Revealing "Insider Trading"

There will always be

For example, in July 12, 2005, Xiangyang bearing (000678 market, information, consulting, comments, more) appeared this situation.

On the same day, the stock closed at 2.84 yuan's daily price, and the daily turnover reached 7 million 930 thousand shares.

At that time, the average daily turnover of 100 days was 750 thousand shares, and the average volume of 50 days was 850 thousand shares, so the volume of trading on that day had reached 10 times the average value, and its circulation was only less than 80 million shares.

This can be said to be an obvious case of massive trading.

On the basic side, the announcement of the semi annual announcement this year reached 10 times that of the same period last year.

Careful analysis, last year reported 0.006 yuan, so this year's semi annual report should be 0.06 yuan.

According to the company's announcement, the company said it would double its performance this year as early as a few months ago, compared with 0.078 yuan last year.

Therefore, the performance of this year's semi annual report should be known by the market early. This announcement will never lead to such a big purchase. Moreover, the stock has just created a historic low price of 2.45 yuan in the previous day, so it is absolutely impossible to sell so much in the current price.

Obviously, this volume is not a real market.

Analysis of the recent trend of the stock market

The above analysis draws two conclusions: first, there must be a main force in the unit, which is more aware of the listed companies themselves, and is very clear about when the company will launch the pre profit announcement. Second, the main body is willing to let the market follow up at the current price.

This is a common phenomenon.

We often encounter some stocks, although there are also some main players, but they are willing to let them at some very low price.

Why are the main players willing and obviously making a deliberate volume to attract the market to follow up? There are two possibilities: one is that the main position has reached the expected requirement, and no more positions can be added, but the positions held are not up to the level of control. The other is that the main force has been put on top of it, and even if some additional positions are added, the cost can not be effectively reduced.

But in the case, because the stock price is not the end of the market's attack, the main force in this historical low price zone is unlikely to escape.

Whether the main force will continue to push up the stock price ultimately depends on the fundamentals.

According to the expected performance doubling of the company announcement, the price of 2.45 yuan in the first two days is obviously too low, but now it is close to 3 yuan.

But careful analysis, the company's bearings in the country's heavy truck market share is quite high, more importantly, the cost of steel has accounted for a large proportion, so the current decline in steel prices are definitely not negligible factors.

Because the stock's total plate is only 140 million shares, it belongs to the mini type small cap stocks. Once the effect of steel price drop is reflected, the substantial increase of performance is obviously possible.