Institutional Perspective: Rebound Market Is Not Over &Nbsp; Next Year Is More Optimistic.
On Monday, the A share market rose sharply and the Shanghai Composite Index hit a new high of nearly two and a half months.
Is this the beginning of the second wave rally? Xiao Hui, chief strategist of Datong securities, and Li Shitong, a strategic analyst at the securities and Futures Research Center, jointly analyzed the market.
There are many factors that affect the trend of A shares in the near future.
Outside is the recurrence of the European debt crisis, and internal policies are all around.
In this case, last week, the stock index was put in order and this Monday was chosen to go up again.
So when will the rally end? First of all, look at the future policy.
I think the future policy orientation will be key to the end of the year and will continue until next June and July.
Previously, with the increase of domestic interest rates, inflation has been significantly alleviated, but the economy has seen a downward trend.
Against this background, the main keynote of the recent policy will be relaxation.
In terms of the stock market, from the space point of view, the Shanghai stock index's rebound point is about 2850.
If there are more accidents, the rebound will reach 2850 points, or even break through 3000 points.
In terms of stocks, there are still many opportunities for future stocks.
With the gradual relaxation of policy, capital will also be relaxed, which is conducive to further rebound in the stock market.
On Monday, A shares rose strongly, and stocks were flourishing.
It is worth noting that the Shanghai Composite Index and gem index have not yet been raised.
The two cities rose by more than 5% of the stocks only 137, the market hot spot is not very clear, showing that most of the main force's lack of confidence, not heavy lifting of their own stocks.
The current round of rebound continues until now, the volume of the two cities has not been effectively enlarged. Under this background, the trend of the follow-up market is mainly reflected in the structural market of individual stocks.
We expect the market to be optimistic next year, and investors need not worry too much at the moment.
Moreover, the current market is not over yet, it will continue to rise, but there will not be a downward trend after the big line continues to rise sharply.
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