The September Overall Prosperity Index: Output Growth, Circulation And Contraction, And The Prosperity Index Is Smaller Than The Index.

"China Keqiao textile index" in September 2019, the total prosperity index closed at 1252.22 points, a rise of 0.21%, an increase of 3.14% compared with the beginning of the year, down 1.64% compared with the same period last year.

　　 General trend chart

Circulation link ratio retraction

Circulation index fell

In September 2019, the total market circulation index closed at 1173.50 points, down 0.91%. In September, the textile marketing was stagnant, and the market of textile circulation was partially inadequate.

In September, a series of changes have taken place in the market of dyestuff and raw materials. The two rise in dye prices has a certain effect on the downstream printing and dyeing and textile market. In September 3rd, the price of dyestuff was raised by the company. The implementation price of conventional disperse dyes was raised by 2000 yuan / ton, and the active dye was raised by 1000 yuan / ton. Since September 16th, the price of dyestuffs has increased again, the disperse dye series has been raised by 10%, and the whole range of reactive dyes has been raised by 5%. Meta benzene two amine: GAS108-45-2 up to 100 thousand yuan / ton.

Polyester raw material rises fast and falls fast. In addition to dyestuff, the raw material market of the first two days also opened up a wave of price surges. By the evening of September 17th, the market received news that Saudi oil production will recover faster than expected, and is close to restoring 70% of 5 million 700 thousand barrels / day loss and will be fully recovered in the next 2 to 3 weeks. Late Brent crude oil and US crude oil futures plummeted sharply, expanding to 6%. PTA futures also fell. Polyester filament, which is most closely related to textile people, also stopped rising in September 18th, and began to stabilize. It began to decline in late September. This wave of price rises is fast and fast. In the final analysis, there is no support for downstream orders, no price rises. The downstream textile industry is weakening. The shipment of grey fabrics is slow and the volume is small, and the inventory pressure of grey fabric is large.

Due to the relatively limited downstream demand, the traditional marketing of the textile city is partly inadequate, and the spot transaction of products in summer is significantly reduced. The spot trading and order delivery in autumn are partially inadequate. In the beginning of winter, the delivery of fabric orders is relatively limited, and the local sales volume shrinks.

1, the circulation efficiency index fell. In September, the market circulation efficiency index closed at 1668.69 points, down 3.79%. Due to a marked decline in spot products in the summer, the spot trading and order delivery in autumn were partially inadequate. In the beginning of winter, the delivery of fabric orders was relatively limited, and the turnover of popular fabrics decreased. The demand for textile market in the domestic market decreased, and the turnover index decreased in September.

2, the circulation of gross margin index fell. In September, the market circulation gross margin index closed at 1264.23 points, down 7.42%. As the downstream demand for mass dyeing and printing products decreased, the volume of turnover in the circulation market was shorter than that in the circulation market, and the spot trading and order delivery decreased. The profit margin of the public product was shrinking, which led to a decline in the gross profit margin index in September.

3, circulation confidence index fell slightly. In September, the confidence index of the circulation market closed at 981.07 points, down 0.08%. The market demand index closed at 953.13 points, down 0.08%. 2. The judging index of variety profitability was closed at 972.69 points, down by 0.12%. Third, the judgement index of our business position was closed at 1008.31 points, down by 0.06%.

Enterprise orders increase

Production boom

In September 2019, the total business climate index closed at 1289.38 points, rising by 1.09%. In September, the opening rate of some textile printing and dyeing enterprises continued to increase, and output increased by ring. The production boom index is rising.

"World textile sees China, Chinese textile is in Keqiao." From September 26th to 30, the textile city of Keqiao ushered in a number of international events, sending the world the strongest voice of Keqiao in the new era of international textile. The second world cloth merchants conference, Keqiao autumn Textile Expo, Keqiao autumn fashion week, pattern Copyright Protection Forum, Yangtze River Delta private enterprise labor competition on-site exchange meeting and international trade service exhibition were successfully held.

