The Goal Of Footwear Or Foreign Trade Is To Shift From "Guaranteed Growth" To "Share Protection".

< p > from 1 to November this year, the total value of China's imports and exports is US $3 trillion and 500 billion 280 million, an increase of 5.8% over the same period last year.

Among them, exports amounted to 1 trillion and 849 billion 910 million US dollars, an increase of 7.3%, and imports of US $1 trillion and 650 billion 370 million, an increase of 4.1%.

Insiders pointed out that the growth rate of foreign trade in 2012 was "ten guaranteed", but the global share of foreign trade share will continue to grow.

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< p > < strong > foreign trade objective or from "guaranteed growth" to "share protection" < /strong > /p >

< p > customs statistics show that in November, the total value of China's imports and exports was US $339 billion 130 million, an increase of 1.5% over the same period last year.

Among them, exports amounted to 179 billion 380 million US dollars, an increase of 2.9%, significantly lower than that of 11.6% in October; imports of US $159 billion 750 million, unchanged from the same period last year; the trade surplus of US $19 billion 630 million, also narrowed significantly from the 32 billion US dollars last month.

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< p > as one of the driving factors of economic growth, the year-on-year growth rate of exports fell again after nine consecutive and twelve months of double-digit growth.

In November 20th, the Ministry of Commerce spokesman a href= "http://www.91se91.com/pioneer/" > Shen Danyang < /a > said at a regular press conference that "the goal of achieving 10% growth in foreign trade this year is indeed very difficult. We will continue to do our best to maintain steady growth of foreign trade, especially to enhance China's share in the international trade market and keep its share growth."

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< p > it is worth noting that from the recent statement of the Ministry of Commerce, we can see that the 10% target of the whole year's foreign trade is less emphasized, while the emphasis on trade share is increasing.

Chen Deming, Minister of Commerce, has said that it is difficult to achieve the goal of foreign trade this year. The Ministry of Commerce has now adjusted its target to the annual volume of foreign trade in the world's total trade volume.

This may indicate that China's foreign trade goal is shifting from "maintaining growth" to "protecting share".

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Xue Hexiang, analyst at Guotai Junan, predicted that exports in 2012 increased by 8.1% over the same period last year, and imports increased by 5.3% compared to the same period last year, and the trade surplus was 220 billion US dollars.

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"P > < strong > data verify that enterprises go into the" second half "of" the second half "< /strong > /p >

< p > since this year, the growth rate of imports has declined to negative growth for many months, further confirming that the industry is less than a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_h.asp".

The decline of imports means that the demand of enterprises is weak. This is a rational choice for enterprises to go inventory, that is, when they go to stock, they will reduce the purchase of raw materials and reduce imports.

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Since the beginning of P, due to the impact of production demand on industrial production, some industries and products have exceeded the demand, resulting in abnormal stocks, especially in the export related industries.

Against this background, iron and steel, construction machinery, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > textile and garment < /a > nonferrous metals, coal and other industries obviously accelerated to inventory, although different industries have different inventory progress, but overall judgment, this round of inventory has entered the "second half".

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< p > data show that in the first half of this year, Lining, Anta, XTEP, XTEP, PEAK and other 42 listed clothing enterprises total inventory amounted to 48 billion 300 million yuan, inventory of less than 100 million yuan only 4.

Analysts pointed out that in the short term, to digest such a high inventory, relying solely on traditional markets, I am afraid that the 7.22,0.00,0.00% enterprises may need more consideration of other emerging markets, such as ASEAN and the African continent.

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< p > < a href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_p.asp > > Hangzhou < /a > Meng Ping, Secretary General of Hangzhou women's clothing trade association, pointed out that for clothing enterprises, sales of winter clothing accounted for almost half of the annual sales volume, so most of the small and medium-sized enterprises used the idea of winter clothing to gain profit, and the pace of inventory was obviously accelerated.

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< p > increasing costs and reducing external demand have also allowed large numbers of foreign trade enterprises to survive in internal and external troubles.

Meanwhile, some foreign brands have moved their manufacturing factories in China this year.

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< p > take Nike as an example. In 2000, 40% of the global sales of Nike shoes were produced in China and 13% from Vietnam. Now, the proportion of Nike shoes made in Vietnam is 41%, and the proportion of Nike shoes made in China is 32%.

Financial commentator Ye Tan pointed out that the low-end industry is shifting from China's central and western regions to Southeast Asia.

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He Jun, senior researcher of P, believes that the status of China's "world factory" is the result of changes in the global industrial system and will not be weakened easily.

As far as the example is concerned, most of the manufacturing links pferred by China are low-end labor-intensive industries, which are very sensitive to cost factors.

With the rise of China's various costs, these industrial links will inevitably turn to countries and regions with lower cost, and continue to look for "cost depression" in the world.

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The notice of the State Administration of foreign exchange on the policy of further improving and adjusting direct investment in foreign exchange management, which is to be implemented in December 17th, will simplify many administrative auditing procedures, greatly reduce the administrative licensing matters under direct investment, help reduce social costs, and further facilitate trade and investment facilitation. P

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< p > industry insiders believe that a series of policies and measures to promote steady growth of foreign trade and foreign investment this year will help China's import and export growth trend to pick up and benefit China's investment environment in the near future.

China's huge domestic demand market still has a strong attraction for foreign investment. At present, China's vigorous economic restructuring and structural adjustment will help to upgrade the global industrial chain and enter the "world factory 2 edition".

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