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    A New High RMB Exchange Rate Is In Full Swing.

    2010/9/30 16:01:00 69

    RMB Rate

    about

    RMB

    Exchange rate "

    Underground warfare

    "There seems to be a momentum of further upgrading.

    Over the past 11 trading days, the central parity of RMB against the US dollar has reached a record high for 8 consecutive days, followed by a brief return of US $6.70 over the next two days.

    Yesterday, the central parity of RMB rose 115 basis points higher than last day, and reached a new high.

    The market trend is also very strong, the recent 10 trading days to refresh the exchange reform since the high.


    According to the data of China foreign exchange trading center in September 29th, the RMB exchange rate in the interbank foreign exchange market was 1 yuan against RMB 6.6936 yuan, up 115 basis points from the previous day.

    On the previous two days, the US dollar against the RMB briefly stood above 6.70 yuan, and the two day total of RMB dropped by 54 basis points.

    Nevertheless, since entering September, the central parity of RMB has risen by 1190 basis points.


    It is undeniable that Summers's visit to China in early September and the subsequent hearing of the RMB exchange rate by the US Congress were among the "triggers" that triggered the incident.

    The continued weakening of the US dollar in the international foreign exchange market and the demand for China's domestic economy basically facing the appreciation of the local currency are also contributing to the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate at least in the form of "unilateral" appreciation.


    Most people in the industry believe that

    US dollar index

    It may continue to remain weak because last week's US interest conference statement had hinted that the Fed would most likely restart a new round of quantitative easing measures.

    In the past month, the US dollar index has fallen by 5.16%, the highest period being 83.22 points. As of press release, yesterday's 78.84 point interval was 78.58 points away from the lowest point.


    In addition, the euro has surged 7.27% against the dollar in the past month, and the pound has risen 3.05% against the US dollar. The Aussie dollar has risen 9.08% against the dollar in one month.

    In the meantime, the US dollar only declined slightly against the Japanese yen and Canadian dollar.

    No wonder foreign exchange analysts exclaim that the currency market is now in a dogfight, and the direction is hard to distinguish.


    Lu Ting, economist at the Bank of America and Merrill Lynch, recently pointed out that the fundamentals of China's economic stability give the space for the renminbi to continue to appreciate.

    There is a forecast that China's trade surplus will reach $150 billion this year, or higher than the previous $100 billion forecast of the Ministry of Commerce.

    Public information also shows that China's trade surplus amounted to US $196 billion 70 million in 2009.

    For the future RMB exchange rate, Lu Ting predicted the target at the end of the year was 1 yuan to 6.60 yuan.


    Yesterday, the yuan closed the US dollar spot market inquiry price closed for 10 consecutive trading days to refresh the exchange rate reform to a new high, which also revealed that the market's appreciation of the renminbi in the future is still strong.

    Since its closing price of 6.7618 yuan in September 13th, it has gone through the domestic mid autumn holidays, and its overseas dollar has fallen to nearly 2%, until yesterday's close at 6.6868 yuan.

    On the 10 trading day, the Yuan's market quotation for the US dollar rose by 824 basis points.

    It is worth noting that the central parity of the yuan has fallen by 101 basis points this Monday, but on the closing day, the yuan continued to rise by 156 basis points.


    In the domestic RMB swap market yesterday, the 1 - year US dollar was worth 620 points, hitting a new high.

    This shows that the market thinks that RMB will reach 6.6248 yuan against the US dollar in 1 years, and the appreciation will be 0.93% in 1 years.

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