After 12 Years, The Trader'S 8 Deep Investment Insights.
In the blink of an eye, China's capital market has gone through twenty years, and although twenty years have been short, it has changed the fortunes and lives of countless Chinese people.
Although there are many frustrated people in this investment tide, they have also trained a number of investment elites who have been tested by actual combat. There are both public fund managers who have annual salary and tens of millions of money. They also have 100 times grassroots private placement in 2 years. They tell the world with their brilliant achievements: Chinese people start late in capital market, but their investment wisdom is not inferior.
Today, we are going to introduce Lu Zhiyuan, the head of a private and investment education institution from Shenzhen. I hope his experience and practical experience will enlighten us all.
Lu Zhiyuan's life experience is an inspiring story in his own life. He was born in rural Shandong, and failed twice in high school before the high school. Under very difficult conditions, after three years of high school learning, he completed a completely different pformation. He went to Fudan University in one fell swoop and set up a record of 27 years since he founded the village high school.
Speaking of this experience, Lu Zhiyuan is always filled with emotion. This experience from backward to advanced has also given Lu Zhiyuan the most precious wealth of life, so that he dare to face any challenges.
While studying at Fudan University, Lu Zhiyuan was fascinated by the stock market investment. This is undoubtedly a very difficult and tortuous road. How many heroes have lost the Mai City here, as expected, although Lu Zhiyuan graduated from college, he was hired by an organization as a trader and managed hundreds of millions of dollars, but the result ended in a huge loss.
But this failed experience did not knock Lu Zhiyuan down. With the spirit of not to concede, Lu Zhiyuan soon rose again, and formed a set of investment theory from investment philosophy to specific investment skills. This theory made it a huge profit in the bull market in 05-07, and in the 08 years of the bear market, it was also far from being damaged. So far, Lu Zhiyuan, who had been tested by bull and bear, has completely completed the construction of his investment system.
Lu Zhiyuan's operation in 2010 is still commendable. Several times to copy the bottom and escape the roof is a classic case in the industry.
Lu Zhiyuan not only made great achievements in the field of private placement, but in 2004 he founded a well-known domestic securities training institution - Kai Fu investment, and trained many traders.
Many people are heartened by Lu Zhiyuan's success, but more people want to learn from Lu Zhiyuan's investment experience and hope that one day he will succeed like Lu Zhiyuan.
I have had contacts with Lu Zhiyuan for several years. I have summed up eight investment experiences. Many people have learned a lot and changed their original knowledge after learning. Now I would like to record all eight experiences for reference.
First, the upward trend is heavy, the downward trend.
Light storehouse
Lu Zhiyuan thinks: when the market starts to rise, it must be heavily loaded, because at that time most stocks will rise, the risk is small, and the success rate is high. When the market starts to decline, most stocks will fall at this time, so we must light up the warehouse and try not to participate in the market.
Lu Zhiyuan said, many people see the master to win, this is only a superficial phenomenon, not because of the high level of experts, but the risk of the place he tried not to go, naturally appears to be high.
But retail investors are often at the beginning of the uptrend because they are afraid to go back to the warehouse and wait for the market to rise over a period of time. They are hot headed, without a sense of risk, and start to make a heavy loan. Then they are trapped on the top of the mountain. So the investment of retail investors is like a "tea table" full of "tragedy and tragedy".
Two. The rule of catching the bottom and escaping from the roof is regular.
Due to the influence of random walk theory, many people think that no rule is the biggest rule of stock market. Lu Zhiyuan thinks this is a misunderstanding of "random walk theory". If the stock market's short run ups and downs are influenced by various random factors, it has a certain randomness, and the turning of trend is very regular.
Lu Zhiyuan used the same technology to repeatedly search for the top position at the important points, such as the 6000 point top of October 2007, the top 3478 of 09 years and the top of many times. Before forming such a roof, the market appeared the same signal.
Three, share price
Ups and downs
There are other leading factors.
Everyone wants to pick a good stock and ride on a big black horse, but the standard of stock selection is very blind, and the stock is the "three low one high" variety that the stock comment often says: low price earnings ratio, low flow rate, low price and high yield. In fact, these are not the key factors that determine the stock price rise and fall. Lu Zhiyuan thinks: the key factor that decides the stock price fluctuation is event driven.
