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    Three Factors Led To Weak Market Volatility &Nbsp; Valuation Repair Market Will Continue.

    2012/3/22 19:59:00 4

    Stock Index CBRC General Market Shock

     


    In the morning, the index of the two cities in the intraday market opened slightly, and then the concussion went down. On the disk, cement, insurance, coal and other sectors rose, and non-ferrous metals, media entertainment and household appliances fell.


    On the news, Premier Wen Jiabao presided over the 21 executive meeting of the State Council to discuss the adoption of "

    The 12th Five-Year

    "Comprehensive pportation system planning".

    The meeting called for this year to focus on the tasks set out in the "12th Five-Year plan", and earnestly promote the construction of pportation infrastructure, and build a number of major railway projects.


    Technically,

    Stock market index

    Once again concussion, all technical indicators were shaken down, the volume has been enlarged.


    What causes the weakness of today's stock index? The main reasons are as follows:


    1. in the face of market and analysts' public opinion, the National Social Security Fund Board spokesman said on the 21 day that the fund will mainly invest in products with fixed income, such as treasury bonds, bank deposits, corporate bonds and financial bonds, and the clients can receive no less than the interest earned by the bank's time deposits in the same period.

    The industry believes that the scale of investment in the pension fund may reach trillion yuan in the future, and the impact on the bond market can not be underestimated.

    Like RQFII, the pensions which have been issued for thousands of years are mainly invested in the bond market, and the investors are happy.


    2. China

    CBRC

    Chairman Shang Fulin said recently: "this year, the CBRC will refer to the core contents of the second and third edition of the Basel agreement, and combine the actual conditions of China and the specific practice of the banking industry, and introduce new regulatory standards in terms of capital management and liquidity risk management of commercial banks."

    This news is short term for bank shares.

    The implementation of the new regulatory standards will increase the financing needs of banks, raise the level of readiness preparation, and offset some bank profits.


    3. despite the recent surge in property sales across the country, the voice of the real estate market has been booming, but in fact, sales of new sites in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen are still at a low ebb.

    According to the monitoring data of Zhongyuan group research center, following the fall in January, the sales rate of new residential buildings in the four tier cities in February 2012 was "low on the 30 day", with an average sales rate of only 12.1%, which is less than the January of the Spring Festival holiday.

    From the type of view, the low price advantages of suburban housing gradually fade away, the urban decline in the high end of the high-end housing is gradually taking up the upper hand.

    This news is bad for the real estate sector.

    News shows that the pressure on the adjustment of the property market in the first tier cities is further increased, and the impact on the development of the larger cities in the first tier cities will be more obvious.


    Overall, the probability that the market stabilizes on the half a year is relatively small. The so-called "big deal" is going to be restarted, or the first half will close below the half line support.

    On the whole, the market has become a trend of adjustment since the 2478 point. The trend is not formed in two days, but once formed, it is also difficult to change.

    On the operation, it is recommended to continue watching and wait for the market trend to be clear.

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