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    April Stock Market Quotes, Greet "Chun Sheng" April Days

    2016/4/2 11:48:00 146

    Stock MarketStock MarketEconomic Policy

    In March, the Shanghai Stock Index pulled out of the stock market crash after the biggest monthly line 11.75%, 3000 points on the station integer off, swept away in the market nearly three months of haze.

    As the market is moving rapidly, smart capital flows to new hot spots.

    Therefore, people do not have to worry too much about the weakness of the gem index (many undervalued gem and real high growth stocks are valuable), and the Shanghai Composite Index will be stronger than Shenzhen's index.

    But even in the Shanghai stock index, we should emphasize "light index and heavy stocks".

    April 1st April Fool's day, God also opened a fool's Day joke to the market: the four index fell 1.42%, 2.03%, 2.03%, 2.77% in the morning, especially the Shanghai composite index was again hit in the vicinity of 2950, to "open the door" in April, a pessimistic market, worry about to break 2900 points in the afternoon.

    However, from the opening of the afternoon, the big plate along the 40 degrees of slash, a single side pull up, the big plate strong turn red, sixth close to 3000 points above (3009 points).

    At this point, the reasons are:

    1, the performance of the external market is conducive to A shares.

    In recent years, European and American stock markets and global stock markets have continued to rise, creating a new high at the end of December, especially in the US stock market, which has been rising for more than a month, and there has been no callback.

    On the night of 29 March, Yellen, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, said: "the United States needs to be cautious in raising interest rates", giving investors in the Chinese stock market a sigh of relief. At least until June, the United States is unlikely to raise interest rates, and the wolf will not come.

    This makes room for A shares, which are still 15% different from the closing index of 3539 at the end of December.

    2, the favorable factors of the economic side continue.

    Following the government's top leadership forecast: "the first quarter of the economy will achieve a good start", the National Bureau of statistics has released data: 1-2 month, the national industrial enterprises above Designated Size realized profits, an increase of 4.8% over the same period, which changed the situation of the decline in profits in 2015. In March, the official PMI was 50.2%, reaching a 9 month high and returning to the withered line.

    The improvement and improvement of the economic sector undoubtedly boosted confidence and confidence in the recovery of the market or partial recovery of the stock market crash in the first quarter.

      

    3.

    Capital side

    Constantly inputting fresh blood.

    First, the State Council officially promulgated the National Social Security Fund Ordinance.

    The incremental Social Security Fund (600 billion pension fund and 220 billion enterprise annuity), which is known as the most stable fund, is expected to accelerate the pace of entering the A share market, and will certainly lead more social capital into the stock market investment.

    This is a good medium line.

    Two, according to a number of securities companies, 10 billion pension funds have been entrusted to many brokerages to invest in the market.

    Three, the governments of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing have introduced the most stringent new regulation of real estate regulation in the history, restricting purchase, lending and deleveraging, and once again deleveraging the bond market and trust.

    This is bound to encourage the housing market, bond markets and trust funds to flow to the stock market.

    Four, the national team has added new members.

    Including the investment of A, the "three swordsman" investment platform quietly entered the stock market, and the shareholding size reached 27 billion 100 million.

    Five, according to Reuters, foreign investors bought 2 billion 650 million Asian shares including A shares in March, a 10 month high.

    Shanghai stock exchange bought A shares for 17 consecutive days in March, with only one day of capital outflow.

    Foreign capital is once again accurate.

    Six, market funds are pouring in.

    The number of weekly accounts increased.

    Inflow of funds 26 billion 100 million last week, inflow of funds last week 38 billion 600 million.

    More and more empty positions or clearing private equity funds and super large households, by many somersaults, flocking to the market, grabbing for 3000 points below the chips.

      

    4, the supply and demand side.

    Expansion of new shares

    Rare slow down

    It must be recalled that in May 2014, on the eve of the resumption of the IPO, the SFC announced in advance that there were no more than 100 new shares in the year, that is, an average of 12-13 per month.

    The market saw this expansion as a major advantage, and quickly launched the bull market.

    This year, although the securities and Futures Commission did not announce the number of new shares issued in advance throughout the year, people may not pay much attention: the issue of new shares is not only without the purchase of funds, but also the pace and quantity of expansion, which is much lower than that in 2014.

