The Price Of Xinjiang Cotton In The Yangtze River Valley Is Stable And The Price Difference Is Not Large.

Recently, seed cotton prices have risen slightly in most parts of the Yangtze River Basin. Jiangsu Yancheng, Dafeng and other places seed cotton price 3.55-3.78 yuan / jin (lint 39-40%), compared with the 21 day rose 0.02-0.03 yuan / Jin. And some small cotton enterprises, Cotton Traders seed cotton purchase price 3.35-3.50 yuan / Jin, also rose slightly. However, small cotton enterprises and cotton traders generally buy flowers in the same way, and only bid according to the cotton lint and color. The 400 type cotton enterprises are generally strict in the acquisition process, and the acquisition is divided into "three hundred sixty nine".

In the near east of Anhui, the weather is bad, causing trouble to pick and sell seed cotton. But it does not affect seed cotton prices. November 22nd east to better quality seed cotton purchase price 3.70-3.75 yuan / Jin, slightly lighter quality cotton 3.60-3.65 yuan / Jin. Affected by the weather and cotton farmers' anxious picking, recently, Anhui's seed cotton padded clothes are mostly 37-38%, and more than 39% account for only about 25%, especially in the recent sale of cotton.

　　 What are the causes of seed cotton rising in the Yangtze River recently?

First, cotton growers are strong. Price 。 A local cotton grower in Anhui introduced cotton production per unit area at 510 Jin / mu this year, calculated at a unit price of 3.6 yuan / Jin, 1 yuan Mu gross income 1836 yuan, but the investment per mu (plus 600 yuan per mu) was 1630 yuan, and net income per mu was only 1836-1630=206 yuan. "If the unit price of seed cotton falls down, it will lose money." The cotton growers say they can only keep up with prices to reduce losses. Second, many responsible cotton growers have a smaller planting area this year. Many say that if the unit price is not up to expectations, they will rather sell cotton for their own use.

But when seed cotton rises, lint does not go up. November 22nd Jiangsu In most areas, the spot price of real estate cotton is 3128: 15500-15600 cotton per ton, 4127 yuan 15000 yuan / ton, 3 small 15200 cotton / ton, 4 14900 yuan / ton.

At the same time, Hubei, Anhui and other places big bales of real estate cotton 3127/3128 class price 15800-16000 yuan / ton, small package cotton 3 level 15300-15350 yuan / ton, are all the same as yesterday. Some Xinjiang cotton, which has arrived in the Yangtze River Basin, has a stable price. On the same day, "double 29" price was 16500 yuan / ton, and the 3128 class machine picked cotton was 15800 yuan / ton line. The price difference between machine picked cotton and real estate cotton is relatively small.

Many cotton enterprises said that due to the rising of seed cotton, Processing cost Increase, such as the 3128 level of the current cost of 15300-15400 yuan / ton, has few profits, and even individual manufacturers loss. "This year is a very poor business." Many enterprises send out helpless voices.

　　 Market supply and demand is tight and cotton market is strong.

In November 23rd, domestic cotton prices showed an upward trend. At present, the price of 3128B grade lint is 15805-16000 yuan / ton, up 3.63% from the beginning of the month. On the same day, zhengmian 1701 contracts rose, closing at 16090 yuan / ton in November 23rd, up 5.51% from the November 1st settlement price of 15250 yuan / ton. In November 22nd, the market waited for the first notice day of the contract in December. The ICE3 cotton contract fell 0.05 cents, or 0.07%, at 72.24 cents a pound.

The sale price of cottonseed has continued to rise slightly in recent years, and the enthusiasm of purchasing oil factory and short pile factory is increasing. Because of the difficulties in the transportation of Xinjiang cotton, the demand for replenishment of textile enterprises in the mainland has become increasingly evident. The downstream cotton yarn market is affected by the raw material market and the price is rising. According to the price monitoring of the business community, in November 23rd, the price of 21S high quality knitted pure cotton yarn was 21600-24000 yuan / ton, up 1.33% from the beginning of the month.

With the depletion of domestic cotton reserves, domestic cotton prices continue to rise, while foreign cotton prices are rising relatively low, and the competitiveness of domestic yarns has declined sharply. At present, the market is difficult to understand the capacity of Xinjiang's cotton. At the same time, textile enterprises have demand for replenishment, resulting in a slight increase in spot prices. But the international competitiveness of cotton yarn has been declining, and the downstream cotton market is not optimistic. Overall, short term domestic cotton market supply and demand is tight, and short term cotton futures market price is expected to be strong.