How Long Will The Resumption Of Textile Enterprises Have Sufficient Short-Term Orders And Full Recovery?
Related agencies survey shows that as of February 25th, the national textile comprehensive boot rate was 35%, of which, the recovery rate in Jiangsu was relatively good, reaching 50%, followed by Fujian, Shandong region were 43% and 36%; Hebei, Henan and Zhejiang region, the lower than the national average. The recovery rate of spinning enterprises has gradually increased, but overall, the process of resuming work is slow, especially for small and medium textile enterprises.
Short term orders are adequate, stock of raw materials has reserves.
At the beginning of the year, the survey showed that the production orders of all textile enterprises in Jiangsu were uneven. Orders for textile enterprises in Yancheng, Jiangsu, some could be done in 5-6 months, while others in 2 and March. At present, the task of the enterprise is to ensure the completion of the order and the delivery of the quantity and the purchase of the new business, but these are not transferred by the will of the enterprise. The formation of the new market elements must depend on the degree of the development of the epidemic and the degree of the market's digestion.
It is understood that in Jiangsu, Yancheng, Nantong and other places, the largest number of textile enterprises reached two or three months of cotton production, which is relatively common. A 20 thousand spindled cotton mill consumes about 150 tons a month at full load, and 300-400 tons of enterprises in the current library will not organize raw materials into warehouses for a month or so. Therefore, in the first quarter of the year, textile enterprises will enter cotton in bulk without significant price inflection points. Not many. Most enterprises hope that the market will be stable and orderly after the epidemic. They will buy and sell at ease. Most of the purchase and sale at present is a supplement to a few enterprises. All the enterprises surveyed do not have a lot of psychological problems of purchasing cotton stocks or even beating the market.
Shortage of workers is still the reason why it is difficult to resume work.
It is understood that epidemic prevention and control is still the main reason for the shortage of workers and the low rate of return to work. Some employers said that workers returning to the factory had to go through the formalities, and the whole procedure might not be able to return to the factory smoothly. A director of a spinning mill in Qingdao, Shandong, said that more than 190 employees were in the factory, of whom 30% were employees from other provinces such as Henan and Gansu. Although the rest of the employees were all labor force in the province, they also came from different districts and counties, which caused great inconvenience to employees. Other enterprises also indicated that although all the control measures were in place, they had to postpone the resumption of production only because of lack of staff. In addition, there is no reason to return to work, driving license, lack of raw materials, and lack of cash reserves.
The industrial chain is incomplete. The textile mill "only one tree is hard to become a forest".
Unlike a large number of textile enterprises with a complete industrial chain, a major problem facing most domestic spinning enterprises after reopening is the incomplete industrial chain.
Spinning enterprises said that at the beginning of February, even if the enterprises could resume their work, only a small number of downstream printing and dyeing factories and garment factories were resumed. Moreover, under the condition of stock, the downstream did not rush to order new goods, so spinning mills would not be easy to pick up new orders at the moment. At present, yarn sales have occasionally taken delivery, but transportation has not been resumed everywhere, and the delivery channels have not been smooth. There are hardly any single orders. Occasionally, some bulk goods are issued. The price of the yarn is mainly before the Spring Festival, and there are downstream customers asking for prices, but no new orders are made. It is understood that enterprises also try to strengthen communication with customers through online office and online transactions, stabilize old customers and expand new customers. However, enterprises are also worried about the future market, for example, the Guangdong market is dominated by spring and summer orders. Once the season is over, the order volume will be greatly affected.
Orders, the current enterprise orders are mostly orders before the Spring Festival, some enterprises are rich in orders, can be done to the end of the first quarter or even longer, some ten days and a half months, so now these orders will not have real-time changes? The information on the downstream adjustment is still in the dynamic state and the market is likely to change.
Follow up orders do not grasp the market, the situation still needs to wait and see.
Today, the outbreak of sniping is not over yet. With the resumption of textile enterprises, the production and marketing of textile market will face new changes.
On the market, some yarn producing enterprises produce regular products, and have fixed supply and marketing relations with downstream enterprises, including fixed varieties, fixed specifications and quantity, but these enterprises do not represent the whole industry situation. More spinning enterprises still rely on orders received to arrange production and operation. At present, the small and medium sized spinning enterprises basically rely on their orders to arrange production and marketing. The main body of the production contract in mid February came from the end of last year.
At present, some enterprises are not sure about the subsequent orders. The result of their communication with downstream customers is that enterprises in the industry are waiting to see and wait. Because these enterprises are in different areas, the severity of the epidemic is different, the industry policy is different, and the time to rework is different.
As a big textile country, if the international and domestic market of Chinese textiles is obstructed by disease, then the upstream business will rapidly slump, the raw cotton will not be sold, the spinning wheel will not be enough, and the yarn will have no source. Many enterprises are worried about more problems. For example, how to do the production and marketing of the epidemic areas, such as the cotton producing cotton province and the main production and marketing areas around Hubei? Will the raw materials and textiles from these places be looked upon by the industry or consumers? Is the business going on in the epidemic area broken or continued? These problems remain contradictory and enterprises need to be resolved.
After the comprehensive analysis, the inter industry thinks that in March, the textile enterprises will carry out a comprehensive resumption of work, strive for more driving rates, and guarantee the quality and quantity to complete the agreed production tasks monthly. At the same time, they must bear the responsibility of epidemic prevention and control. With the further clarity of the epidemic trend and the impact of the epidemic on the consumer market, internal and external trade and circulation links, a brand new industry system will become clearer after the March sorting expectation. The real post epidemic market trend will start at least in four or five months.
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