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    How To Tell The True And False Payment?

    2011/9/10 17:22:00 51

    How To Tell The True And False Payment?

    Sometimes there are a lot of big bills in the next connection. It seems that the stock price is unlikely to fall.

    However, this conclusion is somewhat out of line, because we have made a hypothetical assumption that these lists are willing to buy.

    And this assumption is not necessarily established. These bills may be withdrawals, or we can even make such assumptions: some of the bills do not want to be traded at all, and the purpose they hang out is to show us.


    In fact, we will find that this often happens: the next big order will disappear at once.

    If all the orders at these prices are real orders in the market, it should involve multiple investors, and it is hard for us to imagine that the investors who distribute in different departments will collectively cancel the order at the same time, so these lists must belong to the trader of the main funds, so that the withdrawal can be completed in a flash.

    Now we need to judge the truthfulness of these orders.


    Assumption: five gears

    Buy in

    At least four of the prices are large orders, which are more than an order of magnitude higher than those on the upper ones.

    The share price has been stable in recent years, and has not gone up.


    The key to discrimination lies in the synchronous trend of the market, so we still recommend that the trend of index should be superimposed on the trend of stocks.


    First of all, we exclude the possibility of market orders.

    Although there may be one or two big orders in the market, the market will never catch up at fourth or even fifth prices, unless these prices are integer, so these large orders can be seen as the market.


    As these big bills have been hung there, there is a possibility of passive paction, for example, a huge thrower can smash the following five orders.

    But generally speaking, because of the existence of these large orders, the market will be much smaller, so it will not be done normally. However, the trend of index will play an inducement role in the market, so we need to use the index superposition diagram now.


    The index down will bring more.

    Sell off

    The main force is more clear than ours. Therefore, the fall of the index will lead to the paction of the lower orders, so this is the best time to observe.


    If the order is withdrawn, these are false orders.

    If these orders remain unsettled when the index falls, there are several possibilities.


    One possibility is that the index is relatively flat, and the main estimate is that the market will not sell much.

    So we wait for the index to go down more clearly.


    Possibility two, even though the index has fallen sharply, the main force knows that the market itself is not big enough to sell, and even that will not lead to more selling.

    This shows that the main force has been working in recent years, and is more aware of the market, and has also told us this information.


    Possibility three, the main force is willing to increase chips.

    Since it is not in the warehouse period, the main force usually does not want to increase the positions without cause, so the purpose of this is to maintain the share price, laying the groundwork for short-term pushing up the share price.


    As long as the index falls, especially in the process of obvious decline, these large orders do not withdraw, at least indicating that there is a rising opportunity in the short run.

    But the main plan is always changing, but as long as the market is not bad, then the main force in the short term is going to push up the share price. It is more likely that the stock price will be increased.


    Here is a very critical question is the speed and magnitude of the index down, which is a test for the will of the main force.

    The key to judging the degree of fall is whether the market volume is synchronously enlarged.


    In spite of the fluctuation of index, we can roughly judge the authenticity of these large orders, but whether or not they follow up will involve many other factors, including the short-term trend of the market.


     

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