This Year, Warm Winter May Bring Another Mink Market To The Cold Night.
Recently, in the China fur prediction network QQ group (three District 32963289), and Xu Gaofeng, a farming expert in Weifang, Shandong, talked about the price of hormone skin this year, I believe that the marten market will have a cold night this year, and its price is likely to exceed 200 yuan.
There are several reasons for this.
Warm winter may appear again this year.
According to the forecast of meteorological department, it is possible that this year will be the hottest year in China since the "El Nino" phenomenon. The possibility of high temperature and drought will increase greatly.
Although warm winter is not the only factor affecting the price of fur, the industry believes that the influence of warm winter on the fur market is increasing.
If there is another warm winter this year, the sales of fur will be greatly constrained.
Nowadays, employees are increasingly concerned about the impact of climate on the industry.
Two. Feed pressure puts farmers on the brink of collapse.
According to Xinhua news agency, Beijing, May 3, in the face of severe energy saving and emission reduction situation, Cao Changqing, director of the State Development and Reform Commission Price Division, recently said that price leverage is the most direct and sensitive means of regulating interest relations and should play an important role in promoting energy saving and emission reduction.
Cao Changqing said at the Symposium on the work of fee statistics, on the one hand, the low price of resources needs to be raised substantially to curb excessive consumption of energy and resources, and to compensate for the cost of environmental governance. On the other hand, the economic affordability and psychological endurance of all sectors of society, especially low-income groups, are relatively low.
The continued increase in energy prices will force the cost of investment in meat based marten industry to continue to increase.
This has also kept pressure on mink farming industry in China.
Taking the price of male mink (Wendeng city) in Weihai, Shandong Province as an example, the total cost of farmers' investment is basically 150 yuan - 160 yuan per 80cm240, which is very meager for profit.
Once feed prices continue to rise and the price of mink skin is clouded, many farmers will have to give up mink farming.
Three. The Russian market is erratic.
Cheng Yijun, an associate researcher at the Russian Academy of East European and Central Asian Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that the situation is still grim from the development trend of Sino Russian trade in 2007.
According to the decree issued by the Russian government, foreign workers have been prohibited from engaging in alcohol and drug trade in Russia since January 1st. In the first quarter, foreigners who engaged in retail trade in the Russian market and kiosks were not allowed to exceed 40%; from April 1st, foreigners were prohibited from selling goods in Russia.
At present, most of the foreign citizens engaged in retail business in Russia are Chinese. They are an important force in promoting the development of Sino Russian trade. Once they withdraw from the market, Sino Russian trade will suffer serious losses.
From this we can infer that the trade situation between China and Russia in 2007 is not optimistic.
Although the Russian market is not the only market for Chinese fur exports, its role can not be ignored.
Four. Denmark's auction is not improving.
The author believes that China's mink market is the most difficult to predict in the fur industry.
This is because we also have a Danish auction which affects the domestic mink market.
In terms of mink skin, our hardware and software are not comparable to them.
Some time ago, when China's mink market was affected by the Danish auction, the author told the consultant that the next Danish auction would be likely to rise steadily and steadily, because they had the organizational capabilities that we did not have (including color and quality, of course).
We can see from the April auction that future popular categories will come.
Copenhagen auction April 17th 07 mink auction price
Variety sales rate average price highest price
US dollar
Black Cross Leather 100%47.7969.05
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