Three Big Conjectures And Strategies For Next Week'S Stock Market
General trend conjecture
Is strength still the main keynote of the market?
Implementation concept: 70%
Specific reasons: by the impact of the global stock market's rise, the Shanghai and Shenzhen two cities opened up high in the morning, and the Shanghai Stock Index easily broke through the 3100 point pressure point and successfully received this point. From the overall point of view, a cross star was collected at the Shanghai stock market today, and the volume was enlarged compared with the previous day. It can be seen that the pressure at the top of the 3100 points is still relatively strong, but the index can be strongly reported at this point. This shows the determination of the strong market. Considering the future market, the author thinks that due to the higher pressure on the upper part, the short-term market will have the possibility of reproducing the shock adjustment, but the overall strength of the market is still unchanged.
Coping strategies: appropriately reduce the high priced varieties of positions, while considering the value of undervalued and undervalued varieties.
The main force conjecture:
Stagflation plate
Will it be sought after?
Implementation probability: 65%
Specific reasons: according to statistics, on Friday, the four main funds of A shares (fund, social security, QFII, insurance) appeared net inflow of small models, the total net income was about 747 million, and the market rose 42.56 points to 3219.50.
The main funds shifted from yesterday to today and continued to increase inflows. However, the inflow of plates was no longer an inflationary sector, but rather in the emerging industries, military industries and other sectors. In addition, the weaker performance and varieties with substantive news and themes continued to receive financial attention. The author believes that the market is still dominated by the trend of plate rotation, so the rotation of funds is also a normal performance. I believe that in the future market, under the leadership of funds, the weaker varieties will also have opportunities.
Coping strategies: investors should gradually increase their attention to early stagflation and undervalued varieties.
Hotspot
Guess: the next hot spot?
Implementation probability: 60%
Specific reasons: under the leadership of today's market, the second tier blue chips have shown strong performance. On the whole, although the banking sector in today's banking sector failed to show strong performance, the four major industries, such as industry, agriculture, China and construction, performed well. In addition, the rise of China's South car and China north car also reflected the market's hot spots being gradually pferred to undervalued varieties. The author believes that as the market becomes stronger and stronger, undervalued varieties will not be able to appear.
Coping strategies: we can choose from the second line blue chips, try to find more active varieties, and the weight blue chips can also be included in the selection range.
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