Analysis Of The Causes And Countermeasures Of Fur Market And Breeding Situation
The domestic fur market has seen a sharp decline since the end of last year. All kinds of raw materials, purchase and sale prices fell step by step, sales were sluggish, and products were overloaded. The average paction price of pelt is 50% lower than that of last year. Fur farming is affected by the price of leather sheet and the rising cost of feed. The situation is more severe and embarrassing. As the price of leather has dropped to the edge of feed costs, the vast majority of feedstocks have felt great threat and pressure. This article only makes a brief analysis of the reasons for the low price of fur market and the countermeasures.
First, the low market of fur is an inevitable trend.
Fur market, like many other commodities, has a cyclical change. It is impossible to keep going up and never go down. It is influenced by the quantity and quality of raw materials, the circulation of purchase and sale, the processing and development of raw materials, and the marketing of products. This year, the fur market continued to rise in the past few years.
Two, the reasons for the sharp fall in the fur market this year
There are some reasons for the low price of fur market this year:
1, the number of aquaculture increased sharply, and the supply of raw materials exceeded demand.
Because fur market is optimistic in the past few years, fur breeding has been very effective, which has stimulated the rapid expansion of domestic breeding. Under the condition of stable demand for fur processing and sharp increase in the number of livestock, all kinds of leather sheets have led to the imbalance of the industrial chain, and from the balance of supply and demand to the oversupply. This is the main reason for this year's fur market downturn.
2, affected by global warming.
Influenced by global warming, sales and consumption of fur products have been greatly reduced. Leading to a serious backlog of finished products and a slump in the terminal products market. According to reports, last year, the remaining goods hoarding rate of 50%-60%.
3, the adjustment of national policies will also temporarily affect the domestic fur processing industry.
In order to adapt to the overall situation of international economic and trade integration, the state has reduced the export tax rebate rate of fur commodities from 17% to 13%, and now it has dropped to 5%. Pelts of fur animals are banned from import and export products. The environmental protection department has strengthened the pollution control of fur processing plants. The fur processing industry that is not yet standardized in China is being rectified, adapted and improved. Therefore, in the short term, it will also affect the purchase and sale of fur.
4, Russia's rectification of the fur market in Moscow has impeded the circulation of mink products.
Domestic mink products are mainly exported to the former Soviet Union and exported to Russia. But Russia implemented the policy of restricting foreigners to engage in retail trade in Russia in April 2007, and increased the tax rate. Directly lead to the limited export of Chinese mink products to Russia and the sharp reduction of export volume. The anti fur movement launched by animal protection organizations in some developed countries in the West has also affected the export trade of fur products in China.
5, the impact of fashion trends.
In recent years, fur clothing has changed from focusing on warmth to aesthetics. Long hair needle fur has become fashionable and its consumption has increased greatly. Therefore, it has adverse effects on Arctic fox fur sales.
6, the impact of the international market.
Affected by the price of international auctions, the domestic market also fluctuates. This year, the prices of Arctic Fox and mink are also dropping in Finland and Denmark fur auction, which adds pressure to the domestic fur market. The fur market is declining this year, not only domestic factors, but also domestic and international influences.
Three, fur market situation and fur animal breeding trend analysis
1, the fur market may be hard to get back and the trough is longer.
This year's fur market downturn is different from the previous market downturn. Several times due to a certain reason, the time is short and the rebound is fast. This market downturn is affected by the comprehensive factors of the whole industry chain, and it may show a tendency to accumulate. The duration of different types of products may vary.
Fox fur
Although there is a backlog of Fox Skins, but with the introduction of new trends, the decline in the number of aquaculture (shrinking from last year, this year will be substantially reduced), oversupply eased. When the backlog is sold and the supply and demand balance is reached, the rebound time may be a little faster.
Mink skin
The surge in prices last year stimulated the growth of mink and the number of new businesses. This year, we will be forced to shrink and abandon. On the contrary, it will aggravate the pressure of oversupply, and the rebound time may be slower. However, mink fur is a mainstay product in the fur market, and it will also shorten the market rebound time if it solves the problem of Russian customs clearance.
Raccoon skin
The market price of raccoon dog has been optimistic over the past few years, and the volume of aquaculture is increasing exponentially. This year's sharp decline in market prices will trigger a sharp decline in seed production, bringing the soaring market share of raccoon skins this winter. It is estimated that the trough period will last longer than the fox. 2, fur animal breeding will be greatly adjusted and improved.
The low market is the inevitable trend, and the majority of farms will be tested and crisis. Only by adjusting and improving the current low level will we win the potential of sustainable and long-term development in the future.
(1) the severe test of where to go before the low valley.
The low price of the market is both a disaster and a test. Just like a wave of sand, the survival of the fittest is an inevitable rule. Only through the trough can we usher in sustainable development. Otherwise, it can only be a few years of destruction.
2. The scale of cultivation will be greatly reduced.
Due to the market situation, it is expected that the seed reservation will be reduced considerably next year.
Mink breeding will be reduced due to large investment, slow turnover and low profit margins. Most farms will be reduced. In recent years, farms that have just been launched will be bankrupt due to difficulties in capital turnover. According to the survey results, mink seed consumption will be reduced by about 30%.
The fox was affected by the market and began shrinking in 2006. This year, as the market continues to slump, more seeds will be reduced. Many small farms are not allowed to breed because of their low price and heavy losses. According to the survey results, it is estimated that the number of remaining seeds will be reduced by about 50% next year.
Because of the low cost of raising raccoon dogs, most of the raccoons are waiting to see the price of leather at the end of the year before deciding on the number of seeds left. But it is estimated that this winter raccoon season skin market, there will be no big change. The amount of seed planted next year is expected to decrease sharply according to the survey results.
3. Population quality will be improved.
The first is to adjust the fine varieties. The two is the product that markets and sells. Such as silver black fox, color Fox and color mink will continue to grow; arctic fox fox and Silver Black Fox mate, produce silver blue fox; white arctic fox (shadow Fox) and silver fox mating, production of Golden Island fox selection will increase significantly.
4. The brand superiority of fine varieties will be further highlighted.
The lower the market, the better the brand and brand will be. Mink farming, like Dalian and Penglai, takes full advantage of the advantages of improved species, feed advantages and climatic advantages, and is still dominated by stable development. Liaoning Jinzhou precious fur Animals Inc is currently expanding the international advanced standard "Dalian Mingwei mink Industry Co., Ltd.". Inner Mongolia Golden River, Shandong Rizhao and other Finland raw species arctic fox pure breeding farm, Weifang big Yu improvement improves arctic fox and so on.
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