2010 The Textile And Garment Industry Presents A Trend Of High Before And After Low.

　　內需市場增速穩定增長仍將持續

Clothes and necessities, clothes for the first time. clothing It is a fashionable note that always jumps. It has always had a lot of space to dig. After the financial crisis, the domestic demand market for clothing remained strong. And domestic clothing consumption is in the prosperity channel. The huge consumption demand stimulates the fast growth of clothing consumption, and the average annual growth rate of clothing retail sales is 19%. The boom has recovered to a normal level from the bottom of 2009. Some experts predict that the proportion of consumer goods in China's consumption structure, especially brand consumption, will continue to improve.

As shown in this picture, in August this year, there were hundreds of large enterprises in China. Retail enterprises Sales of clothing increased by 16.8% over the same period last year, while the growth rate of the chain grew by 5.3 percentage points, slightly slower than that of the 3, 4 and May growth rates. The cumulative retail sales of clothing in 1-7 large retail enterprises increased by 25.6% over the same period last year, and the cumulative retail sales grew by 12.9% over the same period last year, up from 7.5 percentage points last year. 8 garment manufacturers are facing rising pressure on raw materials and rising clothing prices, resulting in a slight decline in the volume of clothing retail sales compared with the first half of the month.

According to statistics from relevant departments, since March, China's domestic market consumption is strong, and sales of textile and garment sales continue to accelerate. The growth of domestic demand market continues to play an important supporting role in the production and sales of China's textile industry. The gross domestic product output value of 3933 wool textile, wool knitting and wool textile enterprises reached 120 billion yuan in 1~7 months this year, an increase of 21% over the same period last year, and the growth rate increased by 11.4 percentage points over the same period last year. The proportion of domestic sales accounted for 75.6% of the sales value of the industry. In 1~7 months, the sales of men's suits in key large department stores increased by 15.7% over the same period last year, and the demand for woolen knitted garments in the professional wear market remained stable. At the same time, the sales of wool knitted garments show a trend of diversification. Although sales of cashmere sweaters and sweaters in major department stores decreased by 5.1% over the same period of 1~7 month, sales in professional markets and networks were unusually active, and sales increased over the previous year. At present, the domestic demand market has become the main driving force for supporting the development of the industry.

{page_break}

With the rapid sale of large department stores and clothing chains, As the main channel for sales of medium and high grade brands, large department stores have maintained a sales growth rate of about 20% in the past 6 years, especially in the second tier cities, where sales growth of department stores is much faster than that of wholesale markets.

The steady growth of domestic demand is also a long-term good for supporting clothing consumption. The acceleration of urbanization will gradually reduce the gap of clothing consumption between urban and rural residents. The rural population will directly increase the growth of domestic clothing sales in towns and towns, and clothing sales will gain more room for growth. Local governments have raised the minimum wage standard, which has greatly increased the income of labourers, especially the increase of wage earners' income, and the rapid increase of residents' income level is an important foundation for consumption upgrading.

In fact, in recent years, the consumption concept of the Chinese people has begun to undergo great changes. Especially after the country's overall efforts to improve the living conditions of the people, the state is now considering the improvement and improvement of the social security system. I believe that after several years of hard work, people's basic living standards will be improved, and housing will be improved. There will be new market space for China's consumption. The consumption potential of the 1 billion 300 million population in the next five years or even ten years is still huge. This is a consumption trend and a consumption structure problem.

Garment industry in 2010 is now "high before and after low".

Booming domestic demand market and overseas market have led to the output of the entire textile and garment industry since 2010. China's textile and garment industry has recovered rapidly, especially domestic demand has maintained a high prosperity. In the first 8 months of this year, total business revenue and profit increased by 26.83% and 53.6% respectively. The fourth quarter is the peak season for textile and clothing consumption. It is expected that the industry's retail sales growth is expected to reach 25%.

But for the booming market, there are also people in the industry, mainly in 2009, the financial crisis is very serious, foreign customers basically stopped buying, but rigid demand is still, clothes have to buy, so after last year, inventory digestion finished, the first half of 2010 is mainly replenishing inventory behavior.

