Domestic Polyester Filament Market Continues To Decline, The Rebound Is About To Start.
Last week, at home Polyester filament Market Under the impact of multiple negative factors, it continued to go down. The average drop in the week was 300-400 yuan / ton, and the decline of some FDY products was as high as 500-600 yuan / ton. and Polyester yarn price The decline is echoed, and its sales situation is not optimistic. Most of the weaving factories are buying and selling immediately, and their interest in storing goods has dropped to a low point. This makes the production and marketing rate of polyester factories continue to maintain at a low level this week. The average production and sales rate of the factories is only about 40%, even though the better factories are only about 70%, and the inventory of the manufacturers has risen to a higher level. The inventory of FDY products is about 12 days, and the stock of FDY is about 15 days. The inventory of DTY products is at a high risk level, and the price of polyester is not good enough for about 30 days, which fully reflects the current market downturn.
In terms of product prices, Shengze market filament products Price For example, as of the end of last week, market POY 75D/36F Price For 8300-8500 yuan / ton, the price of POY 75D/72F is 8500-8700 yuan / ton, the price of DTY 75D/36F is 10400-10500 yuan / ton, the price of DTY 75D/72F (light network) is 11500-11900 yuan / ton, and the price of DTY 75D/144F is 11500-11600 yuan / ton, DTY 150D/288F Price At 10100-11600 yuan / ton, the price of FDY 50D/24F is 9900-10200 yuan / ton, the price of FDY 63D/24F is 9400-9600 yuan / ton, the FDY 75D/36F luminous price is 9000-9100 yuan / ton, FDY 150D/96F Price It's 8300-8400 yuan / ton.
Judging from the variety of sales, last week, the sales of POY series products were weak. Even the demand for the POY wire, which had been more active in the earlier stage, also showed a marked decline. DTY products were mostly semi porous products such as DTY75D/144F, 150D/144F, 288F and so on, and the sales of FDY products were better than those of matting and fine denier yarn. Last week, the upstream raw material PX products came out of the single side down the market, its Asia Price Has fallen to $840 / ton, subject to PX price For most of the time, the price of the internal market has fallen to 5800-5900 yuan / ton, and the weekly decline is 400 yuan / ton. The mainstream price in the external market is between 690-700 dollars / ton, and the weekly market price has dropped by 50 yuan / ton. At the same time, the performance of the MEG market is still weak. By the end of last week, the mainstream negotiated price of the internal market has dropped to 3600-3700 yuan / ton, and the mainstream negotiation price of the external market has reached 440-450 yuan / ton, and the weekly decline has reached 300 yuan / ton. In addition, the price of polyester chip market has also dropped synchronously. By the end of last week, the mainstream market quotation has dropped to 6900 yuan / ton (cash acceptance), and the mainstream negotiation price has been reduced by 200 yuan / ton in 6700-6800 yuan / ton (cash). Decline, PTA spot market prices last week
Upstream raw materials Price The low collective price has become the main "short" power to push the price of filament yarn down. In addition, the downstream textile terminal market has always been difficult to improve, and the downstream weaving plant's operating rate is also insufficient. For example, the integrated boot in Jiangsu and Zhejiang has been about 65%, which makes it difficult to enlarge the consumption of polyester in the downstream, and fundamentally inhibit the polyester market. In addition, some polyester factories have taken the price reduction measures to digest the increasing inventory, which has contributed to the fall of the filament market.
Well, in the new week, Polyester filament Market Can it be stabilized or even rebounded?
Combined with the relevant market factors, I believe that this market out of this market probability is very large. I support the author's view that the international oil price was strong last week, and it will stimulate or drive the price of petroleum derivatives. 如上周二的時候，紐約商品期貨交易所西得克薩斯輕油4月期貨每桶41.65美元，比前一交易日上漲1.50美元，交易區間39.44-42.07美元；倫敦洲際交易所布倫特原油4月期貨每桶43.7美元，比前一交易日上漲1.49美元，交易區間41.6-44.1美元；周三收盤時紐約商品期貨交易所西得克薩斯輕油4月期貨每桶45.38美元，比前一交易日上漲3.73美元，交易區間43.85-44.3美元；倫敦洲際交易所布倫特原油4月期貨每桶46.12美元，比前一交易日上漲2.42美元，交易區間43.1-46.54美元；周四雖然歐美原油期貨獲利回吐，美國原油期貨盤中跌破43美元，收盤下跌4%，但周五的時候 受石油輸出國組織（歐佩克）可能減產以及美元貶值等因素影響，國際油價大幅回升，到當天收盤時，紐約商品交易所４月份交貨的輕質原油期貨價格上漲１．９１美元，收于每桶４５.５２美元，漲幅近４％。
The London International Petroleum Exchange's April delivery of Beihai Brent crude oil futures rose 1.21 US dollars to close at $44.85 a barrel.
國際油價在經過大幅度下跌之后的強勁反彈，其代表的不僅僅是一種價格行為，更主要的是向市場表明油價已經不會有大的下跌空間，這對下游衍生產品的價格走向意義重大。再考慮進PX、PTA產品價格本輪行情以來下跌幅度比較大，市場做空能量得到了很好的宣泄，繼續下跌的空間已經被封閉，所以原料對長絲市場的壓力在新的一周并不會太大。
Two, polyester factories are in a loss situation at present. According to Sinopec's PTA and MEG2 monthly settlement price of 6400 yuan and 4400 yuan / ton, then the absolute cost of polyester is 7000 yuan / ton, so the cost of half light POY, DTY and FDY150D is roughly 8100, 9200, 8400 yuan / ton, and at present Spot market The paction price has been in a state of apparent loss. The maximization of profit is the goal pursued by enterprises. Polyester manufacturers will take corresponding measures to restrain them. product price Continue to fall.
Three, some downstream weaving enterprises have already consumed the raw material reserves after the Spring Festival. Although the strategy of buying and using them has been maintained recently, once the price of the filament tends to be stable, the emergence of a new round of centralized purchasing behavior will not be ruled out, and the emergence of such a situation will surely boost the long silk market.
To sum up, the author thinks that Ben Round polyester filament Market The fall is coming to an end, and the rebound will soon begin.
Editor in chief: Xu Qiyun
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