The Academy Of Social Sciences Says The Workforce Will Grow By &Nbsp In 7 Years, And Wages Will Rise.

"Now the general recruits who have just recruited, the monthly salary has reached 1500 yuan.

The trend of rising wages continues. "

Wang Zhiwu, Secretary General of China Zipper Association, told reporters that with the increasing cost of labor in zipper industry, some enterprises have begun to carry out technological pformation step by step to reduce employment.

At the recent China Social Science Forum held in 2010, China

In November 13th, the Chinese entrepreneur survey system released a questionnaire survey of 2010 Chinese business operators in Beijing. "The current labor cost is higher than that at the end of 2009", accounting for 94.2% of the business operators. Only 94.2% of the respondents believed that the "drop" was considered. The former was 93.8 percentage points higher than the latter, which was significantly higher than that of 2009.

Among them, the eastern region enterprises and small and medium enterprises labor costs increased significantly.

Fewer migrant workers can be pferred

According to the statistics of China's several population censuses, Li Peilin, director of the Institute of Sociology of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, found that in 2000, the proportion of the working age population in China was the highest.

Since then, the proportion of the elderly and children in the total population has begun to decline, and the proportion of the elderly population is increasing greatly.

From different levels of analysis, the proportion of cadres, managers and entrepreneurs, professional and technical personnel in the whole working age population has changed little, but there has been a huge division of migrant workers: the first generation of migrant workers has become old people, and the new generation of migrant workers has made the group structure younger.

Data show that between 1938 and 1956, farmers accounted for 57% of the total population, while workers accounted for only 25%.

The number of workers born between 1977 and 1997 has doubled more than 55%, while the proportion of farmers has decreased to 25%.

The more young people are, the less land they have, and more and more workers are going to work in cities.

It also means that fewer and fewer migrant workers will be pferred in the countryside.

Li Jiange, deputy director of the State Council Development Research Center, studied more than 3000 villages in China, and found that 230 million of the rural surplus labor force has been pferred to cities, accounting for 47.9% of the total rural labor force, while the remaining 24 million 810 thousand of the remaining 5.1% of the total rural labor force is basically difficult to pfer.

Li Peilin believes that the total working age population will begin to decline during the "13th Five-Year" period. With the aging of the rural population, the workforce will be less and less in the future. This will make the problem of recruitment harder.

"Recruitment difficulties" will emerge from an indirect phenomenon and become a regular phenomenon.

Li Peilin said.

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How to deal with "Lewis turning point"

Cai Fang, director of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that wages will grow relatively fast with the reversal of supply and demand in the entire labor market in China.

In the case of abundant labor supply, the price of labor, that is, wages, is often subject to the wishes of the employing enterprises.

But with the rapid decline in labor supply, wages will rise as workers' voting by feet and bargaining power grow.

Data show that between 2003 and 2009, the wages of migrant workers rose at an average annual rate of 10.2%.

This year, the wage growth rate of migrant workers is more than 18%.

Li Peilin said that the average monthly wage of migrant workers is close to the salary level of college graduates.

Despite the rise in wages, the rapidly rising cost of living in cities still threatens the urbanization of migrant workers.

In addition, the institutional barriers to social security, health care, children's education and other urban and rural areas obstruct the urbanization process of population.

Data show that the proportion of migrant workers unemployment insurance coverage is only 3.7%, while the proportion of urban residents is more than 40%; the coverage rate of basic medical insurance, work-related injury insurance, maternity insurance and pension insurance for migrant workers is only 13.1%, 24.1%, 2%, and 9.8%, respectively, while the coverage rate of urban residents is 52.7%, 47.9%, 34.9% and 57% respectively.

Similarly living in a city, migrant workers do not enjoy the treatment of citizens.

In addition to breaking the barriers of urban system, Li Peilin also suggested large-scale training for migrant workers.

"As the industrial structure is forced to upgrade due to the rise in wages, many skilled workers need new type of migrant workers to do so. At present, it is a big contradiction that technology workers generally fail to recruit people."

Cai Fang suggested the establishment of a comprehensive wage collective bargaining system.

For example, Japan and South Korea adopted the "Lewis turning point" in 60s and 70s of last century (after the labor market shifted from oversupply to less supply and the end of the demographic dividend), and the two countries adopted different ways to deal with the decline of the labour force.

Japan has adopted a fair wage collective bargaining system to promote the sharing of development between enterprises and workers, so labor relations are generally in a harmonious state. While South Korea has taken measures to suppress trade unions for a long time, it has led to continuous industrial relations and frequent strikes by workers.