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    Viscose Staple Fiber Market Price Moderate Callback Conducive To Market Health

    2012/9/3 8:28:00 44

    Viscose Staple FiberMarket SituationTrend

     

      

    Viscose staple fiber

    The price has bottomed out since mid 6. In a bad speech, it rose from 14000~14300 yuan / ton low to current 15700~16000 yuan / ton, and CCFEI viscose staple fiber price index rose 1300 yuan / ton.

    From the current operating rate, inventory, cash flow data to see, the overall performance is still relatively healthy, inventory is the lowest in this year, the industry inventory remains low 100 thousand tons.

    This is also one of the main driving forces of the current round of inflation.


    However, judging from the environment, the terminal environment is still not improving. From all aspects of data, the international market is still in the doldrums. The negative growth trend of cotton textile exports has not changed since last year. The global economic downturn has reduced the overall demand for textiles, while China's textile export price advantage has been weakened.

    These problems will not be substantially improved in the short term.


    This round rises viscose.

    Short staple quotation

    After rising to 15900-16300 yuan, obviously felt the shipment slowed down, the downstream mentality began to change, and the procurement became cautious. The ultimate culprit was not the sales of grey cloth, and the export orders of Guangdong grey fabrics were obviously weakened.

    The terminal began to block up, and increased resistance to viscose staple fiber.


    At the same time, the price of dissolving pulp still keeps rising at home and abroad, and there is a willingness to raise prices later.

    From the raw materials inventory of viscose manufacturers, the raw material inventory of most manufacturers is less than one month, except for the new line.

    In the early period of less than one month of large-scale repair of viscose staple industry, the rate of decline in operating rate is limited, so the rigid demand for raw materials still exists.

    With the conference on dissolving pulp industry held in Changsha, Hunan, domestic pulp prices generally rose 200-300 yuan / ton, while the majority of dissolving pulp suppliers on the outside side also indicated that the latter market quotation would be raised 30-50 US dollars / ton.

    This also makes viscose manufacturers will face whether the viscose staple price is stable or continue to rise.

    If the price continues to rise, the pulp price will rise from the exploratory price to the actual price increase, thereby encroach on the gross profit. If the price remains stable, then viscose staple fiber will be faced with the risk of purchasing the pressure from the mills. When the price of dissolving pulp rises or strongly supports 7800-8000 yuan / ton, the price of viscose staple fiber will decrease, and the gross profit generated by the recent viscose enterprises will be squeezed.


    On the whole, in this case,

    Viscose

    The manufacturers can increase the negotiation space according to their circumstances, so as to maintain the normal volume of viscose staple fiber. On the basis of the quantity, viscose manufacturers can take advantage of the product price and take advantage of the trend to suppress the pulp price which has just risen but won't win much.

    If we pursue high quotations and no actual pactions, we will eventually develop into an upstream and downstream attack and continue to lose money.

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