How To Seize The Leading Stocks In The Weak Market
How to seize
bellwether stock
This is what individual friends dream of.
Especially in
Weak market
It is even more rare for the market to grasp the leading stocks in the weak market.
Based on this, the wild camel tries to do some useful discussions on this issue, hoping to help retail friends to seize the leading stocks in the hot plate and help them to move to a new level.
1. What is the leading stock?
It is not easy to define the "leading shares" accurately and unmistakably, but some people have made a concise definition of the leading shares.
This definition is very helpful for us to grasp the leading stocks.
The so-called leading stocks, that is, in the process of strengthening a hot plate,
Rise
When the charge is first, when the callback is able to resist falling, it can play a stabilizing role in the "flagship".
Leading stocks usually have large funds to intervene in the background, relying on substantial themes or performance improvements.
Once the leading shares are launched, they often have at least 0.
5 times or several times the increase.
For example, from 1996 to 1997, Shenzhen Development and Sichuan Changhong (600839, stock bar), as the leader, led the total market from more than 500 to more than 1500.
Deep development from 5.
Starting at 9 yuan, it increased to 49 yuan in more than a year.
Sichuan Changhong (600839, stock bar) started from around 7 yuan, up to 60 yuan.
5 in 1999.
19, the market was led by Shanghai Meilin (600073, stock bar), comprehensive stock (600770, stock bar) and other network blocks, and then by Tsinghua Tongfang and other technology stocks relay, a huge network technology stock market was set off.
So far, the style of these leading stocks is still being talked about.
Two, are there any leading stocks in the weak market?
The answer is yes: Yes, and the weak market is the hotbed of brewing leading stocks.
Take this year as an example, the rebound in the first half of this year is mainly driven by the three carriages of the automobile, steel and financial sector. The power and petrochemical plate is the mainstream of the flank, and the strength of its explosive force is impressive.
The organization called it "value investing".
Shanghai automobile (600104, stock bar) increased more than doubled, and Changan automobile (000625, stock bar) started from around 5 yuan, the highest 19 this year.
79 yuan, or nearly four times.
The concept of blue chip has generally increased by 50% to 100%, while the largest increase in the market is less than 27%.
A large share of the stock market is low.
This situation also exists in the stock market of western developed countries.
For example, the Nasdaq market in the United States has been in a doldrums in recent years.
But China's NetEase shares are miraculously from the lowest 0.
68 U.S. dollars, after nearly a year of soaring, NetEase shares are currently stable at about $50, yesterday's closing price of 55.
55 dollars.
The increase is as high as 80 times.
It can be seen that whether in the bull market or in bear market, there will always be some stock coming out.
These leading stocks show the noble leading position everywhere. The bird's eye view of Cangshan is high.
Three, how to seize the leading stock in the weak market?
To fight for the stock market, the biggest wish of individual investors is to grasp the leading stocks in a timely manner so as to maximize the profits.
However, in the face of numerous and volatile stock markets, how to seize the leading stocks is a great expense.
Judging from past experience, in a clear and strong market, it is easier and more effective to grasp the leading stocks.
As long as we have spotted the leading stocks and boldly pursue them, even if they are caught on the same day, they can be unlocked and gained great profits in the following boom.
However, in an obvious weak market, it is much more complicated to grasp the leading stocks and to take considerable risks.
Because hot spots are changing frequently, leading companies that take the lead may not be real leading stocks.
If you dare to catch up with high buying, you may become a high catch quilt.
Moreover, once the quilt is covered, it is often difficult to have the opportunity to solve it.
Therefore, in the weak market, we should abandon the bull market and catch up with the leading stock in order to catch up with the buying law. Instead, it should be a bargain buying strategy.
To this end, we should grasp the following three aspects:
(1) using the basic analysis method to identify the leading stocks in the industry.
Leading institutions choose leading stocks, usually before considering the industry factors.
Whether the industry is in an upward economic cycle, and then choose the leading industry based on the average profitability, asset status, liquidity, activity and so on.
Leading stocks in these industries are often the leaders in the stock market.
For example, the Sichuan Changhong (600839, stock bar), the leading stock in 1996, had a 2 earnings per share.
07 yuan, and its stock price is hovering around 7 yuan.