    There were only 9 in January, only 7 in February, only 8 in March, and 7 in April, with an average of less than 8 a month.

    Moreover, the plates are very small, such as the 7 new shares in April only 2 billion 600 million financing.

    From this we can see that the current SFC has expressed a firm attitude in controlling the rhythm of IPO.

    5, from the market perspective, the intermediate market is ready to come out.

    Measuring the market is the dividing line between the bull market and the short market - the five week average has been closed for 15 consecutive days.

    Intermediate market mark 60 antenna has been closed for 10 consecutive days.

    Zhou Ke line has just been out of the bottom after continuous overfall.

    The moon line has just begun to raise its head at the bottom, and MACD has just appeared at the bottom.

    2800-3200 points above the 2800 points of the bottom of the box, have been closed for 23 consecutive days, firm as a rock.

    The 2900 point has closed for 13 days.

    The 3000 point has closed for 6 days.

    In the past three weeks, the market has been shaking the dishes with patience, turning back one step at three, stumbling, changing hands fully, and rarely appearing skyrocketing.

    From time to time, the "Chun Sheng" market generally lasts 6-8 weeks.

    3 weeks now, and 5 weeks, at least until mid May.

    From space, we can attack at least 3200 points in April.

    April is often the most brilliant month of the "Chun Sheng" market.

    For example, in March 2015, it closed 3747 points. In such a high position, in April, it rose by 18.51% to 4441.

    Only 3003 points were reported in March this year, so it is still more conservative to see 3200 points in April.

    6, the new hot spot of the market has surfaced.

    2016 was the year of reform of state owned assets, the year of acquisition and reorganization, and the year of backdoor listing.

    The biggest opportunity for the stock market in 2016 lies in "change", that is, reform, acquisition and reorganization with exogenous growth, reintegration of the backdoor stocks, pformation and upgrading.

    As the 13th Five-Year plan deleted the strategic emerging board of Shanghai, the possibility of implementing the emerging strategy board in a few years is very small.

    However, it has already drawn up the first batch of top quality companies that are listed on the strategic emerging board, including the returned China concept stocks and the excellent high-tech innovation companies in China, as well as more than 100 companies that have conducted in-depth negotiations for a long time, such as ant gold clothing, Qihoo 360, Unfamiliar Street, thunder, Bona film, Sohu, Sina, Ctrip, Youku potatoes, New Oriental, and 58 cities. All of them are likely to form a strategic emerging sector in the Shanghai stock market through the way of backdoor listing.

    Once these stocks are backdoor listed, they will become a reality. If the stock market is dominated by cyclical stocks, it will not be as long as the Shanghai stock market that is active in the deep market. It will change the old appearance, and the investment opportunities will exert pressure on all other board stocks, growth stocks and high pfer stocks.

    If we borrow the famous saying "this spring has nothing new" in Wall Street, I can definitely say that this spring China stock market absolutely has something new, that is, the new hot spot of the strategic emerging board backdoor stocks will soon be born and surfaced.

    For investors, a golden opportunity of backdoor listing is in front of everyone.

      

    7, adjust the warehouse

    Share swap

    Just then

    Because of the essence of the emerging strategic board, it may appear on the main board in the form of backdoor listing on the main board of Shanghai stock market, which means that it is earlier established than the original war board and easier to enter the market. This obviously constitutes a big negative for the gem, especially for the high priced stocks of one hundred or two hundred yuan.

    Therefore, recently, GEM stocks have been introduced by the super high pfer scheme. The main force will attract funds in the name of the right to fill in. In fact, it will take the opportunity to ship a large quantity of goods, and it will only go out, which will lead to a continuous three day volume of the gem.

    Market is also showing structural differentiation.

    The Shanghai stock market is stronger than the Shenzhen stock market. The stock market in the Shanghai stock market is stronger than other stocks.

    This shows that many funds from gem and war new board are flowing to Shanghai stock market. In the high priced shares, the stock exchange is converted to 10 yuan of Shanghai state owned shell and private enterprise shell, in order to buy large quantities of new original quality new stocks in a disguised form.

    This is just the beginning.


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