion 120 million yuan, up 7.7% over the same period last year, higher than the 5.3 percentage point increase in the first half of this year.

In various sub sectors, the benefits of chemical fiber and textile machinery industry lead the whole industry.

1~10 month, the main business revenue and profit of chemical fiber industry increased by 14.2% and 18.9% respectively, and the total revenue and profit of the textile machinery industry increased by 9.8% and 9.9% respectively over the same period last year.

The operation quality of textile industry is basically stable, and the profit level and capital turnover efficiency have been improved compared with the same period last year.

In 2018 1~10, the sales profit rate of textile enterprises above designated size was 4.74%, 0.16 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year, and the total assets turnover rate was 1.3 times / year, a slight increase over the same period last year.

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2. The external environment is complicated and grim

1) the market demand situation is uncertain.

At present, China's economy is shifting from the stage of rapid growth to the stage of high quality development. The environment at home and abroad is complex and severe, and the market is expected to face downward pressure. The consumption demand situation is uncertain.

On the domestic market, the basis for accelerating the growth of consumer demand is continuing to weaken.

In the first three quarters, the per capita disposable income of our residents increased by 6.6%, representing a decrease of 0.9 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

The profit growth rate of Enterprises above Designated Size declined faster than last year, and the supporting force for the increase of employees' salary level weakened.

The domestic consumer confidence index has also declined since the second half of the year.

On the international market, although the export growth rate of China's textile and clothing to the United States, the European Union and Japan has increased over the same period last year, there are also some analysts believe that the US economic growth has reached the top and the recovery has downside risks, and the consumption growth has slowed down as the tax cuts and fiscal stimulus have weakened the economy and consumption. The EU has continued to recover, but the member states have become more polarized, monetary policy has tightened and the supporting role of consumption has weakened. Japan's three quarter GDP has been the second negative growth in the year.

2) increasing uncertainty in the trade environment

In 2018, Sino US trade conflict negotiations were tortuous.

Recently, the leaders of China and the United States reached a preliminary consensus on the economic and trade issues at the G20 summit. The two sides decided to stop trade restrictions such as tariff escalation. The United States announced that it had postponed the measures to increase tariffs in January 1, 2019.

At present, the export data of China's textile and clothing have not yet reflected the impact of tax increase. The positive information delivered by the conference will also stabilize the confidence of the industry enterprises. It is expected that the impact of trade friction on China's textile industry will be relatively limited during the year.

However, if the two sides fail to reach an agreement on the negotiations on intellectual property protection and forced technology pfer within 90 days, the tariffs on US $200 billion export products will increase from 10% to 25%, and the export of carpet and some industrial textiles to China will be larger than that of our exports. The impact will be assessed in time and the enterprises involved will be significantly affected.

The unilateral trade protectionism launched by the United States is consistent with its historical practice.

Today, the United States accounts for nearly 50% of China's trade deficit, and China's total GDP accounts for over 60% of the US GDP. The US initiated trade censure against China, prevented technology pfer, and blocked the upgrading and development of related industries.

Although the leaders of China and the United States have reached a consensus recently, Sino US economic and trade relations remain stable and risky from the perspective of long-term development.

At the same time, China's textile industry also faces competition from many countries such as Kampuchea, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Pakistan, India and Sri Lanka in the international market. The uncertainty of the trade environment is increasing.

In 2018, although the complexity of the macro environment at home and abroad has increased and the risk factors have increased, overall, it will not have a significant impact on the textile industry in the short term.

Although the uncertainty of the trade environment has increased, the stability of textile enterprises has also been directly affected. However, the tax increase list announced by the US has not yet covered the large proportion of export products such as clothing and home textiles, so it is not expected to cause significant impact on the export of textile industry in the year.

Overall, the textile industry maintained stable operation throughout 2018, and the total export volume of textile and clothing increased by more than 4%. The main business income of textile enterprises above designated size increased by 5% over the same period last year, and the total profit grew by 7% over the same period last year.

In 2019, the world economy will still be on the recovery track. However, the negative impact of risk factors on global economic growth will be gradually manifested by the increase in interest rates, liquidity contraction and aggravation of protectionism in the US.

