There Are Two Bright Spots In Foreign Trade. Will It Be Even Worse In The Second Half?

< p > despite the unprecedented pressure, the development of China's "a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp "foreign trade < /a" in the first half of this year still showed two highlights: first, to insist on stabilizing exports and expanding imports; the two is to promote the pformation of foreign trade from scale expansion to quality and efficiency, and from cost and price advantages to comprehensive competitive advantages.

Facing the more severe and complicated situation in the second half of the year, the Ministry of commerce is working with relevant departments of the State Council to further study the measures to support foreign trade.

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< p > the first half of the year's foreign trade data release, especially the reality of the double negative growth of import and export in June, made the gloom clouded over foreign trade more and more heavy.

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< p > but at the regular press conference held by the Ministry of Commerce in July 17th, Shen Danyang, spokesman of the Ministry of Commerce, said that the bright spot in the development of foreign trade in the first half of the year should not be overlooked, especially in terms of "promoting the pformation of foreign trade from scale expansion to quality and efficiency improvement, and changing from cost and price advantage to comprehensive competitive advantage". Shen Danyang used "hard won" to describe it.

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< p > < strong > there are two highlights in foreign trade < /strong > < /p >

< p > Shen Danyang said that in the first half of this year, China's foreign trade development has two bright points: first, the development of foreign trade has insisted on stabilizing exports and expanding imports, overcoming many difficulties and achieving hard won growth; and the other has made hard won progress in pushing foreign trade to pform from scale expansion to quality and efficiency improvement, and from cost and price advantages to comprehensive competitive advantages.

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< p > "the highlight of the two highlights can be summed up as" two hard won changes ".

Shen Danyang explained that in the first half of this year, the overall quality and efficiency improvement of China's foreign trade was mainly manifested in the further optimization of the structure compared with 2012, including the further optimization of the domestic regional layout, the further optimization of the main business body, the further optimization of the export commodity structure, the further optimization of the trade formula and the further optimization of the export market.

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< p > when it comes to the pformation of foreign trade from cost and price advantage to comprehensive competitive advantage, Shen Danyang said, "the advantage of our country's export cost and price is further weakening due to the continuous rising of domestic factor costs and the appreciation of RMB.

However, because the enterprises generally pay more attention to the advantages of mining technology, brand, quality and service, even in the first half of this year, the price of China's main export commodities is still relatively improved even if the international market price has declined overall.

Shen Danyang pointed out that according to customs statistics, the average unit price of China's export commodities has increased this year.

For example, luggage increased by 18.2%, watches increased by 15.6%, raw silk increased by 15.5%, and plastic products increased by 12.8%.

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< p > < strong > will it be worse in the second half of the year? < /strong > < /p >

< p > when talking about the foreign trade situation in the second half of the year, Shen Danyang said frankly: "now, the whole year's foreign trade situation is more severe and complex. To achieve the expected development goals this year, we need to overcome many difficulties.

Export trends in the second half of this year are not optimistic.

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< p > it is understood that the Ministry of Commerce's survey of 1900 key foreign trade enterprises in the country shows that the export orders of the enterprises are becoming colder and the profits are thinner. The proportion of the export orders has increased continuously for 4 consecutive months. The proportion of the enterprises with a decreasing profit margin has reached a new high of nearly 4 months, and the export confidence of enterprises has continued to fall.

In June, nearly 1/3 of the enterprises thought that the export volume would decrease this year, which accounted for more than 30% for the first time in six months.

Since April, the Ministry of Commerce's key export enterprises' index and confidence index have declined for 3 consecutive months.

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< p > however, Zhao Zhongxiu, vice president of the University of foreign trade and economic cooperation, judged that the growth rate of foreign trade in the second half of this year may be similar to that in the first half of the year, and "it will not be too bad".

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In the "three carriages" of P export structure, the proportion of state-owned enterprises has declined, and the lack of motivation has lasted for a period of time, and private enterprises have maintained relatively rapid growth.

The main reason for the decrease in export growth comes from foreign investment enterprises. Whether foreign manufacturing enterprises in Europe and the United States, or cost factors, pfer to Southeast Asia, all originate from the global layout adjustment of investment.

This is not only related to our own environment, but also closely related to the overall situation of the world economy.

But taking into account the comprehensive supporting factors such as industrial chain, some foreign enterprises are still waiting.

From the first half of the year, our share in world trade has not changed significantly, and the arrival of Christmas orders in the second half of this year will bring a small peak to foreign trade.

On the whole, the second half should be similar to the first half. "

Zhao Zhongxiu said.

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P > < strong > < a href= > http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_q.asp > policy < /a > where to focus on < /strong > < /p >

< p > "but now it can not be said that we can't finish the expected goal of foreign trade or there is no hope of achieving the goal", Shen Danyang said. The Ministry of commerce is working with the relevant departments of the State Council to further study the measures to support foreign trade, and these measures "should be introduced soon."

The general idea of the measure is to provide enterprises with a trade environment that can bring into play the comprehensive advantages of technology, brand, quality and service.

"The improvement of the trade environment is also a manifestation of structural adjustment."

Zhao Zhongxiu suggested that the departments concerned should help the enterprises in the most urgent need at present.

For example, we should make more adjustments in financing support for small and medium-sized enterprises and create a more relaxed financial environment. Through the cultivation of leading enterprises in supply chain, we should integrate supply chain services, optimize and enhance the efficiency and quality of enterprises in various links, and facilitate trade facilitation in customs declaration, pportation and commodity inspection.

"Supporting foreign trade requires the coordination of various departments, and the stability of the policy environment is equally important."

Zhao Zhongxiu said.

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