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What Are The "Hard Memories" Of The Textile Industry In 2019?

2020/1/2 12:38:00 0

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Overcapacity Review 2019

Also, the owner of the processing plant in Changshu said: last year, a golden marten was made into a bomb, and the product was worth 5 million. As a result, no one was interested this year, and the selling cost of 50 yuan was 39 yuan.

This is what the textile people have just experienced in the past 2019 years.

In such a special year, what kinds of "hard hearts" have been experienced by the textile people?

Excess production capacity

Peripheral textile mills "blossom everywhere", overcapacity troubles the market.

This year, the "overcapacity" has become an indelible pain in our hearts. Many textile owners who go to the periphery to open factories have a lot of headaches.

With the improvement of environmental protection in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, the backward production capacity of water jet looms is eliminated. In order to meet the production demand, weaving enterprises begin to transfer to the surrounding areas. The enterprises in South of Jiangsu are transferred to northern Jiangsu, and enterprises in Zhejiang and Shanghai are transferred to Hunan, Hubei and Jiangxi.

And according to the requirements of local investment, it is hundreds of hundreds of new, resulting in the original shrinking capacity after 1 years, that is, the market capacity in 2019 blowout.

Taking the textile industry of Anhui Province as an example, the yarn production in 2018 was 1 million 276 thousand tons, an increase of 15.6% over the same period last year; the output of cloth was 970 million meters, an increase of 19.4% over the same period last year; the output of clothing was 940 million, an increase of 1.4% over the same period last year; the output of chemical fiber 396 thousand tons, an increase of 10.5% over the same period.

The sharp rise in production has laid the foreshadowing for overcapacity. On the one hand, grey cloth has been put into the market a lot. On the other hand, the digestion speed of the terminal has obviously slowed down. "Nearly two months, we have maintained about 5 of the start, is to be good years ago to inventory, the first half of next year, the pressure is still relatively large." Chen, a factory opening in Northern Jiangsu, said.

No loss is earned.

From the "golden day" to "barely making a living", profits in the textile market have shrunk sharply.

How to describe this year's textile market, most textile people will say, "the peak season is not prosperous, the off-season is very light, business is not good to do!" Because of poor market performance, the industry chain itself overcapacity dilemma, the industry's own profits are also getting lower and lower, compared with last year's highest point, the profit is removed most!

Take one of the most common water jet loom and weave the most common polyester taffeta as an example.

In 2018, it can earn 160 yuan a day, and 100 small looms can earn 16000 in one day, about 5800000 in a year. In 2019, the taffe machine rate had dropped to 20-30 yuan or even lower, guaranteed.

In addition to the lack of bright spots in the market, the comprehensive cost of manufacturers this year is getting higher and higher. In the era of soaring prices, labor, water and electricity, rent and other expenses also rose. "The rent of our factory has risen to 300 yuan / Ping this year, which has been rising for 2 years." Xia Zhuang, the owner of a textile mill in Wujiang, said, "this year's market is profitable without loss. Now we can satisfy our needs if we can keep the capital business."

Trump Twitter is coming!

Trade friction between China and the United States is constantly increasing, and foreign trade bosses are generally "difficult".

For foreign trade enterprises, Trump is most afraid to see twitter this year. After all, Trump, who has the skills of "Sichuan Opera Face Changing", can make market participants "thrill" after every twitter. After all, Sino US trade friction has become an important factor affecting the entire textile industry.

The Sino US trade friction started in March 2018 when the US launched a survey of steel and aluminum in China. After that, the tax measures for the vast majority of China's commodities were gradually increased, and the tariffs were 5%-25% different. It had gone through a year and a half of division and integration. In December 13th, Sino US trade seemed to usher in a substantive breakthrough. On the basis of equality and mutual respect, the two sides have reached agreement on the first stage economic and trade agreement between China and the United States.

Many textile personages reflect that this year they are having a hard time. Affected by the uncertainty of Sino US trade relations, their share in the US market shrinks sharply, and the other side is cautious. Some of the original orders not only disappear directly, but also are temporarily cancelled, causing some losses to the enterprises.

One foreign trade owner said, "this year, the trade between China and the United States has affected the business in general. We are actively exploring other countries' markets and reducing the proportion of us customers." For the next year's foreign trade market, most textile bosses are pessimistic. On the one hand, Trump himself has more unstable factors. On the other hand, the transfer of orders in Southeast Asia is more serious now, and the cake itself is shrinking.

Break 7!

The "7 break" of the RMB exchange rate constitutes a great advantage for exports.