The latest report released in IMF10 will reduce the forecast value of global economic growth in 2019 from 3.9% to 3.7%, and the growth rate of all economies is also generally reduced. The trend of slowing growth of international market demand is more obvious.

Under the influence of external environment changes, the pressure of China's macroeconomic operation will also increase, and Sino US trade frictions will continue to improve.

At the same time, factors such as rising costs, increasing environmental pressure, financing difficulties and financing will continue to affect the operation of the industry for a long time. The shortage of cotton supply is highlighted, and the import quota policy will also have an important impact on the smooth operation of the whole industrial chain.

Overall, the domestic and foreign market environment of China's textile industry has changed steadily in 2019, and all kinds of risk factors have also increased. The operating pressure will be increased compared with that in 2018.

The whole industry needs to continue to push forward the structural reform of supply side, and strive to achieve steady progress and stable quality in the development of the industry, so as to contribute to building a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way.

Two, 2019 textile industry should focus on several aspects of work.

2018 the central economic work conference clearly pointed out the goal of "6 stability", namely, to further stabilize employment, stabilize finance, stabilize foreign trade, stabilize foreign investment, stabilize investment and stabilize expectations, boost market confidence, enhance people's sense of happiness, sense of security, maintain sustained and healthy economic development and social stability, lay a decisive foundation for building a well-off society in an all-round way, and celebrate People's Republic of China's 70th anniversary with excellent results.

Correspondingly, the future development of China's textile industry should also be based on the "6 stability". That is, by upholding the general keynote of the steady progress of the work, adhering to the new development concept, persisting in promoting the development of high quality, persisting in taking the supply side structural reform as the main line, persisting in deepening the market reform and expanding the high level of opening up, strengthening the textile industry as the pioneer of opening up, the forerunner of the reform of the economic system, and the industry status of the mother industry in the process of industrialization, and continue to strive for all-round and pioneering development, making multidimensional and historic contributions.

This requires us to further develop dialectics of dialectic and empirical unity, and comb out the contradictions between development and development in the process of pformation and upgrading. From the perspective of unity of opposites, the angle of quality change and the negation of negation, we should not only see the danger and prepare for the rainy day, but also discover the "machine" hidden in it, actively explore and actively break the impression of low cost, high pollution and labor-intensive industries, highlight the new label of "technology, fashion and green" in China's textile industry, and create an innovation driven technology industry, a responsible green industry and a cultural leading fashion industry.

"The more you know, the more you know." the more you know, the more you know.

In 2019, the China Federation of textile industry, guided by Xi Jinping's new socialist ideology with Chinese characteristics, will deeply understand and implement the spirit of the conference of the central economic work conference, adhere to the general keynote of steady progress, strengthen confidence and maintain strength, enhance foresight and pertinence, carry out solid work around "technology, fashion and green", and promote the development of high quality industries.

1, do a good job of government decision support to create a healthy industrial development environment.

In view of the centralization of private enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises in the textile industry, aiming at enhancing endogenous driving force of economic development, promoting entrepreneurship innovation and expanding employment, we carried out industrial research in depth to provide scientific basis for government departments to make scientific decisions.

1) the development of the Pai Pai industry and the operating conditions of enterprises, so as to create a fair business environment.

We should tilt the government's decision to reduce taxes and reduce fees, improve financing services, enhance enterprise's innovation ability, and help technology SMEs to enter the market quickly.

2) pay close attention to the new developments in the international environment such as Sino US trade conflicts, and make good judgments about the situation.

2, fight the three major battles and serve the overall national strategy.

Around the three major battles, we should guard against and defuse major risks and tackle tough battles. We should strike a good fight against poverty and fight well for pollution prevention and control. We should identify the joint point of industry work for outstanding problems and key battles.

To promote steady development of the industry, the industry will play a greater role in stabilizing employment, stabilizing finance, stabilizing foreign trade, stabilizing foreign investment, stabilizing investment and stabilizing expectations.

Include:

1) take employment promotion and industrial pfer as the starting point, promote industrial poverty alleviation, regional coordination and rural revitalization, deepen the work of social responsibility, and enhance the role of social responsibility in saving energy and reducing emissions, reducing the use of toxic and harmful chemicals, protecting intellectual property rights and building enterprise credit, guiding the industry to optimize the capacity structure and develop green supply chain;

2) to implement the key tasks of the state to promote all-round opening-up, focusing on international conferences and professional exhibitions, focusing on international capacity cooperation, and promoting the opening up of the industry and the construction of all roads;

3) deepen the work of civil military integration, improve the docking of services and resources, and promote the research and revision of military (Textile) standards.