In the "professional trader training course", Lu Lu gave an example, a stock market earnings ratio of 50 times, earnings per share 9 cents, because of an event, in just a month rose 183%.
Lu Zhiyuan said: with "three low and one high" as the standard of stock selection, finding a big black horse means climbing up a tree to find fish.
Four, after opening a session in the morning, we should know the whole day trend.
The biggest risk in the stock market is the unknown risk. If it can be opened after the opening, it will know the general trend of the whole day.
Kai Fu investment in training courses in a large market time-sharing theory, through the morning opening a certain period of time after the trend of the whole trend, the theory of the market opening trend is divided into 42 kinds, each market has a corresponding formula, according to Kai Fu investment students, they can almost make this judgement.
Five, stock selection has only completed 20% of the operation process.
Many investors read newspapers, listen to the radio, participate in stock review reports everywhere, only to find a big black horse. In fact, Lu Zhiyuan thinks that although stock selection is important, it is not the whole investment. Stock picking accounts for only 20% of the whole operation process. Many people still do not realize the importance of storehouse, timing of purchase and timing of shipment.
Six, the decomposition of complex operation process will become simple.
A complete investment process is very complicated. Lu Zhiyuan believes that decomposing complex things will become very simple.
Lu Zhiyuan divided the investment process into five parts: what to buy, how much to buy, when to buy, when to stop, and when to stop.
To study and solve these problems one by one, each link has its corresponding theoretical basis, and then the formation of an organic whole will naturally become an investment expert.
It is understood that Kai Fu investment is aimed at these five aspects of training for students, before each operation, students should write the operation plan according to the above links, and think of various situations and Countermeasures in advance, so that they will not cram for the time being. Everything is under control.
Seven.
profit
Mode is the ultimate goal pursued by investors.
Many people have made achievements in the stock market, but they are too tired to go to the market. They don't know where the future profits will come from.
Lu Zhiyuan believes that if you want to invest easily and become an evergreen tree in the stock market, only by forming a profit model can you create a miracle of capital market with constant changes.
Buffett's value investing may not be suitable for everyone of us, but he has been using the same profit model for decades. This is worth learning. Buffett's wealth is huge, but he is very relaxed and has not set up a huge research team. It is entirely because he has built his own profit model. What he wants to do is simply copy the profit model and make the profit model earn money for himself.
The establishment of its own profit model is a sign of maturity of investors, and is also the ultimate goal of investors.
Eight. Grasp the rules and grasp the wealth.
Although every successful investor's investment is different, no doubt all successful investors conform to the laws of some markets.
Lu Zhiyuan realized very early how much stock market rules and how much wealth he possessed.
Therefore, Lu Zhiyuan's exploration of market discipline has always been spared no effort. He has successively invented the theory of "trend judgement", "time-sharing theory of judgment" and "event driven theory". An old student with rich investment has said well: it is these three theories that have made Lu Zhiyuan.
It is also hoped that all investors, like Lu Zhiyuan, will explore rules first and then go to actual operations. First, pursue wisdom and then pursue wealth.
Lu Zhiyuan mailbox
Any investment difficulties can be reached by calling 0755-83210223 or login to Kai Fu investment official website qifu66.com to contact Lu Zhiyuan, leaving a contact, reply within 24 hours, typical problem in the newspaper.
Mr. Li Suzhou: I am also an old stock investor for seven or eight years. I wanted to follow the experts' study a few years ago. I haven't found time yet. Now I have been in the past for a few years, and I still have nothing to do. I made up my mind to learn this time. But I am far away in Suzhou, and I can't go to training before I leave for a long time. What should I do?
Lu Zhiyuan: many foreign students have mentioned this problem. In view of the situation of investors, we have developed a remote training system. We will send textbooks and teaching CD-ROM to students, and provide network and telephone customer service center answer questions. Most importantly, we have a set of "compound interest master" software to provide support for students, so you do not have to go to Shenzhen to learn, the effect may be better than on-site training.
Many students have participated in the field training of other institutions in the past, and feel that the training effect of Kai Fu investment is the best because we have one year or even two years of after-sales service, which many organizations can not do.
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