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    Strong Economic Policies With Strong Price Fluctuation

    2014/6/3 11:29:00 38

    Tan YalingPrice FluctuationEconomic Policy

    < p > this week foreign exchange market dollar index maintains relatively high fluctuation and adjustment, price index trend is still the US dollar seeks depreciation, the index interval detours between the 80.2-80.8 points, but the upward thrust is bigger, the actual countermeasure is holding up the depreciation.

    The US dollar is in the US $1.36 down range against the euro, with a level of US $1.3589 on Wednesday.

    The US dollar rose from $1.68 to US $1.67 against the pound, and during the period, the sterling exchange rate even had a performance of US $1.6699, but in the past 6 months the pound appreciated by 2.12%.

    The US dollar has also mixed up with the Australian dollar exchange rate, and the exchange rate ranges between us $0.92-0.93.

    The US dollar rose to US $0.84 from the New Zealand dollar exchange rate from 0.85 US dollars.

    The US dollar remained stable at 0.89 Swiss francs against the Swiss Franc exchange rate.

    The US dollar exchange rate stabilized at a narrow margin on the 1.08 Canadian dollar line.

    US dollar to yen exchange rate stabilized at 101 yen level.

    < /p >


    < p > 1, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > USD < /a > the demand for homeopathy is obvious.

    The objectives of the US dollar index and the purpose of the US dollar policy have not changed, especially the understanding of the essence of exchange rate and the proficiency of exchange rate technology, which directly lead to the phased and strategic adjustment of the US dollar index.

    Actually, from the perspective of US economic indicators, there are not only many doubts, but also long-term considerations.

    On the one hand, the pessimism of the US economic data stimulated the US dollar to rise to maintain the need for confidence and the timing of technological adjustment, but there are doubts and doubts about the actual state.

    The economic correction data in the first quarter turned from 0.1% growth to -1.0%, with a projected level of -0.5%, which made the US dollar index increase.

    On the other hand, the number of American durable goods orders rose by 0.8% in April, which was expected to fall by 0.5%, and the March value was adjusted from 2.5% to 3.6%, which was completely contrary to the downward correction of the overall economic value of the above quarter, plus some other economic data and did not show such a pessimistic decline in the US economy, and the American economic worries are not the actual economic state, and conversely, the demand for psychological strategies, and the human made data guidance deserves attention and research.

    The mismatch between the decline of the US economy < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > growth index < /a > and the actual data is intriguing. This is a mature demand for us dollar policy strategy, or a situation judgment and strategic path that can be guided by the competition strategy. Therefore, the strangeness of the US dollar exchange rate change is worth observing and studying.

    The demand and strategy of US dollar technical regulation are the main motivation and background.

    < /p >


    < p > 2, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > periodicity < /a > factor adjustment is necessary.

    Judging from the trend of exchange rate in the international market for nearly half a year, the depreciation of the US dollar is very obvious. The US dollar index has stabilized 79 points. The cautious performance of the 80 points highlights the economic needs and interest demands of US dollar choice of technology, thus bringing the clear goal of the US dollar main line competition, that is, the euro has risen obviously, but it is seriously against the actual economic data and psychological response.

    The larger gap between the US and Europe brings the direction of exchange rate operation. It requires not only technical guidance but also strategic control and control.

    The complexity of the whole financial market lies in the complexity of prices. The simplicity lies in the influence and drive of the US dollar line.

    The US dollar grasps the basic characteristics of the market, and the rhythm and regularity of the upper and lower cycles, the homeopathic adjustment and the active adjustment are very mature and independent.

    < /p >


    < p > 3, public opinion is mixed and less comprehensive and slightly extreme.

    With the change of the US dollar index, especially the adjustment of US economic data, the market opinion is highly mobile, and it is conspicuous with the argumentative tone and strategic orientation of the US public opinion. However, the rationality of realistic evaluation is less, especially the lack of in-depth and thorough research.

    In fact, the choice of market economy requires comprehensive indicators, clear strategic choices and effective self judgment, rather than an extreme or passive response to data.

    Therefore, the analysis of more currencies, such as the US dollar, euro, yen, pound and so on, needs a basic reason, and needs comprehensive observation. Choosing the basis and position of the data is a key point. Otherwise, the assessment is inaccurate, even kidnapping will affect the real development and effective foresight.

    Seemingly methodological, reality is the goal.

    In particular, the valuation method of the US dollar will affect the judgement result and the actual action.

    < /p >


    < p > it is estimated that the phasing adjustment period of the US dollar index will make the exchange rate more tangled. The appreciation of the US dollar and the depreciation of the US dollar are intertwined and difficult to determine. Especially because of the choice between the economy and the policy, maybe the price forecast and the actual differentiation will be greater. But the basic goal of the US dollar index will not fundamentally change. The increase of the annual index, the increase of the scope and the acceleration of the rhythm will highlight the market turbulence.

    The combination and dispersion of major currencies will also be obvious. However, the strength of the market and the strengthening of response will weaken the impact of the exchange rate. Prudent assessment and rational response are necessary.

    < /p >

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