Just 3 to 4 times the P / E ratio, it is natural for the leader to take the lead.
Since last year, the automotive industry has been growing at a high speed, so the company has chosen the automobile sector as the leader.
For a time, Shanghai auto (600104, stock bar), FAW car (000800, stock bar), Changan automobile (000625, stock bar), Jianghuai Automobile (600418, stock bar) and other auto plates, such as "crazy dragon go to sea", the institutional capital surging to these auto stocks, full of power, has been Biao until April this year.
Generally speaking, as the industry's leading stock, it should have the following conditions: (1) the company's main business is outstanding, the company's product competitiveness is very strong, and this product and technology are basically monopolized by the company, other companies can hardly get involved in the investment, or the product is dominant in the market.
(2) a product has bright prospects for market development.
Such as the huge demand of the world computer market in the past few years, the US stock "IBM" and "apple" computer have grown up and become the leading companies in that year.
"5.
19, the leading company in the market is the Internet technology stocks, because people are full of imagination to the Internet world at the end.
(3) a company's technological innovation can bring considerable profit prospects and so on.
The more the above conditions meet, the easier it will be for them to become the leading stocks.
(two) using the value analysis method to analyze the intrinsic investment value of the stock.
This year, the main body changed the way of making a living, instead of adopting the concept of "value investing".
That is, making speculative money with the idea of investment.
In the first half of the year, five golden flowers, such as finance, automobile and steel plate, which were fry by the organization, were invested in value.
The first single of QFII also reflects the effectiveness of this method.
We should constantly adjust our operation methods with variable strain, and choose stock and operation with institutional thinking.
Only in this way can we keep pace with the pace and pace of operation.
That is to say, investors should use the concept of investment and use basic analysis to select the possible leading stocks and dark horse stocks, while the specific buying and selling time points should be based on the technical analysis method to grasp the timing of entry and exit.
In this way, the possibility of catching the leading stocks is greatly increased.
(three) use the technical analysis method to grasp the timing of entry and exit.
First, we should pay attention to the investment of mainstream funds.
It is also a hot plate that people often talk about.
The investment of mainstream funds determines the direction of stock market speculation, and is also the key to decide whether the hot spots can continue.
The greater the inflow of funds, the longer the sustainability of hot spots, the greater the likelihood that the faucets will rise.
For example, "1".
14, the mainstream funds are mainly invested in the "blue chip concept" stocks. If we observe this point keenly, and turn our funds to the blue chip concept in a timely manner, you will undoubtedly be the few winners in this year's retail business.
In the second half of the year, the digital TV and technology sectors are ready to move. Tsinghua Tongfang has both two concepts and becomes the current leader.
Recently, the market has been innovating low, but Tsinghua Tongfang has been making a new high.
If you can find out that Tsinghua Tongfang has a leading meteorology and will put money in the leading stock of Tsinghua Tongfang, you will be a big winner in the second half of the year.
Two, we should pay attention to the trend of the market, and intervene in time.
The characteristics of the weak market are: the market is going up and down, and the stocks are falling more or less.
Therefore, after the market has been down for some time, when the market has stabilized, and is about to rebound for some time, timely intervention in the hot plate leading stocks.
If it proves that your intervention is wrong, but because the rally is still continuing, you will have enough time and opportunity to quit instead of being caught.
In the weak market, we should pay attention to catching the leading stocks. We can not intervene in the leading stocks when the rally is coming to an end.
Three, we should make comprehensive use of technical analysis methods such as form, quantity and price, time and space, and choose the right time to intervene.
This is a guarantee for your success.
From the technical analysis, we can grasp from the following three aspects: first, the stock price has been declining for the long term, the stock price has gone up and up, and the volume has been enlarged when it rises.
The volume corresponding to the sun line is obviously magnified.
Second, the stock price is formed at the bottom of the arc, double bottom, or multiple bottom. The time of playing the bottom is longer than that. The main force has enough time to build the warehouse.
Third, shocks up and down and wash dishes are more effective than others.
Technical indicators such as monthly line, weekly line and daily line support the stock up.
We should pay close attention to this.
When the volume of shares increased sharply and led the market to rush into the battle, it could intervene decisively with a great success rate.
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