3, promote the development of high quality and enhance the service of industry.

Promoting the high quality development of the manufacturing industry is the top priority of the seven key tasks of the central economic work conference.

Around the supply side structural contradictions in the operation of the textile industry, we should use the means of marketization and legalization to work hard in the eight words of "consolidation, enhancement, upgrading and smoothness" to promote synergy, optimize the allocation, and serve to promote the high quality development of the textile industry in depth.

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Include:

1) promote the deep integration of advanced manufacturing industry and modern service industry in the textile industry.

We should deepen the industrial and financial cooperation, serve the real economy, and solve the practical difficulties of private enterprises and SMEs.

We should actively guide enterprises to participate in the policies and plans of industrial investment and financing promulgated by the state.

We will further implement the three year plan for the integration of industry and finance in the textile industry, set up a database of key enterprises, promote the docking of industry and finance, pay attention to the development of the science and development board, and guide enterprises to go public.

2) the textile industry should also promote the formation and development of new technologies, new organizational forms and new industrial clusters.

We should further improve the public service platform of small and medium-sized enterprises, stimulate the vitality of the micro entities, combine bigger and stronger with specialization, promote the synergy of production, learning and research, and merge large and medium-sized enterprises; strive to enhance technological innovation capability, build an open, collaborative and efficient common technology R & D platform, and improve the demand oriented and Enterprise Oriented Innovation Mechanism of industry university research integration;

3) accelerate the cultivation of world-class advanced textile industry clusters, and focus on matching specialized conferences, special events and clusters to help clusters expand the market and expand their influence, and import industrial genes for the construction of characteristic towns.

4, promote coordinated regional development and strengthen science and technology and brand building.

Relying on the two important levers of technology and brand building, we should co-ordinate the development of the western region, the comprehensive revitalization of the northeast, the rise of the central region and the first development of the East.

Promote the development of urbanization, improve the fine management level of industrial clusters and high value-added and connotative development.

Include:

1) deepen scientific and technological services and personnel development in the industry, and guide the key technological innovation in the industry in the form of academic conferences, technology promotion, achievement appraisal, special awards, standard cultivation and Innovation Alliances.

We should actively promote R & D and industrialization of high-performance, functional and ecological fiber materials; develop intelligent manufacturing industry, promote product intelligence, manufacturing intelligence and operation intelligence; develop green printing and dyeing, comprehensive utilization of waste textiles and other environmental protection technologies;

2) deepen the service of science and technology and the construction of talents, and speed up the development of manufacturing brand, consumer brand and regional brand with the master, the big card and the big event as the starting point.

We should deepen the research on industrial culture and traditional culture, release the trend of fashion, enhance the ability of fashion design, improve the brand service system, make the best of China's international fashion week, and enhance the right of fashion discourse.

3) raise the level of industrial chain through technology and brand work, and emphasize the use of technological innovation and scale effect to form new competitive advantages.

Efforts to meet the ultimate needs, improve product quality, improve the consumption environment, enhance consumption ability, so that consumers can dress comfortably and comfortably.

"Chuan Chuan Chuan is fast, people do not follow the road."

In summing up experience, we should deepen our understanding of our thinking and be open to work in the exploration of the law. We must be honest, conscientious, conscientious and conscientious. We should focus on the key tasks in the industry development by focusing on the main contradictions in the development of the industry. We should focus on the important starting points for the development of the industry, establish a long-term platform mechanism for the development of the system, enhance the sense of crisis, maintain strategic determination, forge core advantages, and finally create a new pattern of textile industry giving priority to efficiency and quality as the core; developing new patterns of mutual benefit, aiming at win-win results and achieving a win-win situation; a new pattern of cooperation that is better, better and better, interconnected and inclusive, and open to the environment; and a new ecological pattern with green environment, green hills and green hills and sustainable development. Adhering to the rational direction of work and scientific development goals, we must be good at "technology, fashion and green".

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