The Global Economy Is Sluggish &Nbsp; China'S Exports Will Slow Down.

A shares change rhythm difficult to change medium term good

Analysts believe that the keynote of monetary policy regulation in the future, especially the intensity, will become a key factor in the dominant market. Short-term expectations for tightening policy will continue to constrain the market.

But as the global currency has become a trend, liquidity will not change in the medium term.

Coupled with China's rising trade surplus and continued appreciation of the renminbi, the market's abundant capital is expected to continue.

At the same time, the domestic economy is still growing steadily, and the economic pformation is also accelerating. This undoubtedly constitutes a support for the A share market.

After the promulgation of the "12th Five-Year plan", the industry policies and regulations related to emerging industries will also emerge in the short and medium term, which will create positive stimulation for the relevant sectors of the two tier market.

In the next five years, the US economic growth will enter the "2% era". The low growth of the global economy will inhibit Global trade expansion.

In terms of external demand and export proportion method, the author is optimistic that China will export 23322 billion US dollars in 2015. But considering the political situation, policy orientation, financial environment and trade pattern, China will be the focus of global economic rebalancing, and the actual export growth rate will further decline.

RMB appreciation is a long-term trend, but China's exports are essentially determined by resource endowment advantages, international division of labor status and foreign demand. RMB appreciation does not necessarily lead to export decline.

Considering all the factors that affect import and export, China will shift from trade surplus to trade deficit in 2015.

This year the target of private placement is more than eight hundred billion.

since this year on