Why Did Cotton Grow Rapidly And Rapidly After The Year?
During the Spring Festival, almost all motor pportation was stopped, and only one railway pport was carried out.
As a result, the supply of cotton in the mainland market is slightly tense in Xinjiang.
Many large cotton traders and traders responded that many orders were virtually impossible to complete due to the restrictions of pport conditions.
On the long term, cotton supply and demand can be maintained smoothly.
In March, the beginning of the reserve cotton production will continue until the end of August (without special circumstances). With the daily reserves of 30 thousand tons, the total output will exceed 3 million tons in 5 months, and the gap of 2 million 763 thousand tons will be compensated without any suspense.
But there are still variables in the market.
Mainly during the round of storage, not only textile enterprises are eligible to bid, traders are equally qualified, so that traders like to grab and hoard, the market or the phenomenon of "higher prices of national cotton and more cotton".
Recently, domestic cotton prices continue to rise, causing the industry's attention and vigilance.
The reasons for the rapid and rapid rise of cotton in recent years are mainly for the following reasons:
First, the raw material inventory of textile enterprises in the mainland is low.
Recently, I learned about telephone calls from some textile factories in Shandong, Hebei and Jiangsu, and the enterprises resumed more work ahead of time, and the majority of the producers were full load.
But one problem puzzles the enterprise -- raw material inventory is generally low.
Take a cotton textile mill in Shandong as an example, cotton stocks can support 9 days, and chemical fiber stocks can be used for 17 days.
In the whole southeast coastal province, middle and small of them
Spinning enterprises
Raw materials inventory mostly in 9-15 days, down 1-2 days from previous years; and large and medium-sized textile enterprises raw material inventory in about 20 days, more than 30 days of enterprises are very few.
At the end of the Spring Festival holiday, enterprises are facing a wave of demand for centralized replenishment, which has also given some support to the upstream cotton.
Second, market speculation.
This speculation is mainly reflected in two aspects.
On the one hand, speculation in the electronic disk market, some of the social hot money into the futures market, triggering long buying.
Fry price
。
On the other hand, some traders and ginning mills are eager to cash in, and the wind has been released, creating an atmosphere of "extreme shortage of cotton in the market, rapid growth of cotton and early exposure".
However, in the whole process of cotton rising, the biggest deciding factor is: cotton production in 2017 will be greatly reduced, cotton demand will rise in 2017, and supply and demand will be tight.
The gap between supply and demand of the market is large and cotton prices have to rise.
Is that so?
Short supply of cotton is really tight.
According to feedback from Xinjiang corps and local cotton ginning plant, cotton is now available.
Sales progress
Between 70-90%, the overall progress is faster than the same period last year.
Especially the corps cotton, by virtue of its quality, quantity and channel advantages, most of them have been sold out.
To sum up, in 2016/17, is there less cotton in China? Less shout! But if the policy is in force, it will make up for the market gap very quickly, and there will be a lot of cotton.
The market outlook is really changeable, making it difficult for people to understand their minds.
Years later, the textile industry started earlier, and the opening of red cotton has great driving effect on the market. At the same time, due to the fact that Xinjiang cotton has not been fully pported to the mainland, the current supply of cotton market in the mainland is slightly inadequate, resulting in a slight increase in cotton prices.
For more information, please pay attention to the world clothing shoes and hats net report.
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