How Did GDP Look At The Figure 6.9% In 2015?

2015 is an extraordinary year. Today, the National Bureau of Statistics announced the main economic data of 2015. In 2015, the gross domestic product of the country was 676708 billion yuan, an increase of 6.9% over the previous year. Media statistics, which is China's whole year since 1990. Gross domestic product The growth rate dropped below 7% for the first time.

Nevertheless, in 2015, the economy remained at a reasonable medium and high speed range in the whole year. How about the contribution of the three carriages of investment, consumption and exports to GDP? What kind of driving force do we need for the supply side reform in the future? How do we think about the 6.9% figure? CCTV news interpreted for you.

Wang Baoan, director of the National Bureau of statistics, said that in 2015, 6.9%, first of all, judging the performance of this speed should be comprehensive and in what circumstances. From the international environment, the current global economic recovery is weak, the economic situation is complicated, international trade is declining, and financial risks are increasing. Economics Impact. Under such circumstances, we will find that 6.9% is a very low speed, which is in line with the constraints of various factors of China's current economic growth and the objective needs of strategic objectives adjustment.

According to the latest statistics released by the National Bureau of statistics, quarterly growth was 7% in the first quarter, 7% in the two quarter, 6.9% in the three quarter and 6.8% in the fourth quarter. According to the industry, the value added of the primary industry is 60863 billion yuan, an increase of 3.9% over the previous year; second, the industrial added value of 274278 billion yuan, an increase of 6%; third industrial added value of 341567 billion yuan, an increase of 8.3%. In the fourth quarter, GDP increased by 1.6%.

Yang Weimin, deputy director of the central financial and economic leading group's office, believes that the fundamentals of China's long-term economic development are unchanged.

He Liming, President of China Federation of logistics and purchasing, said that 6.9%, this is not a low speed. Under the structural adjustment of supply side and transformation and upgrading, it should be said that under the current international and domestic economic situation, a positive and healthy trend of development.

According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics today, the per capita disposable income of the whole country in 2015 was 21966 yuan, an increase of 8.9% over the previous year, and a 7.4% increase in real terms after deducting the price factor. It can be seen that the growth rate of residents' income has again outperformed GDP growth rate. Why can we maintain a relatively fast growth in household income in the case of slower economic growth?

Zhu Baoliang, director of the National Information Center forecast, analyzed that China's economy was running at a reasonable level last year, and the employment situation was good, and the labor cost remained rising. In addition, residents' property income has increased rapidly, and the minimum wage standard has been raised in most areas, which helps to keep residents' incomes rising.

According to incomplete statistics by reporters, in 2015, there were at least 28 districts nationwide. Minimum wage standard The number of areas raised was much higher than that of 2014.

The latest data show that consumer prices rose 1.4% over the previous year, or 3% of the target set at the beginning of the year. In terms of classification, food prices rose 2.3% year-on-year. In food prices, grain prices rose by 2%, oil prices fell by 3.2%, pork prices rose 9.5%, and fresh vegetable prices rose by 7.4%.

Zhu Baoliang, director of the forecast of the National Information Center, analyzed that in 2015, China's economy slowed down steadily, industrial prices fell faster, domestic oil prices fell continuously, producer prices (PPI) of industrial producers maintained negative growth, domestic grain inventories were relatively high, and prices of agricultural products increased slowly, all of which led to a moderate rise in prices in 2015.

For this year's price trend, Zhu Baoliang believes that the price trend is stable this year, the price of the service industry may go up, and the price of industrial products will not plummet like that in 2015, and the price increase is expected to pick up slightly. Overall, prices are expected to remain low in 2016, and the annual CPI increase will be around 1.6%.

Data show that in 2015, the Gini coefficient of the national income was 0.462. This is the Gini coefficient which has declined for 7 consecutive years since 2009.

Official data show that the Gini coefficient of China's national income is 0.4792004 years, 0.4732005 years, 0.4852006 years, 0.4872007 years, 0.4842008 years and 0.491 years in 2003. And then gradually fall back, 2009 0.4902010 years, 0.4812011 years, 0.4772012 years, 0.4742013 years, 0.4732014 years 0.469.

Zhao Xijun, vice president of the school of Finance and finance, Renmin University of China, said that as a measure of the gap between the rich and the poor, the Gini coefficient achieved a "seven consecutive drop", indicating that the income distribution gap in China has gradually reduced. This is a positive signal, and is also a result of the government's efforts to promote the income distribution reform.

Zhu Baoliang said that in recent years, with the shortage of labor force, low wage labor income has been rising, the income gap has been shrinking, and the Gini coefficient will continue to decline in the future.

In the data released today, the downlink is an indisputable fact, but new highlights and frequent new formats are also the characteristics of the current round of economic operation. The electricity supplier, equipment manufacturing industry and consumption upgrading are all the highlights of China's economy. They are also sources of new economic power in the process of economic downturns.

Data show that in 2015, online retail sales of physical commodities increased by 32424 yuan, an increase of 31.6%, accounting for 10.8% of the total retail sales of consumer goods. Insiders said that in 2016, the main driving force and source of the supply side reform advocated by the state were in the consumer market.

In 2015, consumption contributed more than 60% to the growth of the national economy, and the contribution of the service industry exceeded 50%. Taking mass catering as an example, after adjusting the adjustment period of 3 years of consumption, we achieved two percentage point growth in 2015, and the industries that pioneered the transformation achieved a new round of growth.

Wang Wei, deputy director of the Institute of market economy, National Research Center, said: "the new driving force of consumption is more related to the transformation and structural adjustment of consumption. The new diversified, personalized, experiential and service-oriented consumption may be a new growth point in the consumption field. Therefore, in the future, this new consumption will not only promote the development of the manufacturing industry, but also lead to the development of many service industries. This is a starting point and a foothold for advancing the supply side reform."

Wang Baoan, director of the National Bureau of statistics, said that in 2016, China's economy is still facing a complex and changeable international situation, especially in 2016, to accelerate the structural reform of supply side, and "three go, one drop, one subsidy". In this process, some industries may continue to behave in a downward fashion. But on the other hand, new industries, new formats and new business models are booming. A number of emerging strategic industries along the coast of Shenzhen and Shanghai are developing at more than 10%, and the added value of high-tech industries in China has increased by 10.2%, which is 4.1 percentage points faster than that of regulated industries. Under the stimulation of preferential policies, the production of new energy vehicles increased rapidly and increased by more than 1.6 times.

Taking all these factors into consideration, Wang Baoan believes that China's economy will continue to grow steadily in 2016.