At present, China's textile and garment industry has a high degree of dependence on exports, and the improvement of export situation has prompted the industry to recover steadily in the first half of 2010. The source said that during the financial crisis, many factories closed and migrant workers returned home. In 2009, factories did not start much, but this year, the fire broke out. At the same time, data show that from 1 to June, the textile industry achieved an industrial output value of 2 trillion and 117 billion 114 million yuan, an increase of 25.45% over the same period last year, an increase of 19.01 percentage points over the same period last year, and a sales value of 2 trillion and 66 billion 179 million yuan, an increase of 25.94% over the same period last year, a 19.55 percentage point increase over the same period last year.

In addition, the textile and garment industry is booming in the first half of 2010, which may become a bright spot for future growth. Data show that from 1 to June, the domestic sales value of textile industry increased by 28.26% compared to the same period last year, up 17.55 percentage points from the same period last year, and domestic sales accounted for 81.58%, an increase of 1.35 percentage points compared to the same period last year.

From the industry perspective, the industry is in good condition. After February last year, the income of textile and garment industry rose rapidly, and the gross and net interest rates remained basically stable.

In 2010, the textile and garment industry is still facing a series of uncertainties, and export growth is still difficult to return to a higher level. However, the domestic demand market will still play a significant role in promoting the industry, and the adjustment of industrial structure and industrial upgrading will continue to bear fruit. The textile industry will continue to achieve steady recovery in the condition of maintaining stable international market environment. It is estimated that the total export volume of textile and apparel in 2010 will increase by about 4%. The total industrial output value of Enterprises above Designated Size will increase by about 11% compared to the same period last year, and the total profit will increase by about 10% over the same period.

The international market will recover slowly and export growth will remain weak. In 2010, with the further decline of the financial system risk in developed countries and the gradual improvement of market confidence, the world economy will be better and the international market will recover to a certain extent. But at present, the unemployment rates of major developed economies such as the US, Europe, Japan and other major economies are at a historically high level. The unemployment situation still takes a long time to be completely improved. Therefore, the recovery rate of international market demand will be slow as a whole.

Domestic demand will maintain steady growth, and its supporting role for the industry will still be outstanding. China's macro-economy will continue to pick up, and under the favorable conditions of the market and the boost of policies, the domestic demand market of textiles and clothing in 2010 will continue to grow steadily since 2009, and the growth rate is expected to further improve, which will continue to play an important supporting role in the textile industry's recovery.

However, uncertainties still exist and increase the risk of operation. Such as cotton and other textile raw material prices are rising rapidly, the cost pressure of the industry has been rising continuously; the rise of international trade protectionism, the pressure of RMB appreciation has become increasingly prominent, increasing the uncertainty of industry exports, etc., may increase the risk of the operation of the industry.

The rapid development of the textile and garment industry will also be greatly influenced by the domestic and foreign economic environment and economic policies. At present, the recovery of the developed countries is weak, the unemployment rate is high, the consumption desire is weakened, and the demand for the international market is insufficient. This is the biggest obstacle for the domestic textile and garment enterprises to expand the international market.

A series of macro-control policies promulgated by our government will also affect the development of the industry. In terms of monetary policy, the state implemented moderately loose monetary policy in the first half of this year, and the actual size of the policy was tightened. Therefore, the capital side of enterprises is still in a tight state. At the same time, exchange rate policy also has unfavorable factors for the development of the industry.

Cost increase is another important factor that restricts the later development of textile and garment industry. In the month of 1~7, domestic enterprises' purchasing price of fuel power increased by 21.3% over the same period last year. Meanwhile, the wages of workers increased by 10%~30% over the past year. In the second half of the year, under the background of higher minimum wage standards, the labor costs of enterprises will continue to intensify.

Insiders said, "at the end of this year, the domestic and foreign forms of textile and apparel industry are still grim. It is expected that the development of the industry will show the trend of" before and after the low. "