Acrylic Fiber Industry Will Enter A Period Of Deep Pformation
from
China Chemical Fiber Industry Association
Organised by acrylic fiber Specialized Committee and China Chemical Fiber Corporation, the Ninth China International acrylonitrile and acrylic Market Forum, hosted by CCFEI and PCI acrylonitrile company, was successfully held in Shanghai recently.
This forum has attracted more than 160 manufacturers from Jilin petrochemical, Jilin chemical fiber, Daqing petrochemical, Japan Asahi Asahi, Han Guodong petrochemical, Thailand acrylic fiber and other domestic and foreign acrylonitrile and acrylonitrile industrial chain manufacturers, traders and other professionals.
Participants discussed the various hot issues in the acrylic fiber industry, including industrial restructuring, product mix optimization and industry capacity integration, and agreed that the acrylic fiber industry would enter a period of deep pformation.
This forum makes an in-depth analysis and Discussion on the development trend and problems faced by China's acrylic fiber industry during the "12th Five-Year" period, and looks forward to the orientation and trend of China's macroeconomic regulation and control policy in 2012.
At the same time, it analyzes the development status of differentiated and modified acrylic fiber in China, and further guides the pformation and upgrading of the industry.
The forum also analyzed the downstream demand areas of acrylonitrile industry chain, so as to let the industry understand the demand of acrylic fiber, and gradually increase its attention to ABS, PAM/AM and other markets.
In 2012,
China's overall economic situation
Basically stable, although the development is expected to slow down, but in the industrial pformation and economic restructuring, the government will intensify efforts.
At the same time, enterprises will put the adjustment of industrial structure, product structure optimization and industry capacity integration on the agenda in order to find a way out of the high cost era.
Therefore, enterprises should pay attention to the change of downstream market demand and strive for more and more stable and replaces the imported acrylic products.
In addition, domestic acrylonitrile manufacturers should maintain communication and coordination and jointly maintain stable operation of the industry.
Experts agreed that the world
acrylonitrile
The gap between supply and demand will persist in the short run.
In the domestic market, the demand for acrylonitrile will continue to expand due to the development of ABS and acrylamide in the lower reaches.
The production capacity of acrylonitrile has been increasing steadily in recent years. It is estimated that domestic production capacity will exceed 1 million 800 thousand tons per year in 2014.
The market trend of acrylic fiber will continue to be greatly fluctuated by the price of acrylonitrile and the lack of downstream demand will restrict the development of new production capacity. However, manufacturers will increase the R & D and investment of new and modified acrylic fiber.
The continuous development of other applications of acrylonitrile will also gradually change the proportion of acrylonitrile downstream demand structure. In the future, the consumption of acrylonitrile will gradually exceed the share of acrylic fiber in the future, and it is expected to rise to the first place in 2013 after ABS.
The forecast for the acrylonitrile market this year is: in the first quarter, acrylonitrile has been rebounded at the bottom of the market, and has risen to a higher level. The profit level of the industry has resumed to rise. In the two quarter, the supply is expected to increase again, and demand will remain stagnant. The market will tend to be narrower or weaker. The three quarter, some new installations will be put into operation, the supply will increase, the market will be under pressure or enter the downstream channel.
In terms of acrylic fiber market, it is expected that the price will reach a high level in March. However, due to the limited capacity to undertake downstream market, the cost of acrylic fiber will be pushed up and resisted and enter into horizontal finishing. In the two quarter, market or deadlock will be consolidated, production and sales will slow down, inventory will increase, device will limit production, insurance price or increase. In the three quarter, with the weakening of cost supporting factors and the coming of demand off-season, it is expected that
Quotation
There will be some callbacks.
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