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How To Determine The Trading Method According To The Volume Of Stock?

2011/4/20 11:22:00 70

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Turnover is

Market investor

More concerned about a research target, many analysis articles for

volume

There are plenty of notes, but for ordinary investors, there is not much energy and time to analyze and study various complex indicators. From the main road to Jane, we can make use of the functions of most of the disk and analysis software, adjust the parameters, and make a simple explanation of the volume analysis, which is helpful to the actual analysis operation.

Because the ups and downs of individual stocks are controlled and interfered by too many human factors, even huge "Big Mac" such as Sinopec or China Unicom will be interfered by big funds. Especially in a specific period, the analysis of the volume of stocks is generally not universal. For a certain rule, there are 10 successful examples to illustrate, but there will be 100 or even more examples of failure to disprove it. In particular, the use of the so-called chip distribution to analyze the main behavior is even more absurd. Trading volume analysis and judgement do not have much actual combat implications for stocks.

But for the index, volume analysis is quite credible. After all, controlling the whole market is almost impossible. For trend followers, the general trend is the first. The judgement of volume trading is directly related to the management of positions, which is the key to profitability and survival.

In most of the software, there are trading volume histogram and average line. The parameters of the average line can be adjusted. From the 15 year history of the Chinese stock market, it is quite effective to set the average line to 50 - 60 days. Every round of the market is generated after the 55 day average line on the 5 day average line, while the 5 daily average line falls below the 55 daily average line, which often means the end of the market. From the point of view of the validity ratio, it can be used as the basis for judging the market.

Of course, the average line will have frequent wear and piercing fluctuations, and it is more dangerous to rely on one indicator alone. At this point, we can use another common indicator to double confirm.

Energy tide

(OBV) adding an arithmetic mean line for OBV, the parameter is also set to 55. The mutual confirmation of the two can make a clear judgement of each round of the market. At the same time, the relative position of the EMA can also determine the level of the market, and the lower the market, the greater the market will be.

When the average line and energy tide are mutually confirmed, the positions can be arranged. After the "golden fork", the positions are kept above 80%. After the "fork", the positions are controlled below 20% or even empty positions.

The best use is in the heart.

No rule is perfect. It is important to enforce rules as far as possible. Of course, the premise is that this rule is effective. To maintain this effectiveness, we can find a way to survive in this chaotic market.