Morizawa Yoshiki: Review And Future Development Of Polyester Market
This year, the polyester Market in July showed a trend of "all the way up", and the price of polyester also went out of a round of rising season.
Polyester filament
FDY50D/48F the mainstream quotation of Jiangsu and Zhejiang market rose to 17500-17700 yuan / ton, which was 1500-1600 yuan / ton from the mainstream market quotation in the beginning of the month, but the sales situation of coarse Dan appeared to be general.
The market is reviewed as follows:
First week: (June 28th to July 4th) last week
Polyester filament
Supply continues to be tight. First, the market will be soft, especially when the purchasing power of POY is weak.
In terms of price, the quotations of Shengze local direct spinning mill and sliced spinning factory are all stable, but the price of polyester products in Shengze and Jiaxing markets has been lowered.
From the current market analysis: Although the downstream weaving start rate is stable, spinning mill stock pressure is not big, but in the lower reaches of June, the purchasing volume is larger, and then the polyester raw material PTA, slicing and other market weakness revealed, at present, the purchasing atmosphere is generally cautious in the wait-and-see period.
Most people believe that a few days in the short term polyester market dominated by weak market consolidation, but the COSCO pet market does not rule out or will start the trend of callback market.
Second weeks: (from July 5th to July 11th), because of weak performance of purchasing power on Monday (from July 3rd to 4th).
Polyester filament
The price opened differently, and on Tuesday, under the influence of the international oil price drop, the price of polyester was still showing a small range, and Wednesday's polyester market was in a temperate state.
Driven by the overnight oil rally and tight supply of other factors, the market opened slightly higher on Thursday, rising at a range of 100-200 yuan /T.
The price of polyester rose again on Friday, with a range of 100-300 yuan /T.
By Friday PTA futures rose late, and a few days before the production of good pet sales, the two-day weekend Saturday sporadic increase.
On Sunday, the market of polyester was calm and calm, and the atmosphere of trading was basically calm.
At present, the polyester yarn inventory level of spinning mills has dropped to a low level in recent years. The supply of some varieties and specifications has been tighter. The demand for partial supply within the domestic polyester market has become steady. Next week, polyester prices continue to rise slightly.
The third week: (July 12th to July 18th), with the coexistence of tight supply and rigid demand for polyester products, the wait-and-see mentality of the early polyester market also took the opportunity to enter the market again. The market prices of polyester products showed an upward trend at the end of last week, especially the supply of FDY and POY fine denier yarn was particularly tight. Therefore, the price of silk products increased even more this week, but the market atmosphere of FDY crude products was slightly dull recently.
Although the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream weaving manufacturers and bomb companies is not high, there is almost no inventory pressure on polyester products in chemical fiber spinning plant, and many products are still in tight supply.
It is expected that the polyester market will remain stable and strong in the future market, and it will not rule out that some of the best selling polyester products will continue to increase slightly.
The fourth week: (July 19th to July 25th), as the supply of some specifications was still tight, polyester prices continued to rise at a high level. Although the trend of the polyester market was slowing down obviously, the supply of FDY fine denier yarn was still tight, and the FDY50D/72F quoted price was 18300 yuan /T.
Judging from the current market situation of polyester, the price of downstream materials is rather sad, and the production profit of warp knitted fabrics is also compressed to varying degrees. Downstream weaving controls the quantity of raw materials carefully, and brings resistance to the continuous increase of polyester price.
But the downstream weaving rate is higher. Market participants are cautiously optimistic about the market trend of polyester market. Polyester production FDY still has a tight supply of fine denier products. It is expected that the market will continue to be dominated by a small shock market next week, but the speed of polyester price rise will slow down.
Fifth weeks: (July 26th to August 1st), this week, the polyester market has more than 70% varieties of goods supply shortage, and in August, there are more polyester plant arrangement maintenance rumor, downstream weaving and bomb purchase is more active, polyester market fine product supply is more intense, polyester POY50D/72F, 75D/72F silk price continues to rise; DTY fine product yarn price also has 200 yuan /T or so, FDY fine denier products this week cumulative increase of 400-500 yuan /T, or even more.
From the current spinning enterprises to earn interest, this week the production and sales rate is better. The loom's starting rate is steady whether it is jet weaving or warp knitting. The industry believes that the market trend of polyester market is still cautiously optimistic. The supply of polyester fine denier yarn is still tight, and the market participants are more optimistic about the market outlook.
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