The Spring Of Cotton City Is Coming.
First of all, consumption has improved.
domestic
Spinning enterprises
Profits have obviously improved, enterprises reflect profits generally more than 1000 yuan, high yarn profits are better, cotton procurement presents a continuous and stable pattern.
Despite the "haze" of widening the spread of alternatives, the annual consumption of all parties is still neutral.
Second, production expectations are improving.
When the new flower comes into the market at the beginning of this year, the parties expect that the output of cotton production in Xinjiang is less than 4 million tons. At present, the cotton production in Xinjiang is expected to increase continuously.
Judging from the amount of processing, the output of this year will not be less than 4 million 300 thousand tons. Taking into account the factors leading to the emergence of cotton at the beginning of the year, the output will probably end up at 4 million 500 thousand tons.
Again,
Import volume
It may be higher than the forecast of many organizations.
At present, the number of imports is expected to reach 1 million 500 thousand tons this year.
India cotton
In terms of performance, the import volume this year may exceed the estimate.
Although the state strictly controls quotas, since 2015, the amount of signing cotton and cotton has been around 40 thousand tons for two consecutive weeks. China has continued to maintain the status of the US cotton sign leader.
In addition, India cotton prices continue to decline, there is no sign of stop, to solve such a high inventory, the largest deposit is still our country, and the only way to enter China in the late period is the total customs clearance, this possibility occurs in the late stage of the year.
Therefore, the probability of import volume exceeding 1 million 500 thousand tons this year is very great.
Finally, the policy is predictable and pparent.
From September 2014 to January 20th, the cotton industry conference in Beijing was held. The policy aspect continued to emphasize two key policies that affect the market. First, in 2015, only 894 thousand tons of quotas were issued in principle, and other quotas were no longer issued; secondly, in 2015, it was necessary to meet several requirements for dumping and storage, including a large number of new cotton sales, and the market was in short supply, and cotton prices rose.
Compared with previous years, the policy has maintained greater coherence and pparency, which is crucial for participants in the market.
Overall, the market opened a good market in early 2015, and the spot market remained stable.
In the future, under the overall balance of supply and demand, the cotton cycle will play a role. As long as the hoarding cotton companies can stick to the cost this year, there will be no panic selling situation.
In the later stage, the expected planting area in China and the United States will be reduced, the market consumption will be restored smoothly, and the industry chain will gradually develop smoothly. The cotton price center of gravity is expected to restore to a higher level, and the spring of the cotton market is coming step by step.
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On the 4th week of January 2015, the conventional market of Shaoxing China Light Textile City reduced the number of door-to-door customers, and the quantity and quantity of goods launched were less than that of last week. The volume of sending orders was basically maintained, and the market atmosphere was weakened in a week.
Since a week ago, there was a lack of production and circulation in the market before and after the market was significantly weakened. The marketing of grey fabrics in the near 1/3 was in discontinuation. After a week, the output of processing industry generally declined, and the busy situation was rare, most of them were dull.
A week, most of the fabric market still works as usual, but the number of foreign customers is less than that of last week. The stock market is not as good as last week. The number of orders and orders received a week is slightly less than that of last week. The delivery time of the orders continues to be postponed.
The number of foreign businesses coming directly to the site last week is larger than that of last week. Foreign trade is slightly larger than last week, and domestic demand is still less than last week.
One week, the main fabric of fabric market is curtain cloth and garment cloth, which are traded alternately with different varieties, and the situation of repeated demand for goods continues to decrease.
A week's marketing is mainly due to the spring fabric, and the consumption of the latter is still early, and the domestic demand for feedback to the market is still declining, leading to the continued weakening of the overall market atmosphere.
This week, the general market of light textile city, the total turnover of all kinds of long and short staple textiles was slightly smaller than that of last week.
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