The Arrival Time Of Cotton Reserves Is Approaching The Market Trend Of Cotton Enterprises' "Calm Watch".

After the Spring Festival, cotton prices showed a trend of upward trend, which made the cotton spinning enterprises feel the market pressure. They were highly concerned about the market trend before and after the national cotton storage and rotation, and at the same time, they also analyzed the uncertain factors of the market.

After the Spring Festival, the price of 3128 grade lint to the factory in the mainland market has been over 16000 yuan / ton, up 200-400 yuan / ton before the Spring Festival, and the quotation of Xinjiang cotton has been increasing.

During the cotton price rising period, the price of cotton yarn has changed a little, but it is lower than the cotton price adjustment. Some varieties only fine-tuning 100-200 yuan / ton, 32-40S pure cotton yarn price is 21000-23000 yuan / ton, production and marketing is basically normal, cotton price uplink and yarn price quiet, so that spinning enterprises are facing the test of narrowing the benefits, especially the textile enterprises that take the lead in replenishing the warehouse after the holiday. After one or two weeks of operation, the operating efficiency decreased significantly.

It is very anxious for some small and medium-sized textile enterprises that have long been in the process of "go in, fast plus fast sales", and some of the relatively stock spinning enterprises are in a better position.

In recent days, the reserve cotton market has been approaching, and the market is in a wait-and-see state.

Long staple cotton was also affected by this, the price fell slightly, and the paction decreased.

The purchase of Xinjiang Akesu and Awati long staple cotton seed cotton was basically over. Only a few small factories bought a small quantity of cotton with poor quality. The cotton price center was 7.1-7.3 yuan / kg (31% of lint and 12% of moisture regain) on that day, down from 0.02-0.03 yuan / kg yesterday.

Talking about the reasons for seed cotton decline, some manufacturers feedback, the main three reasons: first, the reduction of the main body of acquisitions.

Looking around the whole city of Akesu, only 3 or 4 manufacturers continue to buy, and most of them are "order production, no single stop" mode. Long staple cotton seed cotton is already a buyer's market, and second, seed cotton quality is down again.

In the near future, seed cotton is dominated by poor cotton and so on. The fiber length is not enough, the impurities are many, and the level is chaotic. The acquisition body can only cautiously purchase. Third, the cottonseed market is stable and individual falls slightly.

As of 23 days, Akesu cottonseed 2.45-2.46 yuan / kg, down 0.02 yuan / kg yesterday, dragging seed cotton market.

The near future

Spot prices are generally stable, individual small drop.

The price of the 137 grade long staple cotton platform of a factory in Awati is 21100 yuan / ton (gross weight and tax included), and the 237 level price is 20800 yuan / ton, all of which are stable.

However, manufacturers said that due to the recent cooling and snowfall in Xinjiang, traffic inconvenience and pactions were reduced.

In the actual paction process, in order to attract buyers, manufacturers generally give 100 yuan / ton of negotiation space, if the purchase of more than 200 tons, the negotiation space can be expanded to 150 yuan / ton.

Up to now, Xinjiang's long staple cotton sales progress 50-65%, compared with the same period last year slowed by about 10%.

According to a market person, "cotton companies insist on buying with cotton this year.

In 2016, the output of Xinjiang long staple cotton was about 200 thousand tons, much higher than the previous years.

Market participants are worried about the late fall of long staple cotton prices and are afraid to take risks.

According to a cotton trader in Shandong, "most of the recent ginning plants and traders in Xinjiang prefer to move the long staple cotton to the mainland for sale again, so that they can occupy some geographical advantages.

On the same day, a warehouse in Jining, Shandong.

The 137 level is 21700 yuan / ton, 237 level 21200 yuan / ton.

There are two characteristics in the sale of long staple cotton in the mainland: first, the price has dropped slightly. At present, the profits of traders are low, and some of them are on the profit and loss line.

The two is the narrowing of the price gap. At present, the difference between the 137 and 237 levels is only 500 yuan / ton, which is significantly lower than the price difference of 1000 yuan / ton in previous years.

An industry source said that when the time came to store cotton, the cotton enterprises' "calm watch" market dynamics, the recent sluggish price of long staple cotton fell, and later long staple cotton or more or less.

It is reported that Jiangsu's textile enterprises remain relatively low.

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First, we should try our best to purchase raw materials nearby to meet the current order production, and the two is to adjust the production schedule and wait for the national cotton store to go out.

This week Jiangsu cotton quotation slightly downward trend, it is very difficult to understand. In the market, the cotton price trend before and after the national cotton storage is also different. But there is one thing that is indisputable: the cotton production has been unbalanced for two or three years in the whole country, the cotton inventory goes deeper and deeper, and the cotton output decreases year after year. In the long run, the change of cotton supply and demand will be inevitable, and the hope of the new arrival of cotton city is becoming the consensus and expectation of the industry.

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