China Cotton Association: China's Total Cotton Output In 2010 Is Estimated To Be 6 Million 630 Thousand Tons.

　　 China Cotton Association predicts October, China in 2010 Total cotton yield 6 million 630 thousand tons, 10 thousand tons less than expected in September, down 2.4% compared with the previous year.

According to the China Cotton Association November 25th news, in the first half of October 2010 and the second half of October 2010, the cotton association of China Cotton Association and Xinjiang Huatai Cotton Professional Cooperative were two times to verify the area of 2641 cotton farmers in 12 provinces in the mainland and 310 counties in Xinjiang autonomous region.

According to field investigation and consultation, the cotton planting area in Xinjiang, Shandong, Hebei and Henan has been adjusted. The actual area of Xinjiang is higher than the original forecast, and the area of Hebei, Shandong and Henan provinces is lower than the original forecast. The cotton planting area in the whole country is basically the same as the previous forecast, which is slightly reduced compared with last year. According to the weighted average of cotton planting area of cotton farmers surveyed, as of October, cotton planting area of 78 million mu in the whole country was reduced by 1% compared with the previous year. In October, the national cotton was in the period of picking and picking. Most of the cotton growing areas in the country had better photothermal conditions in the most part of the year, which was favorable for picking cotton, but there were also some periods of rainy and sparse weather in some areas, but there was little effect. Cotton growth was improved in some cotton regions, and the yield prediction increased earlier. Affected by area adjustment and weather factors, the total output in October is expected to be 6 million 630 thousand tons, down from 10 thousand tons in September, compared with 2.4% in the previous year.

October Unginned cotton Pick up peak, the listing increased. The national harvest rate exceeded 60%, and the selling price continued to rise sharply, especially in the second half of the month. The overall sale of cotton growers was more positive, and the selling progress was over 40%. However, due to the lag of growth period and the shortage of flower growers, the picking and selling progress was still slower than that of the same period last year. According to the weighted average calculation of cotton planting area of cotton farmers surveyed, the overall picking rate of the whole country was 65.2%, which slowed down 16.5 percentage points compared with the same period last year. The cotton farmers' sales progress was 43.6%, slowing down 12.5 percentage points compared with the same period last year, and the average selling price of cotton farmers was 11.22 yuan / kg, up 18.7%, up 79.8% over the same period.

According to the final verification, the decrease of cotton planting area in the the Yellow River river basin is lower than the previous forecast data. The cotton planting area in Hebei, Henan and Shandong provinces has been greatly reduced, and the total basin area has dropped by 11% over the previous year. Since October, the weather in the Yellow River cotton basin has been fine for most parts of the time, which is beneficial to cotton cracking and bolting. Although there is a cooling and rainy weather in some parts of the region from the late middle to late part of the year, the impact on cotton is limited, and cotton growth has been restored. Due to the delayed growth period, cotton growers generally use ethephon to accelerate ripening, and cotton picking progress is accelerating. The end of the month is drawing to a close. As of October 31st, the picking rate of the basin reached 85%, an increase of 42 percentage points, a decrease of 4 percentage points compared to the same period last year. In addition to lagging growth, another reason for the slow pickup this year is that the flower pickers are more nervous and expensive, especially for large cotton farmers. Cotton prices have gone up sharply this year. Cotton grower Sales were positive compared with previous years, and sales progress was slightly faster than the same period last year. However, due to the tradition of cotton storage in Shandong, Hebei and Henan, the overall sales progress is still the slowest in the country. As of October 31st, the turnover of cotton growers was 36%, an increase of 11 percentage points, an increase of 4 percentage points over the same period last year. The average selling price of cotton farmers in the basin in October was 11.11 yuan / kg, up 75.8% over the same period last year, of which the average price in Shandong reached 11.32 yuan / kg, the highest among all cotton producing provinces in the mainland.

In October, the overall temperature and water conditions of the cotton growing areas in the Yangtze River Basin were more suitable. In some parts of the cotton area, low temperature and heavy rain occurred in some cotton fields, which caused the upper part of the cotton boll to fall off, and the rotten peaches in the middle and lower parts increased, which affected the yield and quality of cotton. Affected by the weather in the first half of the month, cotton was not able to spread normally, picking progress was slow, cotton was concentrated in the second half of the month, cotton growers were busy picking up cotton, but they could not pick it up.

As of October 31st, the picking rate was 58.6%, an increase of 42 percentage points, a decrease of 24 percentage points compared with the same period last year. Most of the cotton farmers in the valley sell and sell quickly. In the second half of the month, with the price increase increasing, some cotton farmers are reluctant to sell more. As of October 31st, the sales progress was 40.6%, an increase of 33.6 percentage points, down 23.6 percentage points from the same period last year. The average selling price of cotton farmers in the basin in October was 11.11 yuan / kg, up 76.8% over the same period last year, of which the price of Hubei and Jiangsu was relatively high, with an average price of 11.23 yuan / kg.

　　 In October, most of the northwest inland cotton area had high temperature and sufficient heat, which was beneficial to cotton picking. But in the early days, there were more precipitation in most cotton areas in the northern and Southern cotton regions, which had a slight effect on cotton bolting and picking. After the final verification of the cotton planting area in Xinjiang, the area has been adjusted to 27 million 350 thousand mu this year, an increase of 6.1% over the same period, with the increase of the local area and the decrease of the Corps area. Despite the slight decrease in yield per unit area under the influence of climatic conditions, the output of cotton in Xinjiang will reach 2 million 920 thousand tons, an increase of 0.6% over the same period. Affected by the weather, cotton boll opening period in Xinjiang was delayed about 20 days compared with previous years, and cotton picking progress was late. As of October 31st, the harvest rate of Xinjiang was 59.1%, down 23 percentage points. After the subsidy of Xinjiang cotton railway transportation, the purchase price is basically in line with the mainland. Especially this year, Xinjiang cotton ranks higher than the mainland, with the highest price and the biggest increase. The average selling price of local cotton growers in Xinjiang in October was 11.41 yuan / kg, up 84% over the same period last year. As the price is good, cotton growers are generally selling actively, picking cotton has basically been sold, but the regiment because of the implementation of the two settlement, the price is low, some cotton farmers are optimistic about the future market, there is the phenomenon of hoarding cotton. As of October 31st, the sales progress of Xinjiang was 51.6%, down 20.4 percentage points compared with the same period last year.