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    Polyester Staple Fiber Gets Rid Of "Chicken Ribs" And Sets A New High In The Year.

    2010/10/8 14:44:00 55

    Psf


    Since September,

    Polyester fiber

    Short fiber market rose sharply, the monthly rise of 2500 yuan / ton, hitting a new high in the year. For example, at the end of the month, the 1.4D*38mm low end quotation of Jiangsu market was delivered to 12500 yuan / ton cash, and the high-end offer to 12800 yuan / ton cash.

    The mainstream quotation of 1.4D staple market in Zhejiang is delivered to 12600 yuan / ton cash.

    The market in Shandong and Hebei is strong.

    Private enterprise

    Production talks are mostly around 12300-12450 yuan / ton.

    Southwest Sichuan and Chongqing area half light 1.4D*38mm negotiated more than 12000-12200 yuan / ton cash out factory.

    And from the current market fundamentals, the rise of PET staple does not seem to have ended.


    What causes the polyester fiber?

    Spun

    The market is getting rid of the "chicken ribs" market and has been greatly improved.


    First, the cost of raw materials can not be ignored.


    PTA is the main raw material of polyester staple fiber, which accounts for more than 80% of the production cost of PET staple fiber. Therefore, raw material PTA has become a major cost factor for polyester price rise.

    At present, although the upward trend of the upstream raw material PTA has slowed down, the trend of its rise is still unchanged. As of the end of the month, the RMB offer in the East China market will be 8000 yuan / ton, the factory will deliver 7900 yuan / ton, the volume of the firm will be roughly 7950 yuan / ton, the Taiwan cargo price for the outer shipment market is 970 dollars / ton, the real intention is 965 dollars / ton, the Korean cargo is quoted 960 dollars / ton, the negotiation intention is 955 dollars / ton, and the Taiwan bonded goods negotiation intention is near 965 dollars / ton.

    The author is optimistic that the PTA spot market will remain at a high level in the current situation of PTA production costs and the trend of stable supply and demand in the market.

    MEG, another main raw material, was also stable. At the end of the month, the Zhangjiagang glycol seller's mentality was stable, the price was 7100 yuan / ton, and the inquiry was 7000 yuan / ton, and the negotiations were mostly around 7050 yuan / ton.

    The shipping market negotiated a valuation of $855 / ton.


    Two, tight supply and demand in the market is the key to the rise of PET staple fiber.


    Due to the shortage of pure polyester yarn in the lower reaches of the lower reaches of the lower reaches of September, the pace of the previous period was accelerated. The price of each product in the market was substantially higher. The price of the main market of pure polyester yarn at the end of the month was up to 18500 yuan / ton, and the price of the 45S pure polyester yarn market was also raised to about 19500 yuan / ton; the overall market condition of the market was ideal, and the pure polyester yarn 32S and the 45S market were relatively better.

    Judging from the market situation of polyester cotton yarn, the market of polyester cotton yarn has also increased steadily in recent years, and the market price of all kinds of specifications has also risen significantly. Among them, the market price of polyester cotton yarn 65/35 32S has also been raised to around 24500 yuan / ton, and the sales volume of the market has also gradually improved.

    Therefore, the yarn market is expected to continue to rise in the short term.


    Driven by the popularity of the downstream market, it also stimulated its enthusiasm for the purchase of PET staple fibers, and the demand for polyester staple fiber was also increasing.

    With the support of the continuous turnover of the market, the manufacturers' orders are basically full this month.

    This led to the continuous increase of polyester staple fiber market.


    Three, cotton prices are also an important factor in the rise of polyester staple market {page_break}


    In addition to the impact of the upstream and downstream markets, cotton prices are also an important factor in promoting the sharp increase in the polyester staple market.

    Although the amount of polyester staple fiber used for export, non-woven fabrics and filling has increased in recent years, most of them are used instead of cotton production yarn. Therefore, there is a certain correlation between them. There is a market professional's statistics and correlation analysis on the price between cotton and PET staple in recent three years, and the correlation between them is as high as 0.865.

    Judging from the normal price difference, the price of the 328 grade cotton should be 2000-3000 yuan / ton higher than that of the polyester staple fiber at the same time. The change of the price of cotton and polyester staple fiber will directly affect the change of the price difference and the price ratio, and then affect the demand of cotton or polyester staple fiber, and ultimately lead to the price of cotton and polyester staple fiber returning to a relatively reasonable price difference or price range.

    Judging from the current trend of the domestic cotton market, the cotton market has been booming recently. The purchase price of seed cotton has continued to rise. The price of throwing and storing has continued to rise, and the 328 level paction price of dumping and storage is breaking through the 20 thousand mark.

    Judging from the current price difference, the two are obviously in an unreasonable range. Under such a price gap, the pulling effect of the recent sharp rise in the market price of polyester staple fiber is obviously very sufficient.


    As the above factors will continue to release in the short term, it is predicted that the rising trend of PET staple will continue.

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