In the Sino US trade war, Trump's "changes in order" made the situation complicated and confusing, so it also led to a "roller coaster" market in the RMB exchange rate.

After entering the August, Trump announced that "the additional tariffs on the remaining 300 billion of China's exports to the United States were added to 10%, and the implementation began September 1, 2019". The offshore renminbi against the dollar fell directly to the 7 integer mark, the first time since December last year.

Since the beginning of this year, the black swan has been flying frequently in the foreign trade market. China has made depreciation of the RMB against the US dollar in response to market pressure, which is also aimed at helping exporters to hedge against tax pressure.

According to incomplete statistics, foreign trade orders this year decreased by 50% compared with the same period last year. As orders fell, profits fell from 20% to 10%-15%. The depreciation of the renminbi constitutes a great advantage for exports. Generally speaking, the depreciation rate of RMB is 1%, the sales profit margin of textile and garment industry is increased by 2% to 6%, and enterprises can directly benefit from the depreciation of RMB.

The head of a textile enterprise in Wujiang said: "In the past, when the exchange rate fell, it might encounter customer pressure, but since the middle of last year, it has gone through a very special period, and the price pressure has slightly improved. Now, because there are many uncertainties in the foreign trade market, we dare not accept the long list. In comparison with devaluation, we prefer stability of exchange rate. "

Made in Vietnam

By way of Southeast Asia, the biggest winner of trade friction is Vietnam!

Under the stalemate of Sino US trade, many Chinese foreign trade exporters, freight forwarders and customs practitioners consider taking advantage of the third party illegal transshipment trade to evade tariffs in the United States by way of Southeast Asian countries, of which Vietnam is the preferred country.

"The biggest winner of trade friction is Vietnam" has become a popular argument this year. From the perspective of economic data, it is also true.

In the first 11 months of this year, China's exports to Vietnam increased by 22%. On the other hand, Vietnam's exports to the United States increased by 27.9% to 55 billion 600 million US dollars in the first 11 months of this year, of which, electronic products, textiles, mobile phones and parts, and electrical and mechanical equipment increased by more than 40% over the same period last year.

Zhu, general manager of textile trade, said: "We can still take orders for us orders this year, because our customers have their own garment factories in Vietnam, so adding tariffs is not a big influence on us. "Because of this, Vietnam has become a" tax haven "for domestic trade bosses since the Sino US trade war started. The United States has put pressure on Vietnam and has repeatedly urged Vietnam to investigate the export of "washing origin".

In the second half of this year, in order to prevent some enterprises from exporting Vietnam to Vietnam by way of Vietnam. Vietnam's Ministry of industry and trade has issued frequent revisions to the "Vietnam made" (origin) standard to severely crack down on "producing areas", which has set more obstacles for Chinese textiles to be exported to Vietnam from Vietnam.

The cold winter rate is 0 this year.

"High inventory" is a drag on clothing giants. "Warm winter" is even worse.

The textile market has always been "watching the sky", especially in autumn and winter, and the weather is even more important. In November, the China Meteorological Administration released the latest news: the probability of cold winter this year is almost zero. Once again let the original market on the general clothing market "add insult to injury"!

Last year, most clothing enterprises expected to store up their winter clothes in cold winter. As a result, the warm winter was expected to arrive, and the planned rhythm was hit bottom.

This year, more and more well-known clothing enterprises have closed stores and sold stocks. Take the first "A+H" stock listed company in China as an example. La Natsu Bell, for example, lost 500 million in the first half of this year, and closed 2470 stores. His men's clothing subsidiary intends to go bankrupt and go to inventory with unprecedented discount.

In addition, the clothing factories that were busy with double eleven and two were busy this year. The owners of many garment factories said that it was precisely because consumers expected the warm winter that they would reduce the purchase of winter clothes, which led to the phenomenon that workers were idle and there was no single phenomenon in the busy season.

There are textile personages revealed: some customers hoarding 5 million meters made of cotton clothes, stacked 7 warehouses, originally thought that he has been a fast person, I never thought that a piece did not sell! Also, the owner of the processing plant in Changshu said: last year, a golden marten was made into a bomb, and 500 pieces of goods were hoarded. As a result, no one was interested this year, and the selling cost of 50 yuan was 39 yuan.

In fact, in addition to the above key words, there are still many events that have a certain impact on the market, such as In the first quarter, influenced by the explosion of the chemical industrial park, the price of disperse dyes soared, which led to a sharp increase in the cost of printing and dyeing.