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How To Estimate The Rising Space Of Stocks

2011/4/14 14:21:00 30

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Stock Risk Rising Space Main Volume Short Term Investors

How hard can a Zhuang stock be? This problem is extremely difficult to grasp.

Investor

Often it is not early to throw away, but to catch up with the main lifting section; it is to throw late and be caught by the main force.

Investors may be able to estimate the volume, the height of the pre finishing period and the relative position.

1. the stock space with unlimited volume is usually broad.

Generally speaking,

Price of stock

The volume of pactions will be gradually enlarged, but some of the stocks that have been fully controlled by the makers will not be enlarged in the course of the rise. They will show up as the stock rises. These stocks can be held all the way before there is a clear trend signal.

Because if the banker lightens the warehouse, the volume will enlarge, and the risk of stocks that are not up to volume and larger gains will not be great.

Since August, when the bottom of the market rebounded in 99, the 0035 yuan was only released on September 8th -10. After that, the turnover remained stable, and the main force was not anxious.

2. according to the height of the finishing area.

Box shape, triangle and other finishing forms all have the function of measuring stock price increase. Once the share price breaks through these collation forms, the subsequent measurement of technology can usually be estimated by the height of these finishing forms.

For example, for long stocks in the box, once the top of the box is broken, the minimum increase in the market is to collate the height of the box.

Tibet Holy Land (600749) has been collating in 10-14.8 yuan for a long time. The height of the box is 4.8 yuan. In the near future, it is effective to break the top of the box, and the theoretical rise is 14.8+4.8=19.6 yuan.

For example, Qinghai gelatin (0606) runs in the 13.2-15.7 yuan box in July, and the height of the box is 2.5 yuan. In the middle of November, the volume is beyond the top of the box, and its theoretical increase will reach 15.7+2.5=18.2 yuan.

Of course, this is just an estimate. It is possible for the market to be above or below the height.

3. calculate from the initial price.

Investors carefully observe, we can find that many stocks in a round of intermediate market prices are often about doubled.

For example, Tianjin magnetic card (600800) rose from 13 yuan to 27 yuan in May, and friendship overseas Chinese (600827) rose from 14.5 yuan to 14.5 yuan, and Guangxi Zhuang's stock rose from 8.7 yuan to 17.9 yuan in September. Topp software rose from 15 yuan to 34 yuan, making full use of this simple rule to determine the corresponding strategy. It can be assured of holding shares before the increase has doubled. If the stock price is nearly doubled from the starting point, it is necessary to guard against possible falls. Guangdong's lucky land (0828) started in July near the 0828 yuan, the current price has nearly doubled, and the adjustment pressure has increased. Short term investors have already seen a good harvest.

4. long term consolidation of stocks is usually more optimistic once the breakthrough space is up.

The longer the consolidation period indicates that the more fully the main business is, the higher its aspirations. Investors can increase their profit targets accordingly.

Guotai shares such as Guotai shares have been arranged for nearly half a year, and the ST ha Hai FA is basically arranged between 8~10 yuan. The main force is very patient and has already broken through the top of the box, which is worth the attention of the investors in the central line. 11-13.

When will it be needed?

reduce one's position size

Some strong stocks once entered the acceleration stage, indicating that the stock price has entered the final sprint stage. At this time, the high yield is accompanied by high risks. Shareholders should always keep in mind that this is the "dancing with Wolves", such as ST, Guizhou Kaidu, which accelerated after the breakthrough in the finishing area in November. 17 days later, it even received 6 long lines. Behind Changyang, there was usually a big "landmine" buried behind it. In September, the flying shares were contracted for two months after being eliminated from power, followed by a strong momentum of filling. The volume of trading was also large at the same time. What about it?