The First Blood After 2016: Stock Market Still Has Opportunities After The Stock Market Crash 3.
The initial fuse fault is the fuse, behind which is panic tread, the card is not good, the price is heavy.
After the stock market crash, does the market mean 3?
Why the market is still so fierce in this position, the key factor is that we have been lacking in definite expectations. Considering that registration system is coming out, it is not a bad thing. But it is not clear that the management is not clear how to play the cards. It is thinking that we should go one step at a time, which will inevitably lead to market speculation. Once turbulence is concerned, we will consider the direction of the most pessimistic expectations, which will lead to irrational market losses.
Why are some stocks jumping up and down? Because the market is easily driven by emotions, especially in our market dominated by individual investors.
In fact, we may recall that the real bull market in the domestic and foreign markets, most of which were not born in the low price target at that time, most of them were born in the target of high price earnings ratio at that time, such as Tesla abroad, and Amazon abroad. Why is it high? Because there is a prospect, there is a future, and it is the future, especially in China. Especially, in China, China is full of vitality and full of growth. Even in the difficult period, it is still the case. Giving some growth stocks high price earnings ratio is actually the result of market game, very normal.
Just now, the target of low price earnings ratio is often difficult to give you too many chances. For example, now Apple abroad is the same at home and abroad. The reason is very simple. Everyone knows that low P / E ratio will be profitable if the low P / E ratio is valuable.
Therefore, our philosophy may be different from many people. The idea of choosing bull stock is definitely not from the current low price earnings ratio. Instead, we look for the current high price earnings ratio targets and wait for them to begin to become low price earnings ratio stocks. That is to say, when they enter the mature stage, the big opportunities will start to go away.
Speaking of these, I want to emphasize that the market game should not be taken.
P / E ratio
To talk too much, most afraid that some management may not participate in the specific game of the market, and take the price earnings ratio as a matter of fact. For example, emphasizing the high P / E ratio is the risk, and the low P / E ratio is the opportunity. In fact, I think it is a misleading. When the management thinks that the high growth and high P / E ratio is the risk, it actually stifle the future speculation of some growth stocks, which is quite frightening.
Fall to the present, 3000 points and a line, close to the low point of 2850 early days, it is said that 2850 points will be broken, and some people say that it will not break, but in my opinion, we must know that many stocks have already experienced extreme overfall in the market. Stocks may wish to take a look at the 60 day moving average. The Shanghai composite index may wish to take a look at the 60 week line. You will find that the deviations are generally over 20%, which is a technical manifestation of the short-term overfall.
Just as more people will fall or drop more, nature will rise and overfall. For market gambling, it is opportunity itself.
Some of my suggestions are:
1, stamp duty reduction is urgent. This is a strong confidence and signal to the market.
2, to express the strong confidence of doing more markets and allocate 42 gold coins, declaring that the certificate companies will invest more than 100 billion in the future at least for the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 futures index.
3, the gold fund companies actively invest in new industries.
Small and medium-sized creation
That's the source of market dynamism.
4, positive attitude to support the capital market to walk cattle, registration system and so on step by step, accelerate the pension and so on.
5, the reform of fusing mechanism in the future can be considered only by melting stock index.
In addition, I have noticed that many people are talking about letting go and stopping and copying all the countries abroad. It seems to solve all the problems. Actually, let's think about the past selling warrants, that is, there is no limit to the price limit. What is the result? Eight times a day to the last place.
Now I want to say, the main thing is to guide.
equity market
First go up to development, not at this time to let go and push back, really need to rise and fall system reform: limit, constant limit, let go!
Some of the above ideas must have some immature places, but my starting point is very simple, that is, how to let the market go first, and then seek a balance. Otherwise, it is not a positive and healthy market, but rather a market that has to be pushed back. It is a market that needs to pay a very heavy price. Is it necessary, in line with the best interests of the state, the answer is absolutely fixed.
It is suggested that when managers think about how to go in the future, the first point is to focus on the future and how to make the stock market go first. The idea is easy to open slowly. Don't worry about how to integrate with the international market as soon as possible. That will push the market back and focus on what is very important.
As soon as possible, it is the key to make sure that the confidence is strong in the future. It is the key to make good cards in the county, and let the market go up before financing.
Therefore, at the moment, we need to see the great reform behind the management in the future. Two, we are also looking at the current technology and the integration of the two. Although the first "blood" came to be more intense than ever in 2016, I also saw the brilliant sunshine in the future.
Of course, some people say that he has seen a more cruel future. Yes, that's another view. We fully respect and possible. But life is not like that. At the critical moment, different choices bring about different results. Now, we firmly believe that choosing the former, seeing the bright sunshine in the future, devote ourselves to the present, and leave time to explain everything.
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