2019 the second world cloth merchants conference was held from September 27th to 29. The theme of the opening ceremony, keynote speech, theme forums and related events ceremonies were the theme of "open collaboration, technology driven and fashion change". Hundreds of international trade associations, brands, designers and representatives of textile and garment industry from 45 countries and regions such as the United States, Germany, France, the United Kingdom and Italy will gather together to talk about the new trend and new future of global textile. At the current business conference, we held the activities of "global fashion industry development forum" and "textile and apparel international collaborative innovation management forum", focusing on the fashion trends at home and abroad, the global fashion economy and the new consumption situation and other dimensions to explore the direction of the development of textile fashion industry.

In the Yangtze River Delta region, the labor competition meeting held by the private enterprises and the professional skills competition of textile workers were held in September 28th. The theme of the competition was "to join hands in the new era of the Yangtze River Delta" to stimulate the enthusiasm of the staff and workers in learning technology, skills and skills, and to strengthen the construction of highly skilled personnel in the textile industry in the Yangtze River Delta region.

2019 China Shaoxing Keqiao International Textile Fair (Autumn) was held from September 28th to 30, with an exhibition area of 25 thousand square meters, and 552 enterprises ordered 1400 booths. It is worth mentioning that the current Textile Expo will be held at the Shaoxing International Convention and Exhibition Center. This is also the debut of Shaoxing International Convention and Exhibition Center. In addition, it is worth noting that the 2019 China Light Textile City International Trade Service Exhibition is also held in the form of "exhibition in the exhibition".

2019 Keqiao fashion week (Autumn) was held from September 26th to 30, with the theme of "fashion change and achievement of" cloth fan ". It covers 18 colorful activities, including brand publishing, fashion show, trend salon, innovation display, professional forum, international exchange, street art and so on, and integrates the popular elements of Keqiao CBD international fashion center business circle. "Oriental power, glittering and spinning all", Keqiao fashion trends released and romantic encounters, Paris and Milan fashion show, 2020 fashion design exhibition, 2020/21 autumn and winter fashion trend forum of Chinese women's wear, etc., are staged in turn to show the beauty of fashion.

　　 1, the output of innovative products increased, and the scale index increased. In September, the size index of manufacturing enterprises closed at 1692.23 points, rising by 0.48%. Weaving and dyeing and printing enterprises need to increase their domestic demand and trade orders. The number of innovative fabric orders has increased. Raw materials and new styles of reactive dyeing, digital printing, colorful jacquard, colorful embroidery fabrics and accessories have been increasing. The number of spot fabrics and orders in the autumn and early winter has been increasing.

　　 2, the output of creative products increased, and the efficiency index increased. In September, the efficiency index of manufacturing enterprises closed at 1359.12 points, rising by 3.18%. Some large scale textile enterprises in Keqiao district take the fashion and creative fabrics as the core features, and make new progress and take advantage of the situation. With strong radiation power, cohesive force and competitiveness, they push Keqiao to build a new industrial structure and build a new industrial ecosystem.

　　 3, orders for production enterprises increased and sales revenue index increased. In September, the sales revenue index of manufacturing enterprises closed at 1692.96 points, rising by 1.71%, the new style fabric orders increased, and the output of jet weaving, knitting and warp knitted fabrics increased. Cotton, hemp, polyester and blended raw materials and cotton, polyester cotton, polyester, nylon, cotton, linen and viscose fabric fabric orders increased unequal volume trend, orders for clothing accessories products showed a slight upward trend, sales revenue rose, inventory rate decreased, pulling the production enterprise sales index rose.

　　 4, corporate confidence index is rising. The confidence index in production boom closed at 851.67 points, rising 0.66%. Among them: (1) the index of market demand for production enterprises closed at 850.70 points, rising by 0.20%. (2) the judging index of manufacturing enterprises' ability to breed profit has closed at 876.52 points, rising by 0.68%. (3) the production enterprises' judgement index for their business prospects closed at 833.76 points, rising by 0.98%.

Next total prosperity index forecast

In October 2019, it was estimated that the textile industry in Keqiao District of Shaoxing city showed a trend of rising slightly. With the further development of "fashion Keqiao", Keqiao has gradually transformed from the textile manufacturing and trade center to the fashion source, and fashion creativity has gradually become the new business card of Keqiao. October is the traditional peak season for textile industry. Textile enterprises are preparing for the "silver ten". Some of the large-scale textile enterprises take the fashion and creative fabrics as the core features. Orders will increase, and the market will have a warming trend.