Analysis: Domestic Demand For Butadiene Rubber Will Ease In The Future

At present, China's butadiene rubber is mainly used in tire, shoemaking, high impact polystyrene (HIPS) and modification of ABS resin.

According to the 2010-2015 year investment analysis and prospect forecast report of the Chinese synthetic rubber industry released by CIC, the demand for tire area accounts for about 64.9% of the total demand for Br, about 10.2% of the shoe making, 9.7% of the processing and modification of high impact polystyrene, 8.8% of rubber hose and tape, and 6.4% of other aspects.

Chang Yizhi, a chemical industry researcher at CIC, pointed out that CIS is the world's second largest synthetic rubber after SBR.

In recent years, due to the rapid development of automobile, high-speed rail, aerospace and other fields, the demand for butadiene rubber in China is increasing.

However, as China's market demand for butadiene rubber has increased significantly, the speed of CBR production growth in China is lower than that of demand growth, making the supply of polybutadiene rubber market in short supply in China.

According to the investment analysis and forecast report of China's synthetic rubber industry released by China investment advisor 2010-2015 years ago, the total production capacity of butadiene rubber in China in 2008 was 436 thousand tons / year and the output was 440 thousand and 900 tons. In 2009, there were 9 manufacturers of butadiene rubber in China, with a total production capacity of 590 thousand tons / year. In 2009, the production of butadiene rubber in China was about 460 thousand tons.

Since 2007, the apparent consumption of butadiene rubber in China has been over 600 thousand tons.

It can be seen that the production capacity of CBR in China can not meet the domestic market demand.

Chang Yizhi believes that this shortage of supply is only temporary. In the future, with the commissioning of some new devices, the situation of China's butadiene rubber market in short supply will be eased.

According to the 2010-2015 year investment analysis and prospect forecast report of China synthetic rubber industry released by China investment advisor, it shows that in 2010-2011 years, China will add 360 thousand tons / year of CBR capacity.

At present, Sinopec Yanshan Petrochemical Industries Co and Michelin joint venture plan to build 30 thousand tons / year rare earth CIS polybutadiene rubber, so that the total production capacity of CBR reaches 150 thousand tons / year; PetroChina Daqing Petrochemical Co is ready to increase the output of the oil extended polybutadiene rubber, so that the total capacity can reach 100 thousand tons / year.

It is estimated that in 2010, the 30 thousand ton / year CIS polybutadiene rubber plant which has been stopped by Baling Petrochemical Project will be removed. The production capacity of CBR in China will reach 700 thousand tons / year.