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    European Currency Trend Differentiation Double Risk Test Sterling

    2014/5/21 22:14:00 26

    European CurrencyDouble RiskSterling

    < p > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > the Fed's < /a > meeting minutes is still the focus of the market, but from the Fed's recent speech, the prospect of raising interest rates in the country is still uncertain.

    After the positive comments of Bernanke and Fisher, Dudley said in his recent speech that 2% of inflation targets were not the upper limit, and the trajectory of US economic growth was disappointing.

    < /p >


    P, Europe, the European Central Bank's interest rate cut is expected to keep the middle and long term pressure on the euro, but the short-term negative impact of Ukraine's geopolitical risk is gradually reduced to a breathing space for the euro and other risky currencies.

    The euro zone's economic data released on Tuesday were not good enough. The US and European stock markets weakened earlier, and the euro rebounded or continued to drag on the market sentiment change.

    < /p >


    < p > Britain's CPI rate increased from 1.6% in March to 1.8% in April, but analysts believe that the data may be distorted due to the Easter effect.

    In the same period, the high-level speech of the Bank of England pointed out that the efforts of the main global central banks to withdraw the ultra long easing policy or to make the 2007 crisis happen again.

    The central bank's policy adjustment potential financial risks can not be ignored, the Bank of England is expected to maintain stability.

    < /p >


    < p > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > foreign exchange < /a >: on Tuesday, the US dollar index was at a high level of stabilization. The individual currencies were expressed as follows: < /p >


    < p > strong > euro to us dollar < /strong > /p >


    < p > overall shake finishing, high 1.3710, low 1.3680.

    The euro zone's economic data are still not improving significantly. The worries brought by GDP are still important obstacles to the middle and long term rally in the euro. But during the week, the market is concerned about the situation in the Federal Reserve and Ukraine, and the euro line has shown signs of stabilizing.

    The euro area current account and the ECB meeting of the executive committee support 1.3650 and resistance 1.3780.

    < /p >


    < p > forecast: the euro is more likely to continue to oscillate against the US dollar.

    < /p >


    < p > strong > pound to us dollar < /strong > /p >


    < p > overall shock and rebound, high visibility 1.6860, low see 1.6800.

    The growth rate of CPI data in the UK is higher than expected, but there is a certain distortion and the impact is less than expected. After the inflation report, the British inflation report was frustrated and the pound was under pressure.

    Within days, the Bank of England released its May meeting minutes and retail sales data, supporting 1.6770 and resistance 1.6894.

    < /p >


    < p > forecast: the pound is likely to increase moderately against the US dollar.

    < /p >


    < p > < strong > < a > href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp > > Gold > /a > /strong > /p >


    < p > overall arrangement, 1296.60 of the highest and 1285.70 of low.

    The main geopolitical risks gradually calm, but the international market lacks important information guidelines, the US dollar index maintained shock consolidation, futures gold was sold by the market, the spot gold rally resistance increased, continued to wander around the 1300 major points.

    Concerned about the high-level speech and international geopolitical dynamics of the European and American central bank, the support level is 1280, and the resistance level is 1320.

    < /p >


    < p > forecast: international gold price or maintain wide shock, short term maintenance in 1280-1320 wide range of operation.

    < /p >

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